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Falcons vs Steelers Help

By Firebird27 | View all Posts
Posted Friday, September 10, 2010 07:09 PM   16 comments
I see that the Falcons are getting over 60% (some are as high as 70%!) of the action, yet the line as moved from Falcons -2.5 to -1.5 (some as low as -1)

Would this be a reverse line move? 

Thoughts?
16 comments
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Gunner10 says:
09/10/10 08:27PM
I would go with Atlanta in this game going with Dixon who is unproven and with Pittsburgh's other problems. I think that the correct play in this game is to go with Atlanta and lay the points.
Gunner10 says:
09/10/10 08:30PM
I feel that the reason that Atlanta is getting 70% of the action is because of the Steelers quarterback problems.
Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 08:38PM
Anyone?
Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 08:38PM
Anyone?
pirate_picker says:
09/10/10 08:54PM

Take the steelers on this one.

Falcons have no pass rush absolutely ZERO no abraham = no pressure for them. Any QB in this league will complete passes when given time. Not a good match up for the falcons.

Plus the steelers are sick of hearing how good the bengals and ravens are. Remember they still have a killer defense everyone is healthy for them they are coming after the falcons.

Take the points run with the steelers. Pittsburgh a home dog are you kidding thats an insult to their players. I see them really up for this home opener they wanna prove they can win without ben. 

Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 09:01PM
Thanks I already had the Steelers in a teaser play, but what I wanted to know is what I described in my initial post considered a reverse line move?
TampaTony says:
09/10/10 09:25PM
I like Steel City.
Whodeysb09 says:
09/10/10 09:27PM


It depends.. Somewhat I would say.  It also depends on the money coming in.  It might just be that more money is coming in on Pittsburgh.  Too close to call.  If you saw public numbers in the 80s or 90s maybe. 
Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 10:32PM
Thanks for all the input guys.  I have read that these type of reverse line move plays hit at around 57%, be it the spread or the total. 

The reason I bring this up was another capper brought up taking the Under in the NO/Minn game.  He considered it a "reverse line play" since so much money was coming in on the Over and the Total dropped from 51.5 to 48.5.

We all know how that turned out.

like2betmore says:
09/10/10 10:55PM

It dropped then went slightly back up.  And i think something stated early normally it best to play the unders in pro anyways near the beginning because defenses are fresh especially week 1.

Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 11:02PM


Some late money must've come in to push it back up to 50.
Firebird27 says:
09/10/10 11:03PM


And that's how the House traps the square bettor.
FLHX says:
09/10/10 11:44PM
Steelers will win this one.  Home opener, better defense.  Dixon will do fine, Mendenhall will rock.
TRAINOFTHOUGHT says:
09/11/10 01:30AM
Take the Curtain and the under.
theclaw says:
09/11/10 10:37AM

 

Yes that would be considered a reverse linemovement.

A reverse linemovement is anytime the % and the money or on opposite teams.

However, not sure where you got the opening line at Atlanta -2.5.

Here on covers it opened pick and the money came in on Atlanta.

In Vegas it definetly did not open Atlanta -2.5 but closer to pk, it was recommend Pitt -1, in which case it is not a reverse linemovement.

2169 says:
09/11/10 10:41AM
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