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Weekend picks

By Flyers | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, August 14, 2010 10:47 AM   17 comments
Saturday:

Portugal:
Maritimo-Setubal: Maritimo (1.63);
Naval-Porto: Naval +1AH (2.34);
P. Ferreira-Sporting: P. Ferreira +0.5AH (2.11);

 everyone!
17 comments
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bakemcbride says:
08/14/10 12:06PM
lutz says:
08/14/10 01:06PM
Good luck, Flyers!
Flyers says:
08/15/10 07:23AM



Thanks my friends !
Ended up Saturday with a very small profit but a profit is a profit.


Flyers says:
08/15/10 07:31AM
Sunday:

Portugal:
Rio Ave-Nacional: draw (3.13) and <2.5 (1.51);
Beira-Mar-Leiria: draw (3.10) and <2.5 (1.50);
Benfica-Academica: Benfica (1.18) and >2.75 (1.81);

 everyone!
YosemiteSami says:
08/15/10 07:35AM
Best of luck, Flyers 
elsewhere says:
08/15/10 07:50AM
flyers
Flyers says:
08/15/10 09:21AM

Thanks much my friends !

DiamondJack says:
08/15/10 09:55AM

BOl Flyers

Port league should be fun this year I wonder if Braga will keep it up this year

billyloco says:
08/15/10 10:10AM
GOOOOOOOOOODLUCKFLYERS!!!
lutz says:
08/15/10 11:27AM
Good luck, Flyers!
Flyers says:
08/16/10 07:59AM



Thanks my friends  it was a very, very good Sunday but It could have have been a "full card" day if things went according to what's normal (and if you see the games) but there are always random factors in a game one can't control.

Responding to your question Diamond, before the Superliga season started (let's say 2 weeks ago) I would say there was no way Braga would have a season like the previous one.
Right now I'm not so sure.

There are 3 main reasons why I had that opinion 2 weeks ago:

1) they lost 5 top players (National team keeper Eduardo to Genova, defender Evaldo to Sporting, Hugo Viana and Filipe Oliveira) but were able to keep experienced Brasilian winger Alain (their main player IMO) and against all odds;

2) last season Braga didn't play any European competition and that gave them a huge advantage, as the players were much more rested the entire season, over Benfica and Porto. This season they will have European competition (even if they're eliminated by Sevilla from the Chamipons League, they will play the Europa League...);

3) they have the same style of play (not risk much, defend well and look for fast counter attacks or set pieces to cause the opponent some damage)...that was evident even at home against lowly Portimonense this weekend.
Braga ws always a midtable team but after last year's perfomance teams should defend even more when plying against them (which will make it harder for them to win).

Why I'm not so sure right now:

1) recently Braga hired some very interesting players (Keeper Felipe from Corinthians, striker Elton from Vasco da Gama, defender Elderson and midfielder Leandro Salino from Nacional Madeira) which makes me think they replaced the players that left the club very well.

2) Benfica lost two important players (Ramires to Chelsea and Di Maria to Real Madrid) and have failed to replaced them yet.
Until August 31st the pressure on two top stars (defenders David Luís and Fabio Coentrão) still at the club is huge from other big clubs, Benfica and the players are resisting but it is uncertain if they stay. If they leave, that will be a big blow for Benfica despite the money
Also, Benfica do not look fit at the start of the season.
If they keep the team together and have good replacements for Ramires and Di Maria I think they will end winning the title again.
Otherwise...

3) Porto lost their 2 leaders (Bruno Alves to Zenit and Raul Meireles who seems to be on his way to Manchester United) in the team, have no bench options IMO and rely too much on 2 players: strikers Falcão and Hulk. 

 Next few week will tell us a lot.

Have a great day!

MWdePro says:
08/16/10 08:02AM
Flyers says:
08/16/10 10:22AM
Thanks MW !

Closing the weekend bets with these two:

EPL:
M. United-Newcastle: >2.5 (1.63);

Portugal:
Olhanense-Guimarães: <2.5 (1.49);

Weekend record so far (W-L-T): 4 1/2-3-1

 everyone!
Expat67 says:
08/16/10 10:39AM
Flyers. Great intel on Portugal League. Will be watching you all season. Been looking for a hook in that league.
Expat67 says:
08/16/10 11:47AM


I really want to hit that under on Olhanense but can only find it u2. Seems to close a shave. Damn it. Well good luck Flyers. I would have been all over u2.5
Flyers says:
08/16/10 05:23PM

 nice day!

Weekend record: 6 1/2 - 3 - 1
Season (2010/2011) to date: 12 1/2 - 6 1/2 - 1
Average odds:1.90

 

 

Flyers says:
08/16/10 05:26PM


Thanks Expat67 !
Hope you did take that u2 bet.
Sometimes I have no time to post my bets but I'll do my best to post as many as possible.
Thanks for following and keep in mind that discipline is everything at beating the bookies.

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User: Flyers
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Team: Philadelphia Flyers
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