Fpronk's Blog

::: BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - What's the Best Play? :::

By Fpronk | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, January 08, 2009 12:49 PM   18 comments

Everyone and their brother on Florida minus the points. I read a lot about the Sooners getting blown out from Florida backers and it being a close game from OU backers.

Most everyone on these boards felt the same about Texas and Ohio State...and many here feel the same about Florida rolling OU. I'll be honest and say I have no allegiance to either school and I am actually leaning towards Florida.

Then I asked  myself, "Why do I like Florida? Maybe I like Florida because they pounded my Buckeyes just like LSU pounded OSU and and now I think the SEC is better then everyone else.  Geez, even Ole Miss beat Tech. I think, “Wow, Florida will run the Sooners right back to Oklahoma.”  Then, Bama who lost by 11 to the Gators got embarrassed by the only undefeated team in the country. How good is Bama? "

 

Then there is the Heisman data that some posted in the games thread...I'll admit I don't have time to verify but it looks abou right.

 

Heisman winners are a combined 2-9 in bowl games involving No. 1 vs. No. 2.

 

In bowl games between No. 1 vs. No. 2 in The Associated Press poll, Heisman winners are 2-7.

 

In national title games involving teams ranked 1-2 in the BCS standings, Heisman winners are 0-2.

 

All told, Heisman winners have won 22 bowl games and lost 26. They have lost three straight and six of the last eight.

 

This doesn’t look like a good scenario for OU. Both the sharps and public are all over the Gators, so, all this money on one side makes gravitate towards OU plus the points.

 

Admittedly, I bet a lot of DOGS and UNDERS and have done well this season doing so. But, do I wait to see if this line get to 6 or 6.5 and buy it up to 7 and take the Sooners or get it now at 5.5 and take the Gators? Most of the Sharps took this at -3, -3.5, and -4. The public jumped on board and moved it to where it is now. Is this a line that Vegas middles?

18 comments
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53percent says:
01/08/09 12:53PM
OU team total ovr 32, closely followed by over 69.5

 

ou ml only if you can find +150 or better

GT_BOB says:
01/08/09 12:55PM
I think that being such a high profile game with so much money begin wagered, Vegas just wants to have equal money on both teams.  I can't see them taking a gamble and trying to outsmart the money.
Roaddog30 says:
01/08/09 01:00PM
Hey buddy.

 

I'm on OU all day. Also, liking the over.

 

OU + 4.5

OU + 5.5

OU +6

 

Over 69.5

 

The offensive line of OU is massive and they are very very talened. Robinson and Loadholt are both 1st rd picks. They will dominate up front and Bradford will have alot of time. I'm not sure Spikes can stay with Gresham in coverage and we may see that exploited mutliple times. I also like Igeslias to get deep, once or twice. Murray's absence will hurt a bit, however, Chris Brown with some Madu mixed in is still a very dangerous run attack especially paired with the passing game.

 

I do think OU will have trouble, alot of it stopping Tebow and Co, especially the group of backs on the ground. I don't anticipate them getting too many stops.

 

At the end of the day, I like OU's ability to score points and they should be able to do it in a quicker fashion than the Gators because their aerial attack is undoutedbly better.

 

Not sure who wins but I believe it's a FG either way. 38-35, somebody.

 

Good Luck

53percent says:
01/08/09 01:03PM

if truth be told i like both teams to top 40pts, cant pick a winner bc i really think everyone will show up, could be a true classic. you r going to be watching about 20 future pro STARTERS tonight

insatiable says:
01/08/09 01:09PM
boha says:
01/08/09 03:33PM
Fpronk, wasn't that you that had photo link the other day? Brings new meaning to the missionary position. So tired of the deification of this guy. Media sucks. You won with OSU. Congrats. Tejas off kilter.
GoldjaBoy says:
01/08/09 03:57PM
usikbasterd says:
01/08/09 04:06PM
damn didn't know all you guys played college until i came onto this side of the forum...well anyway..i read in the newspaper that gators defensive players are fast, and are ranked 4th in the nation....i dont know much about college but has the sooners faced such a physical defense this year? can they still put up 40+ points in this game? i kind of like gators under here but im a noob when it comes to college...so SOME INSIGHT please

 

 

gluck to all

usikbasterd says:
01/08/09 04:08PM
AND the sooners lost the last two bowl games....and i guess like what fpronk said, heisman winners dont have much success in the bowl games

 

 

SO WHATS THE DEAL

boha says:
01/08/09 04:26PM
fpronk, read so much the other day.It was a picture of Tebow and his girlfriend. Real good looking girl and extremely well endowed. Feeling on the under or over tonight? BOL
UFG8rAlum says:
01/08/09 05:03PM
That picture that is circulating ... that isn't Tebow's girlfriend ...
UFG8rAlum says:
01/08/09 05:09PM


Good Luck FPronk.  I have my biased pick with Florida as you may think.  My reasons are in my post HERE

I think I'm going to bet a couple prop bets too and just sit back and enjoy the game.  Thinking of betting tails, Florida first to punt, and the first score is a TD by a ODD number jersey.  LOL.  Have fun, chat later ...

tmpeus78 says:
01/08/09 05:10PM



csp says:
01/08/09 05:11PM
Pronk, Hate to see you on the other side tonight.  I am starting to like the over though. BOL
amd says:
01/08/09 06:12PM
UFG8rAlum says:
01/09/09 01:44AM

Congratulations to all Florida and Under backers!

 

"Say It's Great To Be a Florida Gator"

 

Good night!

boha says:
01/09/09 01:50AM
Fpronk, If you have got time go to my recent post and give me your thoughts. Thnx.
kltrd007 says:
01/09/09 02:09AM
Good call Mr.Fpronk
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