shitty Jays (all imaginary opponents and dates). Imagine that the Jays
have home games on July 1-4, and 12-14:
July 1 - Jays HOME win
July 2 - " "
July 3 - " "
July 4 - Jays HOME LOSS
July 5-11 - Jays road games (do not pay attention to
these)
-------
ONCE A TEAM WINS 3 (OR MORE) STRAIGHT HOME GAMES and then eventually
LOSES a home game to end the home-game winning streak, CHASE THAT TEAM
FOR UP TO 4 GAMES. The purpose of the system is to win ONE unit at a
time (e.g. $100/unit in my examples)
Therefore, on the next homestand:
July 12 - Wager on JAYS to WIN @
HOME (Game 1 of chase), e.g. odds -150 (risk $150 to win $100)
Lets say they lose this game, then:
July 13 - Wager on JAYS to WIN
@ HOME (Game 2 of chase), e.g. odds -150 again (risk $375 to win $250,
to recover the first $150 PLUS the $100 win-profit we want)
July 14 - Wager on JAYS to WIN
@ HOME (Game 3 of chase), e.g. odds +100 (risk $625 to win $625, to
recover the first $150 bet and the second $375 bet, PLUS the $100
win-profit we want)
If you have the cojones and bankroll to chase to game 4 (should be
approx $1200+, then keep up with the chase! I've had to do it once with
STL early this year, and LOST my marbles, but have won more than 50+
games since so the 1400 loss wasn't as bad as it felt...
This system also entails chase bets to FADE AN AWAY TEAM after the end an
away losing streak. For example, going back to the Jays above:
July 5-7 - Jays lose 3 straight
away games
July 8 - Jays WIN an away game
July 9 - Bet AGAINST the Jays,
doesn't matter which team (Game 1)
If they lose...
July 10 - Bet AGAINST the Jays
again (Game 2 of chase) for the amount lost in game 1 PLUS the $100
win-profit we want
I HOPE THIS HELPS AS I CAN'T EXPLAIN IT ANY CLEARER!!
CHEERS AND GL! "
Okay guys, I went through last years thread and came up with numbers the best I could (there were some posted at the end of thread that did not add up correctly). Here is what I got:
--Overall 89-77-1
--Series record with 6 game chase 89-2-1
--Game 1: 49-42-1
--Game 2: 25-17
--Game 3: 9-8
--Game 4: 4-4
--Game 5: 0-4
--Game 6: 2-2
With a 5 game chase last year this system would be 87-4 which adds no value over a 4 game which would have had the same record. 5 game chase would have lost units, 4 game chase would have gain approx 15U with the same record of 87-4. This is not much better than playing straight up every game for the year. These numbers are skewed somewhat in that the last series lost last year decreasing the value at all levels. Would have ended +30U at 4 game chase if not for the last loss. There seems to be no added value in going past 4 games with increased risk.
3 Game chase would have been 83-10 (1 loss for each series won in game 6) with 7-8U per loss depending on juice.
Thanks, but my head is about to explode. Sounds like 2 systems here, I'm I correct? Will you be posting the games for the second system, then I don't have to think.
Thank GB BOL to all of us
ulgy start to the season with this one ... atlanta the new playtoday rl??
another way to bet the high favorite is to manipualte the runline. say your betting $100 here is the formula
braves -190 RL-1.5 +120.
100/190= .53 .53+1=1.53
100/1.53= 65.35 this is how much you bet on ml
100-65.35=34.65 here is how you would bet
65.35 to win 34.40 on the ml
34.65 to win 39.84 on RL if the braves only win by one run ur out .25. if they win by 2 runs you win 74.40 so basically 100 to win 74.40. if u bet half of that of course your juice will be less.
mcmister or anyone can you please explain the labouchere model and when you use 1 line or 2 lines or such and what the difference is b/t them ??
I looked at this a couple of days ago. Fading the favorite with a four game chase would have been 46-1 last year, or 44-3 with three game if you did it until 7/15... after that it was more profitable to play the favorite on the runline... don't know if anyone has backtested this or not???
Also, I did not play against favorites >-235 as they were 29-14 at covering the -runline
GAME CHASE (2-0)4/19 WAS Game 14/19 SEA (BAL to Lose) Game 14/19 SEA Game 1
GAME CHASE (6-0)4/11 TEX (SEA to Lose) Game 1 1-04/13 DET Game 1
SEA Game 1
GAME CHASE (6-0)4/20 MIN Game 14/20 OAK Game 1
determine a play.
GAME CHASE (6-0)4/21 PIT Game 14/21 OAK Game 2
GAME CHASE (6-0)4/22 PIT Game 24/22 OAK Game 34/22 NYM (CHC to Lose) Game 14/22 CIN (LAD to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (19-0)
SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 3 5/2 SEA Game 25/2 TB Game 2 5/2 NYY Game 15/2 TOR (OAK to Lose) Game 15/2 SD Game 1
SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 3 5/2 SEA Game 25/2 TB Game 2
NYY Game 1
GAME CHASE (23-0)
4/14 St.Louis R/L Game 14/15 Philadelphia R/L Game 24/16
Philadelphia R/L Game 3 6-05
GAME CHASE (1-0)
4/17 Minnesota R/L Game 1
4/17 Minnesota R/L Game 14/18 St. Louis R/L Game 2
GAME CHASE (1-0)4/18 ATL (COL to Lose) Game 1
4/17 Minnesota R/L Game 14/18 St. Louis R/L Game 2 7-0
4/14 St.Louis R/L Game 15 GAME CHASE (1-0)
4/14 St.Louis R/L Game 14/15 Philadelphia R/L Game 25
4/14 St.Louis R/L Game 14/15 Philadelphia R/L Game 24/16 Philadelphia R/L Game 35
Game 14/11 NY Mets R/L Game 2 4/12 Philadelphia R/L Game 3 4-0
4/13 NY Yankees R/L Game 15 GAME CHASE (0-0)4/13 Detroit Game 1
4/13 NY Yankees R/L Game 1 5-05 GAME CHASE (0-0)4/13 Detroit
Game 1
GAME CHASE (6-0)4/22 PIT Game 24/22 OAK Game 3 7-04/22 NYM
(CHC to Lose) Game 1 8-04/22 CIN (LAD to Lose) Game 1 9-0
GAME CHASE (9-0)4/23 PIT Game 34/23 OAK (CLE to Lose) Game 14/23 COL Game 1
GAME CHASE (9-0)4/23 OAK (CLE to Lose) Game 14/23
COL Game 1
GAME CHASE (9-0)4/23 OAK (CLE to Lose) Game 1 10-04/23
GAME CHASE (10-0)4/24
COL Game 14/24 COL Game 2? If necessary.
COL Game 14/24 COL Game 2 11-0
GAME CHASE (11-0)
GAME CHASE (11-0)4/26 SF Game 1
GAME CHASE (12-0)4/27 COL (ARI to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (12-0)4/27 COL (ARI to Lose) Game 1 13-0
Game 2
GAME CHASE (13-0)4/28 KC (SEA to Lose) Game 14/28 FLA Game 14/28 MIL (PIT to Lose) Game 14/28 HOU (CIN to Lose) Game 14/28 HOU Game 1
Game 2 10-0
GAME CHASE (13-0)4/28 KC (SEA to Lose) Game 14/28 FLA Game 14/28
MIL (PIT to Lose) Game 14/28 HOU (CIN to Lose) Game 14/28 HOU
GAME CHASE (13-0)4/29 LAD (PIT to Lose) Game 24/29 HOU (CIN to Lose) Game 24/29 HOU
GAME CHASE (13-0)4/30 LAD (PIT to Lose) Game 34/30 NYY (CHW to Lose) Game 14/30 FLA Game 24/30 STL (CIN to Lose) Game 34/30 SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (13-0)4/30 LAD (PIT to Lose) Game 3 14-04/30 NYY (CHW
to Lose) Game 1
SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (15-0)
Game 45/1 STL Game 15/1
SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 25/1 SEA Game 25/1 TB Game 15/1 CLE Game 1
FLA Game 3 16-05/1 STL (CIN to Lose)
Game 4
SEA (TEX to Lose) Game 2 5/1 SEA Game 25/1 TB Game 1 5/1 CLE
GAME CHASE (60-2)5/19 NYY (TB to Lose) Game 25/19 BOS Game 1
determine a play Game 25
GAME CHASE (60-2)5/19 NYY (TB to Lose) Game 2 5/19 BOS Game 1 61-2
GAME CHASE (51-1)
CHC (PIT to Lose) Game 15/15 DET (BOS to Lose) Game 1
SD (LAD to Lose) Game 4
GAME CHASE (52-1)
CHC (PIT to Lose) Game 2
SD (LAD to Lose) Game 5
ATL Game 1 53-15/16 BAL Game 1 5/16
SD (LAD to Lose) Game 5 54-2
GAME CHASE (54-2)
GAME CHASE (55-2)
(NYM to Lose) Game 1
determine a play.5
GAME CHASE (62-2)5/21 WAS Game 1 5/21 PHI (BOS to Lose) Game
1 63-25/21 HOU (TB to Lose) Game 4
KC (COL to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (68-2)5/22 WAS (BAL to Lose) Game 15/22 WAS Game 2
GAME CHASE (68-2)5/22 WAS (BAL to Lose) Game 1 69-25/22 WAS Game
2
GAME CHASE (70-2)5/23 TEX Game 1
GAME CHASE (70-2)5/24 LAA (TOR to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (70-2)5/25 TB Game 15/25 MIN Game 15/25 LAA (TOR to Lose) Game 25/25 LAA Game 1
GAME CHASE (70-2)5/25 TB Game 15/25 MIN Game 15/25 LAA
(TOR to Lose) Game 2 71-25/25 LAA Game 1
GAME CHASE (72-2)5/26 KC (TEX to Lose) Game 15/26 CIN Game 15/26 MIN Game 15/26 TB Game 2
GAME CHASE (61-2)5/20 OAK Game 15/20 NYY (TB to Lose) Game 35/20 CHW (LAA to Lose) Game 15/20 LAD Game 1
GAME CHASE (61-2)5/20 OAK Game 1 5/20 NYY (TB to Lose) Game 35/20
CHW (LAA to Lose) Game 15/20 LAD Game 1
GAME CHASE (62-2)5/21 WAS Game 15/21 PHI (BOS to Lose) Game 15/21 HOU (TB to Lose) Game 45/21 MIN (MIL to Lose) Game 15/21 KC (COL to Lose) Game 15/21 STL (LAA to Lose) Game 25/21 OAK Game 2
GAME CHASE (72-2)5/26 KC (TEX to Lose) Game 1 73-25/26 CIN Game 1
MIN Game 1 5/26 TB Game 2
GAME CHASE (74-2)
BAL (OAK to Lose) Game 1 5/27 MIL (HOU to Lose) Game 1 75-25/27 CHC
OAK (TEX to Lose) Game 4 5/3 NYY (BAL to Lose) Game 1
5/4
OAK (TEX to Lose) Game 5
5/4 PIT Game 3
5/4 HOU (ARI to Lose) Game 1
5/4 HOU Game 4
5/4 SEA Game 3
GAME CHASE (24-0)
OAK (TEX to Lose) Game 5 25-0
5/4 PIT Game 3 26-0
GAME CHASE (26-0)
5/5 HOU (ARI to Lose) Game 2
5/5 HOU Game 5
5/5 SEA Game 45/5 CIN (NYM to Lose) Game 15/5 FLA (SF to Lose) Game 15/5 CHW Game 15/5 LAD Game 1
5/5 SEA Game 45/5 CIN (NYM to Lose) Game 1 29-05/5 FLA (SF to Lose)
Game 15/5 CHW Game 1
GAME CHASE (30-0)
PHI Game 1 15-05/6 MIN Game 1 5
WAS (ATL to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (32-1)
Game 35/7 MIN (BAL to Lose) Game 15/7 MIN Game 1
MIN R/L Game 25
Game 3 33-15/7 MIN (BAL to Lose) Game 1 5/7 MIN Game 1
GAME CHASE (33-1)
Lose) Game 1 5/8 MIN Game 15/8 BOS Game 15/8 PIT (STL to Lose) Game 15/8 PIT Game 15/8 CIN (CHC to Lose) Game 1
Lose) Game 2?5/8 MIN Game 2?5/8 SEA (LAA to Lose) Game 1
Lose) Game 1 5/8 MIN Game 15/8 BOS Game 15/8 PIT (STL to
Lose) Game 1 34-15/8 PIT Game 1
Lose) Game 2
5/9 SEA (LAA to Lose) Game 2
PHI R/L Game 35
GAME CHASE (38-1)
5/9 CLE (DET to Lose) Game 1
5/9 PHI Game 15/9 BOS Game 2
PHI R/L Game 3 16-05
5/9 PHI Game 1
5/9 SEA (LAA to Lose) Game 2 42-1Finally a nice sweep today.
GAME CHASE (42-1)5/10 NYM Game 1
GAME CHASE (42-1)5/11 BAL (SEA to Lose) Game 25/11 NYM Game 25/11 CHC Game 15/11 COL (PHI to Lose) Game 25/11 ARI (LAD to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (42-1)5/11 BAL (SEA to Lose) Game 25/11 NYM Game
2 43-15/11 CHC Game 15/11 COL (PHI to Lose) Game 25/11 ARI (LAD
GAME CHASE (43-1)5/12 BAL (SEA to Lose) Game 35/12 BAL Game 15/12 CHC Game 25/12
COL (PHI to Lose) Game 25/12 LAA (TB to Lose) Game 15/12 STL (HOU to Lose) Game 15/12 TEX Game 1
COL (PHI to Lose) Game 3?
to Lose) Game 2
GAME CHASE (43-1)5/12 BAL (SEA to Lose) Game 3
1
COL (PHI to Lose) Game 2
(HOU to Lose) Game 15/12 TEX Game 1
ARI (LAD
GAME CHASE (48-1)
(HOU to Lose) Game 2
STL
(NYY to Lose) Game 1 49-15/13 DET Game 1
GAME CHASE (50-1)
SF
(HOU to Lose) Game 3
SD (LAD to Lose) Game 35/14
(HOU to Lose) Game 3 51-1
GAME CHASE (83-2)
DET (OAK to Lose) Game 4 84-25/30 NYY (CLE to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (86-2)
LAD Game 1
GAME CHASE (87-2)
SEA (MIN to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (88-2)
(TEX to Lose) Game 1
GAME CHASE (90-2)
(TEX to Lose) Game 2
FLA Game 1
GAME CHASE (80-2)
DET (OAK to Lose) Game 2 5/28 CHC (STL to Lose) Game 1
DET (OAK to Lose) Game 3 5/29 CHC (STL to Lose) Game 25/29 LAA (SEA to Lose) Game 15/29 FLA (PHI to Lose) Game 15/29 COL Game 1
GAME CHASE (92-2)
TEX Game 26/4 LAD Game 16/4 TOR Game 26/4 NYM (FLA to Lose)
Game 16/4 ARI Game 1
DET (OAK to Lose) Game 3 5/29 CHC (STL to Lose) Game 2 81-25/29 LAA
(SEA to Lose) Game 1
DET (OAK to Lose) Game 4 5/30 NYY (CLE to Lose) Game 1
TEX Game 2 93-26/4 LAD Game 1
GAME CHASE (97-2)
SEA Game 16/5 PIT (SF to Lose) Game 1
(MIN to Lose) Game 16/5 OAK Game 1
GAME CHASE (99-2)
(MIN to Lose) Game 26/6 OAK Game 2
SEA Game 2
determine a play Game 1
(DET to Lose) Game 1 100-26/6 WAS Game 1 6/6 HOU (CHC to Lose) Game 1
HOU Game 1
(MIN to Lose) Game 2
GAME CHASE (104-2)
to Lose) Game 1 105-2
CIN Game 2
CIN Game 3
can some one help me out dont quiet get this
Ok GB...Your smoking here!!! Only came across your thread here a couple of days ago.How we looking today?
GB...Nice call on BOS and Im not gonna see a 2 gm sweep of NYY today. Interesting that you stayed off the RL Blitz. Yep close lines but I played STL. Well we know the result. I gotta listen better.
Yeah...That's Entertainment!!!
GB...Was nice having the phenom on the mound and a WAS (2) play all in one game even if it was at -205. Nice, Very nice watching that one with those 14K's, after watching Gallarado get robbed last week in that masterpiece.
Thanks for your activity here.
Hey Prime1...yeah thanks for putting it up. I was waiting for GB to(have been tracking things myself as well but always look for that validation).Was sure about LAD and NYM, but went with TEX and TOR as well and went back and checked em as proper. Thanks for the reminder. Nice very nice 5-0. Should have stayed off that ML-FV (CWS) as GB's post later stated. But its all good. Hopefully we get a post this am from GB...I got BOS as well as ML-FV but its kind of close today with CWS's opening line.
OAK (MIN to Lose) and PIT (trying to figure why PIT) are 1's correct?.../r
OK...I see the PIT now.
This is what I do also. My opening game favorite chase would be up only 14U using martingale and is up 48.6 using this aggressive style of labby. If I have multiple games starting on a given day I play them all on the outside numbers.
looking for 4 wins to clear all 3 lines. Just chip away with the
collection department, while you continue 20, 60, 140 on the front
end."Let's say I have six games to wager on. I do things a little different, I still place 6 bets on the Martingale side, Risk: 20, 60, 140, according to game A,B,or CI rank the 6 qualifying plays according to their RPI. You can google MLB, RPI rankings.Now I still need to use the Labby line Collection Department, because I still need 4 wins to clear these 3 lines. Using the qualifying system plays, I take the 4 teams with the highest RPI rating and use them to clear my labby lines. So in this example I will be wagering 20+60 = TO WIN: 80 on the highest ranked RPI team (within the system plays), the other 3 bets will be 20+20 = TO WIN: 40.I am still developing some expertise at money management, still work 7am to 6pm, and I need a way out of the rat race. I'm just sharing my ideas and positive experience with others who are learning to be successful sports investors. I've learned that one size doesn't fit all, but I do know that as long as you are clearing lines, you are making profit. Best of all, we get to share our crazy ideas in our "War Room", so we can work together to find the best way to venture forward.See you at the top!
(STL to Lose) Game 1
(KC to Lose)
6/16 CLE Game 26/16 ATL Game 16/16 CHC (OAK to Lose) Game 1
6/16 CLE Game 26/16 ATL
Game 1 126-26/16 CHC (OAK to Lose) Game 1 127-2
6/17 CLE Game 36/17 NYY Game 16/17 KC (HOU to Lose) Game 1
6/17 CLE Game 3 6/17 NYY Game 16/17
KC (HOU to Lose) Game 1 128-2
6/18 SEA Game 36/18 NYY Game 2
With ya Prime...its looking good. Hope GB is well.
Thanks.
Thanks for keeping it going Prime. Almost missed that NYM until I saw the post here. And...C-mon LAD get a HM win already.
/r
GAME CHASE (148-2)
BAL (OAK to lose on Road)
Game 2 (149-2)6/30 SF (LAD
to lose on Road) Game 3 6/30 BAL Game 1 (150-2)6/30 ATL (NATS to lose on Road) Game1 (151-2)
(34-0)
R/L Game 4 5 GAME CHASE
(139-2)6/26 LAD Game 4 6/26 LAA Game 26/26 TEX Game 1see you at the top!
R/L Game 4 (35-0)5 GAME CHASE
(139-2)6/26 LAD Game 4 (140-2)6/26 LAA Game 2 (141-2)6/26 TEX Game 1 (142-2)
(35-0)
R/L Game 15 GAME CHASE
(142-2)6/27 MIL Game 16/27 METS (MIN to lose on Road) Game 1see you at the top!
R/L Game 1 5
GAME CHASE
(142-2)6/27 MIL
Game 1 (143-2)6/27 METS (MIN to lose on Road) Game 1 (144-2)6/28 plays before 6pm.
GAME CHASE (144-2)
CLE Game 46/28 ATL
Game 16/28 SF Game 16/28 CIN Game 1this is complete.
CLE Game 4 (145-2)6/28 ATL
Game 1 (146-2)6/28 SF Game 1 6/28
CIN Game 1 (147-2)back later.
GAME CHASE (147-2)
Game 1 6/29 CUBS (PIT to lose on Road) Game 1 (148-2)6/29 SF (LAD
to lose on Road) Game 2
Game 26/30 SF (LAD
to lose on Road) Game 36/30 BAL Game 16/30 ATL (NATS to lose on Road) Game1See you at the top!
R/L Game 3 5 GAME CHASE
(135-2)6/25 WSOX (CUBS to Lose) Game 16/25 NYM Game 16/25 ATL (DET to Lose) Game 16/25 LAA Game 16/25 LAD Game 36/25 SF (BOS to Lose) Game 1
(135-2)6/25 WSOX (CUBS to Lose) Game 1 (136-2)6/25 NYM Game 1 (137-2)6/25 ATL (DET to Lose) Game 1 (138-2)6/25 LAA Game 1 6/25 LAD Game 3 6/25 SF (BOS to Lose) Game 1 (139-2)
(134-2)6/23 HOU
(SF to Lose) Game 26/23 AZ Game 16/23 OAK (CIN to
R/L Game 1 6/23 HOU
(SF to Lose) Game 2 (135-2)6/23 AZ
Game 1 6/23 OAK
(CIN to
R/L Game 2 5 GAME CHASE
(135-2)6/24 AZ
Game 2 6/24 OAK
Lose) Game 3