GiLmo574's Blog

Diggin' my Uncle RAY-RAYS tonight... (write-up + plays)

By GiLmo574 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, August 31, 2011 07:07 PM   15 comments

Jamie Shields -vs- Alexia Ogando... should be a good pitching match up tonight.

Jamie Shields  -  I don't know why the hell I always call him Jamie... 

Take away Shields' implosion -vs- the Mariners a couple games back, he's had a very impressive month.  He had a solid 7IP in thast game, but then got shelled in the 8th.

Alexi Ogando, on the other hand, has been having a pretty rough month of August, and an even rougher 2nd half.  Ogando was pretty damn close to lights out in the 1st half going 9-3 with a 2.92 ERA.  So far, this 2nd half, he's @ .500, 3-3, and holding an ERA a hair above a nickel - 5.01.  His WHIP has also jumped up from 1.0 to 1.5.

Ogando battled through the 1st half showing off his skills, and with most teams never seeing the kid, he mowed down team after team, and caught fire early on going 5-0 through the first 2 months of the season.

Shields had a solid 1st half as well.  The first 3 months of the season, he capped off each month above the .500 mark, and hurled a league leading 6 CG's in the 1st half. 

So, the stats I'm tossing out between the 2 starting pitchers tonight are pretty basic  -  talking about their 1st half performances compared to their 2nd half performances, and who's been hot & who's been not lately... 

But, I dug deep.  And then dug deeper, into both of these pitchers stats.  Both teams are in the Top Half of the league in hitting... with Texas @ #3, and Tampa Bay @ #14.

And when it comes to facing opposing teams in the Top Half of Team Batting... Jamie Shields is the freaking man.  A freakin, well, freak.  Check out these per-tee stats:

MLB = #2 Team Batting

MLB = #5 Team Batting
TORONTO:  7.1IP/1ER, WIN (9-1)
TORONTO:  CG, 9IP/1ER, WIN (6-1)

MLB = #12 Team Batting

MLB = #1 Team Batting
YANKEES: 7.2IP/1ER, WIN (2-1)

MLB = #15 Team Batting
ORIOLES: 7.1IP/2ER, LOSS (1-3)
ORIOLES: 7.1/1ER, WIN (6-2)

MLB = #8 Team Batting
REDS: 7IP/4ER, LOSS (3-4)

James Shields stats -vs- Top 15 teams in the bigs:
6-5 with a stellar 2.15 ERA

Now, one thing that scares me a bit this evening, is that Shields gets pretty ugly run support.  In the games -vs- the Top Half of hitting teams, his run support is 3.46 and the Shields' run support for the entire season has been 3.89

I'd feel alot more confident if the Rays were averaging around 4.2, 4.3 a game.  Or if they were facing a pitcher who is horrendous when he faces teams in the AL East....

Alexi Ogando had a very nice 1st half, yes.  But, he's been regressing, and it's been showing, during this 2nd half of Baseball.  And no division has been giving Ogando fits as much as the AL East has.

I went ahead and compiled up all of Ogando's starts this year -vs- AL East opponents.  You know, the AL east where the big bats reside.  Teams like the Red Sox, Yankees, and Blue Jays... and go ahead and count in the Rays & Orioles.  Why add in the Rays & Orioles?  Well, because they are in the Top Half of the league in batting.  YES  -  all 5 AL East teams are in the Top Half (top 15) of the league in Team Offense.  And while some of you @ home did not know that... I'll tell you somebody who did know this.  Mr. Alexi Ogando.  Check out these stats this year for Ogando -vs- AL East teams:

8/25/11  =  4IP/6ER, LOSS

4/28/11  =  6IP/2ER, LOSS
7/24/11  =  6IP/3ER, LOSS
7/29/11  =  5.2IP/3ER, LOSS

7/6/11  =  7IP/3ER, WIN

4/17/11  =  6.1IP/5ER, ND
6/14/11  =  1.2IP/6ER, LOSS

Alexi Ogando is 1-5 with an ERA over 7 (7.06) in 6 games pitched -vs- AL East Teams.  He's also hittin' the shower @ an average of 5.5 innings pitched.

comment Post A Comment
ac_bum says:
8/31/2011 8:08:13 PM
 GL 574
TodaysLocks says:
8/31/2011 8:14:22 PM
Great writeup.  I swore of the Rays.  Well I thought I did until I took them twice last week going 2-0.  Hope they hit for you as well brotha
Kaufee says:
8/31/2011 8:20:07 PM
good stuff Gilmo
Fortmax says:
8/31/2011 8:21:23 PM
I'm with you on this ,Additional plus for the Rays is Nelson Cruz is out for tonights game.

Lets go Rays !

Good luck brutha.  
hodge says:
8/31/2011 8:46:52 PM
great call close game i expect tbrays
DoublePsycho says:
8/31/2011 8:47:40 PM
BOL GiL  Let's go get it Bro!!!
claude_gir0ux says:
8/31/2011 8:51:28 PM

good luck brotha !

princeofasia says:
8/31/2011 9:28:44 PM
SawLo says:
8/31/2011 9:51:34 PM
damn not in time to trail -_- GL
DongTa38 says:
8/31/2011 10:01:25 PM
You look pretty busy last couple days, however it's worth it

make it 3 days in a row
good luck Budd
K4ngur13 says:
8/31/2011 10:28:40 PM
fuxy008 says:
8/31/2011 11:29:45 PM

on the winner side


LawDog says:
8/31/2011 11:55:03 PM

you're fuckin   on your write up plays Gil

Stay hot bro.

In the words of Randy Moss "Straight cash homie"

Fortmax says:
9/1/2011 12:02:33 AM
  Gil  Mo - ney  !  
dimeplayer68 says:
9/1/2011 1:22:42 AM
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User: GiLmo574
Joined: November 2008
Location: California
Team: Chicago Bears
Occupation: Management

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