Greedybastard's Blog

Posted Saturday, February 22, 2014 01:08 PM

2014 Joe Gibbs Racing Thread

Think there is money to be made by just focusing on a team that appears to be heading for a great season in Nwide and Cup.

Daytona Nationwide

Kyle 3/1 $25.00

Matt 5/1 $20.00



Posted Saturday, January 18, 2014 11:43 AM

Underdog Moneylines for 1/18

2-4 last week and still managed + 40 on the day.

Georgia ML +150 - Can you say Arkansas letdown?

Missouri State + 500

Fairfield + 275

South Carolina + 105

NC Greensboro + 270

Chattanooga + 255

FSU + 185

BC +575



Posted Saturday, January 11, 2014 11:09 AM

Shaping up to be a nice underdog moneyline day

North Carolina +330 - When this team plays poorly, they play really poorly, but they have wins over Michigan State, Louisville, and Kentucky.

South Carolina +115 - Frank has this team playing well, and I like a conference home dog any time I can get one.

Troy +260 - Why not.

South Dakota +180 - DU tends to have a ton of trouble on the road, and I can easily see a poor shooting loss for the pioneers today.

Temple +260 - Looking for a Memphis letdown. Probably a donation to the book.

Over 170 OU/ISU - This is going to be a shootout. These teams also have a crazy record in favor of the over throughout the years.

Good luck today gentlemen.



Posted Tuesday, November 05, 2013 11:02 PM

Warriors/Wolves over

This is going to be an entertaining game from start to finish tomorrow night. The Wolves are going to be a sleeper team in the West, and I think they can match the Warriors bucket for bucket. I am looking for Minnesota to get off to another hot first quarter start, and for the Warriors to shoot themselves back into it throughout the game. I think this thing sails over 208.5.

Posted Sunday, November 03, 2013 04:27 PM

Minnesota Twolves Moneyline

This Timberwolves team is going to be a money maker this year. I'll take what I think is the better lineup. +140 is a nice price for a team that has the better starting lineup, and a much better bench.

Posted Sunday, March 24, 2013 11:31 AM

California - Lets go JGR part III

+150.00 on the season.

Yesterday's race seemed to indicate that the top was going to be the preffered line. There are a couple of guys who I think are very good in this scenario.

Kasey Kahne 10/1 $70.00 - One of the best at riding in the high line.

Kenseth - 7/1 $50.00 - To me, he is the best of the best right now.

Hamlin - 7/1 $50.00 - He knows how to save the tires on tracks where the give up is so substantial.

Junior - 15/1 $40.00 - Another that can just sit up top and set sail.

Bowyer and Kes worry me a bit because this could be a fuel mileage race, but I think I have the winner listed. Good luck fellas.



Posted Thursday, March 14, 2013 10:53 PM

Bristol- Let's go JGR Part II

+$390.00 on the season, thanks to Matt Kenseth.

On to Bristol where I think we see the usual suspects at the front of the field.

Kyle +700 $60.00 - He's going to break through at some pont.

Kes +700 $50.00

Kenseth + 1200 $40.00

Concrete Carl 1200 $40.00

Denny - Pass for now.

Let's hope we can all hit again this week.



Posted Sunday, March 10, 2013 02:51 PM

Las Vegas Sunday - Lets go JGR

Gibbs cars definitely have the new car figured out. I think this race will be a display of Gibbs drivers and power.

Kyle +700 $50

Denny - 10-1 $40 - One week ago Denny was criticizing NASCAR and the new style of car, and I can see him winning this week. Post race interview could be entertaining.

Kenseth - 15-1 $40 - There is way too much value in a driver who usually does well on the 1.5 mile tracks.

Looks like we are all on Kyle, so I hope he comes through for us. Hopefully fuel mileage stays out of the equation today. I chose to pass on Brad K., and I am really hoping it doesn't come back to bite me.



Posted Saturday, March 09, 2013 02:44 PM

Las Vegas Saturday

+0.00 for the season. Giving back all of my Saturday winnings on Sunday so far.

I think the Nationwide race is going to be the Kyle Busch show again like last week, but I'll add some insurance.

Kyle +250 $60

Kes +500 $35

Bayne +900 $25

Good luck this weekend gentlemen.



Posted Saturday, March 02, 2013 11:59 AM

Phoenix Weekend

Ended up +0.00 after a decent early start to the Daytona Weekend.

Nationwide:

Following the herd and taking Harvick +600, and adding Kyle +350 and Kes +800.

Cup:

The odds got a little out of control on the top guys, so my only pick so far is Bowyer at +2500. Will watch practice and see who is strong. Leaning Kyle, Tony and Jeff G. Good luck this weekend gentlemen.



Posted Monday, February 18, 2013 05:41 PM

Daytona 500

After catching a fair amount of practice and the Shooutout over the weekend, I think it is becoming clearer who the cars to beat are going to be for the Duels and the 500.

No odds yet for the Duels, but I will be on the 20, 14 and 29. The 20 dominated the early practices, and the 20, 14, and 29 dominated in the Shootout. I am guessing that they will be strong in the Duels, and will get a solid starting spot for the 500, so I will get in now.

Kenseth 12-1 50 to win 600. As soon as he signed with Gibbs, I thought that he would win the 500 with the 11 pushing.

Harvick 10-1 45 to win 450. Possibly a slight over-reaction to the Shootout, but he controlled that race and his car was strong on the top and bottom.

Stewart 12-1 40 to win 480

I'll wait to see what happens in the Duels to see if I need to add anyone else, but at this point, I don't see a longshot or anyone else really having a car/driver that can work past these three. Good luck, and here's to a NASCAR season with plus money.



Posted Thursday, August 30, 2012 09:50 PM

Kickoff Weekend Underdogs and underdog moneylines

Starting off with Thursday

Washington State +13 - Coach Leach should have enough up his sleeve to keep this within 13

UNLV +9.5 - In the battle of two bad teams, I will take the home dog. Strange things can happen in Vegas when the Rebels are dogs.

WSU Moneyline +400 - Small wager on all of the Coach Leach hype.

UNLV +280

Good luck to all this college season. Hope it is profitable to all.



Posted Tuesday, December 27, 2011 07:37 PM

12/27 Underdog Moneyline

1-0 on the underdog moneylines with New Orleans last night.

Tonight Minnesota +210 looks good. I liked what I saw from them against OKC, and I expect more of the same tonight. The culture is changing for the better in Minny. I'll take the better offense in this match up.



Posted Sunday, December 25, 2011 11:28 AM

A couple picks for Xmas

Bulls -4.5 - No BYnum, no Odom, an aging Fisher, and a banged up Kobe, and no Phil Jackson makes me like the Bulls today. I also really like the addition of Rip Hamilton for the Bulls. It will take a little pressure off of D Rose.

Under 189 Heat/Mavs - It is Xmas day, unders or no play for me.

Under 195.5 Magic/Thunder -  Missed the 197 I wanted, but I think these two teams are more than capable of putting together a couple solid minutes of bricks.

Very small play on Knicks/Celts Under 191.5

Good luck with your NBA season.



Posted Sunday, December 04, 2011 11:57 AM

Underdog Moneylines 12/4

UNLV +125

Baylor +120

Dayton +130

UNLV/Baylor Parlay

UNLV/Baylor/Dayton Parlay

GLTA



Posted Saturday, September 24, 2011 12:06 PM

Colorado State at Utah State

Procrastinated and got a line that wasn't as good as it could have been, but it will end up not making a difference. Colorado State will bring its slow and predictable offense to the table, and again they will be missing Michael Sisson from their defense. It was obvious that he was sorely missed last weekend against the running game of CU. Colorado State practically needed a miracle to beat New Mexico on the road and they managed a whopping 14 points against one of the worst teams in the nation. CSU brought another 14 point performance against another poor defense last weekend. I see another 14-17 point performance tonight against Utah State, and I don't see how that keeps them in the game much past the 2nd quarter. Utah State's large O-line is going to push CSU all over the field, and I see the Aggies scoring well into the 30's against a much smaller and slower CSU defense. Another bad road loss for the Rams is upcoming tonight. 38-17 Aggies. Take Utah State -10 and enjoy teh easy money.

Utah State -10

Posted Saturday, September 17, 2011 11:27 AM

Colorado vs Colorado State

Colorado State will be without Micahael Sisson and I think that is going to really hurt them defensively.

Colorado State was lucky to win in week one, and looked less than impressive in week two. They take a large step up in competition today against CU. I am not saying CU is awesome, but they are better than New Mexico and Northern Colorado.

CU's offensive line will wear down the smaller CSU D-line, and CU's speeed at WR is going to cause a big problem. I think Paul Richardson has a huge game for CU today.

Colorado State's running game will go back to being anemic, and I see CU winning this game easily. I'll gladly lay -7 today on the Buffs.

CU - 7 -BIG



Posted Saturday, September 10, 2011 11:24 AM

underdog moneylines Sept. 10

C. Michigan +305

Colorado +200 - This game has been circled for the Buffs since the day after the Cal game last year. Make or break time for CU. Funny things tend to happen at altitude.

Kansas +165

Wisky over 58

Houston over 64.5

Va Tech over 64.5



Posted Saturday, August 13, 2011 12:29 PM

Colorado State at New Mexico

I got a number that I feel comfortable with laying on CSU. The first thing that stood out to me when I took a look at this game is the fact that New Mexico has scored a total of 21 total points in game 1 over the last 5 years. Yes they have played some good teams in that span, but they have had horrible statistics to match the poor totals. It just shows an overall lack of preperation to start the season.

Next, Mike Locksley is still the coach at New Mexico. He brings a 2-22 record back for the 2011-2012 season. I saw a quote somewhere that stated he has had more lawsuits against him than victories. I don't believe his team wants to play for him, and given the inability of the Lobos to score, I can easily see them putting up no more than 14 points in this game. 6 returning starters on the offense will not help their cause either.

Although CSU is horrible on the road, I believe this is a good bet on Colorado State because they have a QB that will pick NM apart, they have a much improved running game to keep the Lobos on their heels, and most importantly, the players of CSU love Steve Fairchild, and he is on the hot seat. I believe the 8 returning starters on offense can only help their cause. This game means everything to CSU's season.

Pete Thomas has done nothing but improve over the summer. He is stronger and more accurate than last season, and he absolutely torched UNM last season. I look for more of the same this sea... [More]

Posted Sunday, May 29, 2011 12:29 PM

Coca Cola 600

Carl +500 - Noticed this number has dropped to +300 in some placed.  75 to win 375

Kenseth +1000 - Same chassis as the Texas car. That turned out pretty well. 50 to win 500

Good luck gentlemen



Posted Saturday, May 07, 2011 04:50 PM

Tonight in Darlington

Harvick +1800- I'll wager on this guy any time he is starting in the top 35. Was strong here last year also. - 40 to win 720

Jeff G. - +700 - Always races well at Darlington and has had a strong car of late. 40 to win 280

Kyle Busch - +700 - Starting 14th and gets great odds. I bet he'll be in the top 5 by lap 25. 50 to win 350

A win here gets me out of the negatives on the season.



Posted Sunday, May 01, 2011 10:59 AM

Money Managment Day 2


Rockies run line +110  - 20 to win 22.


$1-0 1020

Posted Saturday, April 30, 2011 07:34 PM

Money Management Day 1


Saw this idea listed in the main forums and decided to try it myself. Sport betting is a marathon, not a sprint. One wager a day. Starting bankroll = 1,000. No wagers over 2.5 % of total pankroll. Tonight I like Pittsburgh/Colorado Under 9, 22 to win 20. Rockies are in a funk offensively, and I don't see that changing tonight.

Posted Thursday, April 14, 2011 09:28 PM

Talladega

I believe the term "treading lightly" will be used a lot this weekend

Junior 40 to win 440

David Ragan 30 to win 900 (thought these were crappy odds until I saw that he is +20 at the greek)

Regan Smith 20 to win 1500



Posted Thursday, April 07, 2011 11:33 PM

Texas

Kyle Busch 75 to win 525

Harvick 30 to win 270

Will wait and see if Tony and Carl practice and qualify well. I think the winner will be one of these four.



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