Posted Sunday, August 30, 2015 07:00 PM
Shoulda, coulda, woulda. That is how I would sum up CU last season. As terrible as this team was, last year the Buffs had UCLA, Oregon State and Utah on the ropes, and found a way to choke the game away. The defense just could not find a way to get a stop.
Enter Jim Leavitt. I have sat in on multiple CU practices this summer, and the guy has been dominate in practices. I find it hard to believe that Macintyre is even the head coach. Leavitt runs the show, and most importantly he has made the point a couple of times that he will put the defense in the correct position to succeed. So far so good. I like the experience returning, and more importantly, I like the man in charge of the defense. Colorado will still get gashed by the likes of Oregon and USC, but a lot of the middle tier PAC 12 teams need to be on high alert.
The next thing that has stood out to me about this CU team is speed. I cannot remember the last year where I was able to say that I wasn't faster than half the team. CU's receiving corps is full of speedsters. I am really looking forward to this match up with Hawaii, because I see plenty of opportunity for the long ball. CUs O-line is much bigger, and most importantly much stronger than they have been in the past. I am looking for the Buffs O-line to push Hawaii all over the field. Not only will this give Sefo plenty of time to sit in the pocket and air it out, but I believe we are going to see a huge night for the CU running game.
Posted Friday, August 28, 2015 10:29 AM
With a new baby boy in the house, and a job that keeps me away at least 50 hours a week, I am going to have to pick my spots quite carefully this season, and I believe this thread will be the easiest and most low maintenance way to make a profit. Each week I will be taking the WKU over, and I will be getting it right as it comes out. I will not wait for better numbers, and I will not flinch if they go into the 80s. This team is explosive on offense, and atrocious on defense. That previous sentence will be the basis of all of my capping on these totals. In my opinion, this is a recipe for overs covering in the 3rd quarter left and right. My goal for this thread will be conservative (+$500.00), but incredibly attainable.
Week 1 - @Vandy - Over 65 $110.00 to win $100.00
Here's to a profitable season.
Posted Saturday, August 01, 2015 11:25 AM
Iowa: I think tonight is the night for Suarez. 6/1 and Chase Eliott 6/1. Erik Jones has to start in the back, so I will see if his odds move once everyone figures that out. I'm guessing the 54 and 22 will be in the mix, but I like Suarez a ton tonight.
Pocono: Grabbed Truex and Kurt early at 7/1 apiece, so it looks like I might have bought a little low. Adding the 22 once the odds are up, and most likely will have to unload on the 4.
Looking to bounce back from a bad week last week. Hard to remember the last week where I was pretty much out of the running from the start.
Posted Tuesday, July 21, 2015 08:51 PM
Always one of my favorite races to watch.
Austin Dillon 3/1 - Think he wins this thing fairly handily.
Erik Jones 7.5/1 - Can't remember the last time I actually got good odds on this guy in a truck race. Think he can be competitive, and maybe pull off the win.
One Indy pick so far for Sunday - Jimmie 7/1 - That number is way too high for a guy who always gets around this place well. I think this particular package is going to favor Hendrick and Stewart-Haas in a big way. You can increase the drag all you want, but the cars with the most power under the hood should dominate this thing. Cars may be closer together, but the 4 and 48 should be the class of the field. Only thing that concerns me will be the strategists doing things out of sequence and possibly pulling one off.
Xfinity cars are also using some sort of drag package this weekend as well. Probably going to have to see what happens in all of the practices to see what comes of this new setup.
Posted Thursday, July 16, 2015 10:39 PM
Kyle +225, Brad +250 - Same drill as last week. Not much profit to be made, but there is opportunity nonetheless. I don't see how one of these two doesn't win.
18 - 10/1 - This has to be the last week at double digits. He said it himself, the way to get into the Chase is to lead the most laps and win. Extra seat time in the Xfinity race is always a plus at a track like this.
41 - 10/1 - Back to the regular rules package, and Kurt has easily been one of the top two or three cars on a weekly basis. Like Kurt on the short tracks as well.
11 - 12/1 - Another guy in the Xfinity race with the ability to get around the short tracks.
19 - 20/1 - Pretty sure I wasted my money on this one, but I can see him pull something out of his backside.
2 and 22 should be strong, but I think the four I took will have much lower odds on Sunday morning. 15 and 42 to finish top 3 may be worth a look as well.
Posted Thursday, July 09, 2015 10:27 PM
Been looking forward to this race for awhile. I think we get back to some decent racing instead of this single file garbage we've been seeing of late.
Another reason I am really looking forward to this weekend, is that I think I have this one pegged pretty solidly. This is Brad Kesolowski's race on Saturday night. You take away the advantage that the 4, 41 and 48 have over the rest of the field, and you do it a track that BK owns. Not sure what it is about the bumps on this track, but he knows how to navigate them. On top of that, look at where BK's odds opened. He hasn't been under 10/1 on the 1.5 mile tracks since the opening weeks. He's looked incredibly unimpressive over the last couple of weeks and he has relatively low odds for this upcoming race. He is running the Infinity race as well, so he is going to get the extra seat time and the Sprint Cup guys aren't getting any seat time with the weather. I'll take the 8/1.
Kyle - 14/1 - Another guy running the Infinity race getting some crazy odds.
24 - 18/1 - Now his odds are just getting plain silly.
Practice will tell us a lot, so I am hoping that we at least get one round in.
Friday night - Taking BK and KB. Decent profit to be made if BK wins, and marginal profit, but profit nonetheless if KB wins.
Posted Thursday, June 04, 2015 09:51 PM
It seems like we are all in agreement that Pocono is going to come down to some sort of strategy play. There is a driver that I think will not only have a fast car, but I think can play any strategy that is needed to get the win.
88 to win 8/1
22 to win 11/1 - Another guy that should be quick, and he seems to have learned from BK how to do that "hyper-miling."
78 top 3 5/1 - Just not sure these guys actually have what it takes to close the deal.
14 top 3 25/1 - Got this one early in the week. His odds to win the race dropped from 90/1 to 45/1.
16 top 3 30/1 - This guy is picking up speed and playing the fuel mileage game of late.
Trucks - Most likely I am late to the party, but I am taking Reddick at 5/1, and I'll go Crafton at 3/1. This should most likely be the week that Erik Jones closes the deal since I have been on him over and over with no love.
Posted Sunday, May 31, 2015 09:59 AM
Looks like the Gibbs teams have found that "extra bit of speed" that they said they were lacking.
Hamlin - My book left the odds up during practice yesterday, and I am not one to pass on a book's generosity. Got the 10/1, but just not the 20/1 like a few of you got.
Johnson - Doesn't look like he has the speed, or the long run ability of Hamlin, but it is still Dover. 4/1
Bowyer top 3 - The truck and Infinity races came down to a long fuel run at the end, and I could see drivers like the 19, 15 and 88, and even the 14 doing something out of the ordinary to get to the front. 30/1
McMurray top 3 - This guy always seems to be lurking at the short tracks. He is another one where a strategy play may get him to the front. Don't think he has anything for the Gibbs boys, but a top 3 is not out of the question. 12/1.
Posted Sunday, May 03, 2015 11:01 AM
Parlays 3-7 +$607
Cubs -1.5 +125 - Looks like we could have a shootout with the total set at 10.5. I will take the better offense and arguably the better pitcher.
Padres -1.5 + 115 - I am assuming Tulo will sit since it is Sunday, and that is what he does. Kendrick will be lucky to get out of the 4th, like usual, and then in comes the Rockies bullpen, which has been overused on this trip. I'll also play the -2.5 when I get it. Might also play Padres to win by 4 or more when that comes out as well.
Posted Sunday, May 03, 2015 10:47 AM
I love this race because of the huge odds and the opportunity to bet a few more drivers than normal.
43 - 55/1 $20.00
13 - 70/1 $10.00
1 - 25/1 $30.00
16- 25/1 $30.00
17 - 40/1 $20.00
22 - 12/1 $35.00
Let the chaos begin!
Posted Saturday, May 02, 2015 09:42 PM
I really don't see how this doesn't go the full 12, but I am on the following:
Mayweather wins in Round 1-6 +22/1 ($35.00)
Mayweather wins in Round 7-10 16/1 ($60.00)
Mayweather wins in Round 10-12 22/1 ($55.00)
Posted Monday, April 27, 2015 10:16 PM
Banking on a Bucks meltdown.
Posted Sunday, April 26, 2015 11:12 AM
Parlays: 3-6 +$657
Nats -1.5 +140 -
Angels -1.5 +140
Rockies - 1.5 +155 - Don't think they get this game in today with the rain.
Astros + 136
Posted Wednesday, April 22, 2015 09:31 PM
I will continue to preach that this guy is the real deal until proven otherwise. Other than Prince Fielder, I do not think there is a player on the Rangers that can turn on Archie's fastball. Add in the fact that the Rangers have never seen him, and I think we have enough to get the W on the runline.
As long as he continues to locate with his pitches, he will continue to roll. Don't expect the ERA to edge above 2.00 tonight, which should get us to the W.
Posted Monday, April 20, 2015 06:03 PM
Parlays: 3-5 + $697
Cincy +102 - I'll continue to fade the Brewers until they make me pay, or they switch the manager out.
Minnesota +138 - Kyle Gibson's ERA against the Royals is absurd. Twins shouldn't need more than 3 tonight, but that is asking a lot nonetheless.
Parlay Rockies and Over: 40 to win 93
Posted Sunday, April 19, 2015 10:21 AM
Parlay: 3-5 + $697.00
Nice to be three games under in the record column, but over a $1,000.00 where it counts most. Two of the losses were games where a five run lead evaporated.
Mets -1.5 +115 - Harvey actually looks like he is capable of giving up hits, but I don't think this Marlins team will take advantage. Hopefully the Mets bullpen can get it together today.
Pirates - 1.5 +125 - I think things don't get right for the Brewers until a manager change. Won't be shocked if the Brewers score two runs again at the most. This team looks completely lost and uninterested.
Posted Saturday, April 18, 2015 12:46 PM
Parlays 2-5 +$180
Parlay: over Philly/Pitt/Colorado $100 to win $517
Mets runline +150
Yanks runline +150
Pirates runline +155
Posted Thursday, April 16, 2015 08:51 PM
Better enjoy these fat numbers on Archie, because they will continue to drop as the world catches on that he is legit.
Big number against an anemic offense, don't mind if I do.
Posted Sunday, April 12, 2015 12:02 PM
Parlays 2-2 +$300
Took a beating with the Rockies finally losing yesterday.
Rockies/Cubs over 10 Even
Milwaukee -1.5 +170
Parlay - Mets ML/Rox over 10/Brewer run line - $40 to win 400
Parlay Mets ML/Rox over 10/Chisox over 7.5 +105/Brewer Run line $40 to win $820
Posted Saturday, April 11, 2015 12:32 PM
Parlays 2-1 +$340
Colorado Rockies Run Line - +170 - Back to facing a right handed pitcher, and having Hundley behind the plate should equal a comfortable win for the Rockies. This team has paid me well so far this year, and looking to go 5-0 with them.
Colorado Rockies -2.5 +230
Parlay: Under Cincy/SD/Tex and Colorado -1.5 35 to win 623.
Posted Sunday, April 05, 2015 11:15 AM
Cubs -1.5 +190 - I could see the magical story of the Cubs starting off well tonight. I don't buy them as a legit contender, but I do thing Lester can keep the Cardinals in check. Lean to the over if it goes back to + money.
ChiSox +105 - I think the team in Chicago that will surprise and turn heads isn't the Cubs, but the ChiSox. I'll take the plus money in this matchup and wait for Ventura to have a middle inning meltdown.
Cincinnati -1.5 - +175 - Cincy is a team that I see making a huge turnaround barring injury. Cueto, plus this offense, make a solid statement tomorrow.
Colorado +140 - I think I am one of the very few who thinks the Rox will actually be respectable. This offense will be a monster with the key pieces healthy. Once Tulo gets hurt, it'll be all down hill.
Good luck on the season to all. Especially to those that don't take favorites.
Posted Saturday, February 28, 2015 11:15 AM
Harvick - 4/1
Not a fan of going against the 22, but Harvick owns this place and Larson is primed to win a bunch this year.
Posted Sunday, February 22, 2015 11:41 AM
Solid start to the season with a Duel win and an Xfinity win yesterday. Not happy with my numbers for today's race, but that is what happens when you wait.
88 - 6/1 - Horrible number, but I think he wins handily today.
48- 9/1 - Possible overreaction to the Duels, but it looks like he has a bad fast car. Hard to tell since the majority of the fast cars were in the other Duel.
4 - 12/1 - This will depend on whether or not he drops to the back to just ride around. I think he needs to stay near the front, even in the early stages of the race.
16 top 3 - 10/1 - Ever notice this guy is always lurking at the 500? Don't think he has the team to get him to the front, but I think he can linger around the top spots long enough to maybe pull off a top 3 finish.
42 top 3 10/1 - I think he wins multiple races this season, but not today. He will be in the mix just about every weekend in my opinion. Kyle Busch being out is going to open the door for this kid in both series.
Might look at one or two more top 3's, but I am set on the 88 winning today.
Posted Saturday, February 21, 2015 10:03 AM
Plus money after the Duels, now looking to make a huge splash. Big names in this race means big numbers on other drivers.
Brian Scott 20/1
Regan Smith 10/1 - I don't get why his numbers are always high in these plate races.
Field - 12/1 - Relying on Mike Wallace to bring this one home.
Good luck on the season boys!
Posted Wednesday, February 18, 2015 10:46 PM
Duel I - I was surprised to see the 88 at 6/1. Starting in the back means nothing in a race like this when there is plenty of room to move. I'll take the 88 and 20 at 6/1 in the first race. I get the two strongest cars and the two best plate racers.
Duel II - 78 and 11 - Don't quite get the low odds for Carl, but it helps me get a better number. Carl is playing the "better teammate" card, and it wouldn't surprise me to see him push the 11 to the win. Truex looked strong in the Unlimited, and I think he has a good chance tomorrow. 78 at 10/1 and 11 at 5/1 look solid.