Posted Tuesday, January 26, 2010 11:51 AM
I don't hate the Dallas Mavericks. But i love fading them in certain spots. And if you were a bookie, you'd be up a decent amount on your ledger from the sheer volume of Dallas bettors this month.
Thats because the Mavericks, a notorious public team, are a pathetic 4-8 ATS in January.
Conversely, the Bucks are 8-4 ATS through twelve games this month.
Do your research and you will NOT LOVE the Mavericks. And you will end up LOVING the Bucks getting points tonight. Actually, i confess that i actually LOVE the Mavericks because this is one team i usually get a very good read on.
My original pick for this month's GOM was the Phoenix Suns when they host the Mavericks on Jan 28th for what will be the 2nd game on TNT''s Thursday night programming. I've been advised and reminded that the Suns do not win on this day.
The Bucks and Mavericks clashed at the Bradley Center early in the season. Dallas won SU by the score of 115-113 as a +1.5 underdog. Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS when revenging a home loss. This is a great situation for the Bucks tonight, agree?
Okay, so maybe you're not sold on a 18-24 team that have a lousy road record. Sure, the Bucks are 5-17 straight-up on the road; but they are 2 games above .500 against-the-spread at 12-10.
Still not sold on the Bucks? At the very least, i'd stay away from the Mavericks tonight. Mark Cuban is a happy man in Texas because his team is 13-7 straight-up inside the confines of Ameri...
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Posted Thursday, January 21, 2010 10:30 AM
Underdog + Under, Favorite + Over
...Could be worth 1/4 of your original wager today, fellas.
For those who don't want to read the rest of my write-up, here's what my card will look like tonight:
3 units LA Lakers +3.5
1 unit Lakers/Cavaliers Under 195.5
2 units Denver Nuggets -9.5
And a $60 parlay on the sides and totals:
$30 Lakers, Under, Nuggets, Over.
$30 - Lakers, Under, Nuggets, Under. Just in case the Clippers don't score enough points tonight.
The Lakers/Cavaliers game pit 2 of the league's best defenses against eachother. The Lakers are 1st in FG defense and the Cavaliers are 3rd. Their last meeting from a month ago resulted in a low scoring affair. You can go as far back as 5 years in this series and the undermining theme remains the same; the Under is 8-2 in that half decade span. No one could seriously be considering the Over for tonight's this matchup.
For those who haven't noticed by now, there is a disturbing trend for TNT Thursday games: underdogs win SU & favorites win in blow-out fashion.
Here is a link to where you can review this year's previous TNT Thursday games. ~~~~~~~>
LINK
All you need to know is, if you think a certain underdog can win straight-up, you can bet on that team with confidence knowing that they wi...
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