Posted Monday, December 14, 2009 05:05 PM
Generally, for MNF or most primetime games, you can bet the favorite or underdog with confidence knowing that either the fave will win in blow-out fashion or the underdog will win straight-up. That means, FORGET THE SPREAD! That means, DON'T READ INTO THE F**KING LINE! That means, THE SPREAD DOES NOT MATTER!
Sorry for the bold, but i'm sure there are discussions out there that have these "line-readers" trying to decipher the spread any given week... that just cracks me up sometimes. I can agree that it is helpful to read into line movements and certain spreads but the point is -- just take a look at previous primetime matchups. Did the spread really mattered?
So... people. Please. Stop it with the "read the line" crap, okay? Especially when its Monday night.
I was leaning towards San Fran in this one but since this particular matchup of divisional rivals have a revenge factor to it, i'm afraid to bet against the Cardinals. Especially given the fact that these redbirds do play very well on the road and they're generally money in such spots. This defense can make things happen and could very well shut-down Gore and Coffee tonight.
On the offensive side i don't see how the 49ers 27th ranked pass defense can contain let alone stop Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin; and don't forget Steve Breaston -- he's no slouch either. There really isn't a lot of 5-10 corners that can matchup with Fitzgerald and Boldin...
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Posted Friday, December 11, 2009 02:56 PM
November's forecast went 7-3 ATS. Actually, 8-3 because the Mavericks forecast also included the Pacers game they played before heading to Cleveland. I just didn't make an official play on that one game, thats all.
Most of these are situational plays, generally fading a team on a back-to-back schedule. A few picks are matchup advantages strictly based on timing; ie, a hot team versus a struggling team, a home team coming off a [potential] road loss. And there is one matchup that posed a strong play on the total as well.
Here we go. Looks to be 10 big games on tap for this month.
Don't be suprised if most of my picks are a fade of one certain team. Mark Cuban will not be a happy man in December.
First off -- and i've presented this claim a week ago -- this is going to be a tough month for the Dallas Mavericks. By my divination of things and according to my
system "mojo" charts, this is the month we could make good money fading Dallas. Expect the Mavericks to have a losing month as they'll probably have a below .500 record for the month of December. Either way, i'll venture to say that the Mavericks will definitely have a sub .500 ATS record for this month. The Mavericks are already 1-3 ATS in December, the lone win coming against the Nets. For the month, ...
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