Posted Monday, September 28, 2009 04:53 PM
What's up, fellas. Long time now see.
I'm pretty much done with MLB until the play-offs. But i still glance at the matchups on a daily basis and things jump out at me from time to time.
I really like a certain road dog tonight.
For the record:
300/462 Texas Rangers +154
Angels are 2 wins away from clinching. But the Rangers aren't going down w/o a fight. Not tonight.
Tommy Hunter have been a reliable road pitcher. The Rangers are 4-3 with Hunter on the road.
Meanwhile the Angels are a putrid 3-7 with Santana at home. And just look at the recent trends for the Angels as a fave and specifically the trends for Santana. Not very appealing, i'd say. Ervin has a 7.10 ERA w/a 1.83 WHIP at home, bad enough for a 1-5 home record. Point is, you just don't bet on the Angels when they start Santana in Anaheim.
Check out these BA's against Santana, ignore the grades:
Michael Young 17-43 (.395) C+
Hank Blalock 12-30 (.400) A
Ian Kinsler 8-22 (.364) C+
Marlon Byrd 5-20 (.250) B+
Ivan Rodriguez 2-16 (.125) C-
Nelson Cruz 3-16 (.188) C+
Josh Hamilton 2-15 (.133) C+
Chris Davis 3-8 (.375) C-
Esteban German 5-8 (6.25) B-
David Murphy 2-6 (.333) C-
Andruw Jones 2-4 (.500) B+
Thats a cummulative .315 BA against Santana.
A few scary numbers up at the top, no?
Count me in on the Rangers tonight. For 3 bills.
Inside info for MNF: Jessica says to tak...
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Posted Sunday, September 06, 2009 12:21 PM
Under in the Cubs/Mets matchup of pitchers that both teams haven't much plate-appearances against looks good to me.
Home-plate umpire,
Fieldin Culbreth, is 13-16 on the Over-Under this year; although his strike zone isn't that generous at 61.5%.
Under/Over trends:
Under tendencies galore with these two teams, especially in respect to both pitchers. The exception would be the head-to-head trend and the games played in New York. But considering the pitching matchup and how each line-up haven't a clue on how to approach each pitcher yet, the Under is a better bet, i reckon.
Everybody else on the Mets roster have eluded Randy Wells' stuff except for Francoeur who had 2 AB's against Wells when he was with the Braves.
Maybe a play on the Cubs also. Gotta like the Cubs to win this series with Randy on the mound today. Pelfrey have faltered down the stretch and seems to be his usual character. Randy could be hands down rookie pitcher of the year.
Randy Wells' run support = 5.01
Mike Pelfrey's run support = 3.95
And Culbreth seems to favor the road team, per the covers.com trend page.
How hard are these teams going to play today when theres practically nothing to play for at this point?
What do you guys think?...
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Posted Friday, September 04, 2009 05:08 PM
Part 1, Wednesday, August 5 2009:
Luke French C+ born on September 13 1985. Lucky.
Kyle Davies C+ born on September 9 1983. Unlucky.
The play: Seattle Mariners -105 WINNER!
Part 2, Monday, August 31 2009:
Luke Hochevar B+ born on September 15 1983. Unlucky.
G. Gonzalez A+ born on September 19 1985. Lucky.
The play: Oakland Athletics -142 WINNER!
Part 3, Friday, September 4 2009:
Dan Haren C born on September 17 1980. Lucky.
Jason Hammel B-/C+ born on September 2 1982. Unlucky.
The play: Arizona Diamondbacks +102
Notice the pattern?
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