05/16 NBA - Celtics +6.5 tonight and 5 good reasons why Boston might even win this series.

10u 4-4 *** GAME OF THE MONTH *** 5u 17-3 *** GAME OF THE WEEK *** 3u 30-29 *** PICK OF THE DAY *** 1&2u 120-132 YTD +$3910   Hi!   Here.   315/300 Boston Celtics +6½ -105   There.   The Celtics will cover the spread in either Game 1 or 2 or both. I'll add an extra unit for Game 2 if that doesn't happen in Game 1.   Here are my top 5 reasons why the Celtics will be competitive against the Magic and might even win the series.   1) 4 championship thoroughbred versus zero. Self explanatory.   2) Ray Allen will be the x-factor for the Celtics in this series. Ray-Ray will be able to match the Magic's hot 3-point shooting. Orlando's defense is quite good but their weak spot is defending the 3-point shots.   3) Who will provide that extra lift for their team -- Vince Carter or Rasheed Wallace? My mojo chart says that 'Sheed will outperform VC in this series. Probably not by a big margin; but maybe a big enough difference where the Celtics can steal a game in Amway Arena.   4) Kendrick Perkins will be Superman's kryptonite. I doubt this statement myself but lets see how Dwight gets handled in this series.   5) Rajon Rondo didn't sleep with Paul Pierce's mom.   Coaching - slight edge to Boston, of course.   Bench - slight edge to the Magic, i think; but should be about even.   Cheerleaders - who knows?... [More]

05/03 NBA - Got a very good read on the Spurs/Suns series: the Suns will win it.

10u 4-4 *** GAME OF THE MONTH *** 5u 16-3 *** GAME OF THE WEEK *** 3u 27-29 *** PICK OF THE DAY *** 1&2u 115-131 YTD +$2010   Monday's POD:   306/300 Phoenix Suns -4 -102   Top 5 reasons why the Suns will win the Western Conference Semifinal:   1) Amar'e Stoudemire versus Tim Duncan and/or DeJuan Blair. Tim Duncan needs to be the x-factor for the Spurs to advance. In the previous series, Dirk Nowitzki actually out-played Tim Duncan in terms of scoring. Tim Duncan and his key sub, Dejuan Blair, will have to outscore Amar'e to keep pace with the Suns 1st ranked offense. Star powers will shine and i don't see the Spurs' defense hindering Amar'e in this round.   2) Perimeter shooting can't be underestimated for this matchup. Jared Dudley -- the best 3-point shooter in the league could really put the Spurs in the dust if he stays hot shooting the trey. The Spurs' duo 3-point threats right now are Manu and George Hill. Matt Bonner does not take that kind of shot in the play-offs and Tony Parker would rather drive and slash. Unlike the Spurs, the Suns have 5 guys that can get hot any time shooting 3-pointers. The Spurs don't have that lock-down guard defense anymore like  when they had with Bruce Bowen but they still have a respectable perimeter defense. The Suns will out-score the Spurs in more ways than one but the 3-point shooting differential could be crucial.   3) Suns have the better be... [More]

04/23 NBA - GAME OF THE WEEK: Spurs -3! Sayin' it again & again -- Spurs taking this series, fel

04/06 NBA - Sacramento Kings might be the best play on the board tonight. I see a live dog.

10u GOM 3-4 5u GOW 14-3 3u POD 24-27 1&2u 105-113 YTD +$558   No official plays yet; still waiting for the reduced juice lines.   Tuesday's leans:   Sacramento +6 and/or Over 193.   This is a good week to fade the Spurs as they've lost depth at the point-guard position. My mojo charts dictate a 56% chance for the Kings to win SU against the Spurs tonight; and slightly over 60% of covering the spread. A better situation arise when the Spurs head to Phoenix to play on Wednesday night. I'll add Phoenix as a potential GAME OF THE WEEK.   Also like Utah -5.5 agaisnt the Thunder.   Bulls line seems a 'lil steep, even w/o Bogut. Bulls will be cheering for Atlanta & Cleveland tonight.       Aprils' nickel & dime plays; or just games i've circled on my calendar:   GAME OF THE YEAR/MONTH:   April 13 - Phoenix Suns to blow-out the Nuggets. Revenge spot for the Nuggets but Denver will be on the back-end of a back-to-back and its the Nuggets' last game of the season. The Nuggets' play-off berth as a 5th seed is an undiscernable position; meaning that there is no point in trying to improve their play-off standing. If the Nuggets are down in this game, they'll just mail it in and prepare for an eventual play-off match against the Suns who will most likely remain the 4th seed. This is a series where the home team usually dominates. Lookin' to pound 2 dimes on th... [More]

04/04 NBA - It must be the hot sauce & penguins!

When i go to the South Pole, penguins follow.   When i cross the Arabian Desert, a Saudi wants to buy the sand in my shoes.   When i ask for Denise at Taco Bell, i get Shaniqua who persistently wants to "facebook" me.   I usually don't buy points. But when i do... i drink Negro Modelo.   I am the most unmitigated louse on covers.com.   Early Sunday:   103/100 Boston Celtics +1½ -103 170/100 Los Angeles Lakers -2½ -170   Thats all for now. GAME OF THE WEEK: Lookin' to pound the Pacers or the Over 212 for a nickel.       Aprils' nickel & dime plays; or just games i've circled on my calendar:   GAME OF THE YEAR/MONTH:   April 13 - Phoenix Suns to blow-out the Nuggets. Revenge spot for the Nuggets but Denver will be on the back-end of a back-to-back and its the Nuggets' last game of the season. The Nuggets' play-off berth as a 5th seed is an undiscernable position; meaning that there is no point in trying to improve their play-off standing. If the Nuggets are down in this game, they'll just mail it in and prepare for an eventual play-off match against the Suns who will most likely remain the 4th seed. This is a series where the home team usually dominates. Lookin' to pound 2 dimes on the Suns.   Potential GAME OF THE WEEK FOR March 29 - April 4:   April 3: New Jersey Nets go get their 11th win of the season when they host the New Orleans Hornets. ... [More]

I don't have a GAME OF THE YEAR but if i had one, the San Antonio Spurs is it!

For those that aren't interested in reading a memoir, here are my plays for Wednesday:   1650/1500 San Antonio Spurs -1 -110 550/500 Rockets/Thunder Over 205½ -110 315/300 Atlanta Hawks -1 -105 250/200 Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline -125 105/100 Toronto Raptors +2½ -105   3 of the plays have not been officially wagered on yet but for recordkeeping purposes, i'll just go with those lines. The Spurs play will count under the GOM tab.       This is one of those rare days when my mind is clear and i seem to have a great read on some of these games. I'm seeing several clear-cut matchups and i feel i can go 5-0. Today will be one of those rare days i'm going to invest a few bills on a 4 & 5-team parlay.   Covers.com have these front-page articles called "what bettors need to know: {insert road team @ home team}". Add a touch of rudimentary journalism, they're nice reads but the numbers, stats and trends are things you should already know if you've been watching the games/scoreboard or do your research.   If i could make a compelling write-up on why i like a certain side or total, my article would definitely have to include such numbers, stats and trends and situations and injuries associated between the teams. In the end, its still a coin toss for most bettors; a guess on the outcomes of the player versus player matchups. Do you have faith in George Hill, Manu & Tim Duncan to ke... [More]

02/21 NBA: Missed out posting/playing my GOW last night. Lets see how my luck holds out as i...

...settle for the next best candidate for a nickel play. Last chance to hit it big this week.   I had the Over in the Thunder/Knicks "circled" three weeks in advance. I ended up not playing it because my confidence was low as i've been on a cold streak this week.   The Knick's mojo was high last night and they nearly beat the Thunder in the Garden. Tonight, i'll be backing another team with good mojo, the Minnesota Timberwolves. They'll host a team that is a very good defensive team but couldn't stop the Knicks' scoring barrage last night -- although there was a lot of help from Tracy McGrady.   The Thunder are 19-9 on the Over-Under when playing on 0-day rest for the last 3 seasons. This is also a revenge situation for the Timberwolves, so at the very least, the home team plays with extra motivation tonight -- on the offensive side, that is.   The troubling trend is that most of Minnesota's home games have gone Under the total. Last i checked, its something like 10-18 on the Over-Under for the 'Wolves' home games.   The Thunder played extra minutes in the Garden as last night's game went into OT. Hopefully, the tired Thunder squad will coalesce to the Timberwolves' game of "shoot-and-forget-to-defend" style of play.   For the record, this week's GOW:   550/500 Thunder/Timberwolves Over 201½ -110    BOL & cheers!   I'm glad the Bulls are HOT this week. This is setting up nicely for my GOM next... [More]

01/26 NBA - GAME OF THE MONTH is ahead of schedule: Milwaukee Bucks tonight!

I don't hate the Dallas Mavericks. But i love fading them in certain spots. And if you were a bookie, you'd be up a decent amount on your ledger from the sheer volume of Dallas bettors this month. Thats because the Mavericks, a notorious public team, are a pathetic 4-8 ATS in January.   Conversely, the Bucks are 8-4 ATS through twelve games this month.   Do your research and you will NOT LOVE the Mavericks. And you will end up LOVING the Bucks getting points tonight. Actually, i confess that i actually LOVE the Mavericks because this is one team i usually get a very good read on.   My original pick for this month's GOM was the Phoenix Suns when they host the Mavericks on Jan 28th for what will be the 2nd game on TNT''s Thursday night programming. I've been advised and reminded that the Suns do not win on this day.   The Bucks and Mavericks clashed at the Bradley Center early in the season. Dallas won SU by the score of 115-113 as a +1.5 underdog. Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS when revenging a home loss. This is a great situation for the Bucks tonight, agree?   Okay, so maybe you're not sold on a 18-24 team that have a lousy road record. Sure, the Bucks are 5-17 straight-up on the road; but they are 2 games above .500 against-the-spread at 12-10.   Still not sold on the Bucks? At the very least, i'd stay away from the Mavericks tonight. Mark Cuban is a happy man in Texas because his team is 13-7 straight-up inside the confines of Ameri... [More]

01/21 NBA: Correlated parlay for today's TNT games might hit!

Underdog + Under, Favorite + Over   ...Could be worth 1/4 of your original wager today, fellas.   For those who don't want to read the rest of my write-up, here's what my card will look like tonight:   3 units LA Lakers +3.5 1 unit Lakers/Cavaliers Under 195.5 2 units Denver Nuggets -9.5   And a $60 parlay on the sides and totals:   $30 Lakers, Under, Nuggets, Over. $30 - Lakers, Under, Nuggets, Under. Just in case the Clippers don't score enough points tonight.   The Lakers/Cavaliers game pit 2 of the league's best defenses against eachother. The Lakers are 1st in FG defense and the Cavaliers are 3rd. Their last meeting from a month ago resulted in a low scoring affair. You can go as far back as 5 years in this series and the undermining theme remains the same; the Under is 8-2 in that half decade span. No one could seriously be considering the Over for tonight's this matchup.   For those who haven't noticed by now, there is a disturbing trend for TNT Thursday games: underdogs win SU & favorites win in blow-out fashion.   Here is a link to where you can review this year's previous TNT Thursday games. ~~~~~~~> LINK   All you need to know is, if you think a certain underdog can win straight-up, you can bet on that team with confidence knowing that they wi... [More]

December NBA Mojo Plays. Important dates you should consider on your wagering calendar.

November's forecast went 7-3 ATS. Actually, 8-3 because the Mavericks forecast also included the Pacers game they played before heading to Cleveland. I just didn't make an official play on that one game, thats all.   Most of these are situational plays, generally fading a team on a back-to-back schedule. A few picks are matchup advantages strictly based on timing; ie, a hot team versus a struggling team, a home team coming off a [potential] road loss. And there is one matchup that posed a strong play on the total as well.   Here we go. Looks to be 10 big games on tap for this month.   Don't be suprised if most of my picks are a fade of one certain team.  Mark Cuban will not be a happy man in December.   First off -- and i've presented this claim a week ago -- this is going to be a tough month for the Dallas Mavericks. By my divination of things and according to my system "mojo" charts, this is the month we could make good money fading Dallas. Expect the Mavericks to have a losing month as they'll probably have a below .500 record for the month of December. Either way, i'll venture to say that the Mavericks will definitely have a sub .500 ATS record for this month. The Mavericks are already 1-3 ATS in December, the lone win coming against the Nets. For the month, ... [More]

November NBA Mojo Plays. Important dates you should consider on your wagering calendar.

I've developed a nice system for fading pitchers, quarterbacks, goaltenders and in this case... i guess i'm fading point-guards or key NBA players. I've got +40 units to show for in MLB and i'm already up +21 units in the NHL. But i'm still grinding it out with the pigskins and currently having a slow start in the NBA. Anyways, onto what this thread is about. 

These games are potential blow-out winners, easy-overs or upsets. Pending injuries, of course.

November 10: I think the Bulls beat the Nuggets at home and then the Nuggets will get their revenge 11 days later. Public should be all over the Nuggets for this one. Bulls are playing well and Taj Gibson is doing just fine in place of TT.

November 10: Possible Wizards upset over the Heat. Wizards +6.5 should be a winner.

November 13: New York Knicks host the Warriors. Knicks will cover the spread at home. Medium play.

November 21: Both the Bucks and Grizzlies doing a back-to-back. Can't wait to pound the Over in this one.

November 22: New Orleans travel to Miami after a game against Atlanta. The Heat will win big!

November 22: Detroit travel to Phoenix after a game against Utah. The Suns will win big! The spread might be huge but it should be expected because the Suns are on a roll and might... [More]