HappyKane's Blog

04/06 NBA - Sacramento Kings might be the best play on the board tonight. I see a live dog.

By HappyKane | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, April 06, 2010 09:01 AM

30 comments

10u GOM 3-4

5u GOW 14-3

3u POD 24-27

1&2u 105-113

YTD +$558

No official plays yet; still waiting for the reduced juice lines.

Tuesday's leans:

Sacramento +6 and/or Over 193.

This is a good week to fade the Spurs as they've lost depth at the point-guard position. My mojo charts dictate a 56% chance for the Kings to win SU against the Spurs tonight; and slightly over 60% of covering the spread. A better situation arise when the Spurs head to Phoenix to play on Wednesday night. I'll add Phoenix as a potential GAME OF THE WEEK.

Also like Utah -5.5 agaisnt the Thunder.

Bulls line seems a 'lil steep, even w/o Bogut. Bulls will be cheering for Atlanta & Cleveland tonight.

Aprils' nickel & dime plays; or just games i've circled on my calendar:

GAME OF THE YEAR/MONTH:

April 13 - Phoenix Suns to blow-out the Nuggets. Revenge spot for the Nuggets but Denver will be on the back-end of a back-to-back and its the Nuggets' last game of the season. The Nuggets' play-off berth as a 5th seed is an undiscernable position; meaning that there is no point in trying to improve their play-off standing. If the Nuggets are down in this game, they'll just mail it in and prepare for an eventual play-off match against the Suns who will most likely remain the 4th seed. This is a series where the home team usually dominates. Lookin' to pound 2 dimes on the Suns.

Potential GAME OF THE WEEK FOR March 29 - April 4:

April 3: New Jersey Nets go get their 11th win of the season when they host the New Orleans Hornets. The Hornets will be tired after runnin'n gunnin' with the Grizzlies on April 2nd.

April 3 - LA Clippers ATS against the Denver Nuggets. This will be a double-digit spread where the home team will not cover.

April 4 - LA Lakers to blow-out the Spurs, again. Spurs will have revenge on their minds but, according to my system charts, this is just another bad spot for the Spurs. The Spurs' defense is quite underwhelming this season and isn't as good as the numbers say.

April 4 - Indiana ATS against Houston and Over. Pure mojo play. Look for the Pacers to outscore the Rockets. Should be a decisive win for the home team. Total could sail over 225 points easily.

Potential GAME OF THE WEEK FOR April 5 - 11:

April 7 - Phoenix to blow-out the Spurs. Excellent revenge spot for the Suns. Awful mojo for the Spurs this week; excellent mojo for the Suns. Best candidate for my GOW.

April 11 - Portland @ LA Clippers Under. Clippers are an Under machine and especially so when at home.

April 11 - Houston @ Phoenix Over. One of those games that will sail over the 250 mark easily.

Potential GAME OF THE WEEK FOR April 12 - 14:

April 14 - Cleveland @ Atlanta Over. Last game of the season for both teams. Lets not play any defense, yeah?

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30 comments

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aireent777 says:

04/06/10 09:07AM

I think I'll gamble here with the Spurs seeing your potential GOW tomorrow at Phoenix. If Spurs don't cover here then I'll double up my bet with Phoenix tomorrow night. GL!!!

FR3SH-like-UgHH says:

04/06/10 09:48AM

maybe...

lts41 says:

04/06/10 10:45AM

kings

lts41 says:

04/06/10 10:46AM

jlt9889 says:

04/06/10 10:58AM

good luck with the kings i got golden state and chicago big today. im riding that bulls train they gonna demolish dem moose

placeholder says:

04/06/10 11:05AM

one_hit_wonder says:

04/06/10 11:32AM

kings are my only play tonight as well. lets get this bro.

CheezeStack says:

04/06/10 12:15PM

Thinking something similar. I have Spurs at -3.5 to win. I was when I saw -6. Old man Spurs cannot run with these youngsters and they're def a live dog.

GamzOver says:

04/06/10 01:08PM

Roused says:

04/06/10 01:33PM

Spurs are fighting for their lives to stay out of the 8. I am going the other way. Good write up though.

Brocknroll says:

04/06/10 01:36PM

Kings. GL HK

doccocaubai says:

04/06/10 01:47PM

Tailer187 says:

04/06/10 01:51PM

With Spurs fighting for their lives I don't really think it's safe to bet against them at this point. You can throw all the stats, facts etc on this game but just the point that they are trying to stay in playoffs is HUGE HUGE HUGE. Spurs or no play for me... goodluck though!

Anent says:

04/06/10 02:08PM

Spurs or no play as well.

gamblerdevil911 says:

04/06/10 02:23PM

Anent how bout over first half for you if you dont like either spur or king

andarmac99 says:

04/06/10 03:20PM

I'll be taking Sacramento as well, HappyKane.

I can't really blame the Kings for giving up in the 4th quarter the other night as it was their 1st home game after a long road trip and your legs usual catch up to you in the 2nd half in those spots, plus Portland was better and just wanted the game more in the closing minutes after a bad game the game before. They smelled blood when Sacramento began to tire and that was the end of it. Now the Kings have since had 3 nights in their own beds and two full days of good practice time. They should be fresh and ready to go tonight.

I'm not so sure about the Spurs. While it's true they are battling for playoff positioning are they really going to be up for a Kings team they have swept 3-0 already this season after a huge win at the Lakers and the Suns looming on deck tomorrow night? I highly doubt it. How about this stat: The Spurs are 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS as favorites after a SU underdog win this season. Yikes! It looks like they are going to rush Tony Parker back tonight as well with George Hill out. I'm not sure how much he'll play but there's no doubt he'll be rusty and will take time to get back into the flow of things and gel with his teammates. If I'm not mistaken his wife said he'd gotten fat while injured, if he's out of shape Tyreke Evans could take him to school.

Sacramento +7 or more and ML for me.

GL Kane.

JBrilman says:

04/06/10 03:30PM

tease sacramento and Utah??

Potpie says:

04/06/10 03:46PM

For the life of me I can't figure the logic in this.

Unplug says:

04/06/10 04:41PM

basing your play that evans will destory parker is bad!

yes parker will be rusty..but evans hasn't been as good as he was in the mid year..he's fading like jennings..

if your doing it player by player...manu will destory udrih?..duncan...umm yeahh!

HappyKane says:

04/06/10 05:29PM

Well, according to my mojo charts, Tyreke Evans should post really good numbers today. And the rest of the Kings offense should be able to keep pace with a Spurs defense that plays down to their opponent.

And i'm going to fade Tony Parker that might not be 100%.

I'll make a bigger play on the Over.

Thanks for the viewpoints, fellas. BOL!

HappyKane says:

04/06/10 05:37PM

Limited card and small plays today as i'll most likely drop a nickel on the Suns on Wednesday.

100/100 Sacramento Kings +7 +100

210/200 Spurs/Kings Over 194½ -105

Spurs will play hard today but i like the Kings to try and spoil the Spurs' season.

JBender says:

04/06/10 07:22PM

Happy vs. Smartbets round 2.

gl, even though the MOJO says SA, I can't bet this team anymore.

I'll be on the Spurs tonight and the over for a larger play.

placeholder says:

04/06/10 07:22PM

i hate this pick HK, good luck.

Getty3 says:

04/06/10 07:30PM

In the 3 games since returning from injury, Evans is 15-44 from the field (34%) , has committed a dozen turnovers and has an on court rating of -10 per game. The guy is either still hurt, over tired, bored , or most likely all 3. The Spurs will have to be thoroughly disinterested in this one for Sacramento to stay competetive for 4 quarters.

newkid says:

04/07/10 12:19AM

placeholder says:

04/07/10 12:20AM

it was like a re-run of the portland vs kings game.

HappyKane says:

04/07/10 12:26AM

True definition of conceding, right there.

Perfect situation for the Suns to blow-out the Spurs tomorrow. People will look at that line and say "WTF, Spurs catching 6.5 points?!?"

rod_steel says:

04/07/10 01:36AM

Situational Capping

Brocknroll says:

04/07/10 02:31AM

Way to go SACRAMENTO KINGS. Glad I bought the 1/2 pt to 8 so they could foul with 15 seconds left and down by 7.

WTF Tyreek, There was no way you could win why foul jackass.

smartbets says:

04/07/10 01:41AM

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User:	HappyKane
Joined:	October 2003
Location:	Nevada
Team:	Chicago Bears
Occupation:	Other

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04/06 NBA - Sacramento Kings might be the best play on the board tonight. I see a live dog.

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