HappyKane's Blog

Posted Saturday, November 21, 2009 10:22 AM

11/21 NCAAF: Air Force, fellas. Possible upset.

Saturday afternoon:
 
175/175 Northwestern +6½ +100
315/300 Air Force +10 -105
 
A tale of the tape in the Air Force/BYU game could be:
 
Air Force Turn-Over Margin: +18
BYU Turn-Over Margin -3
 
Air Force Red-Zone Touch-Down prevent defense: (9-20) 45%
BYU Red-Zone Touch-Down prevent defense: (21-36) 58%
 
Air Force's defense have only allowed opponents in the Red-Zone 20 times. BYU's defense have allowed opponents in the Red-Zone 36 times. Check out the percentage difference in opponents' TD conversions. 45% versus 58%.
 
Common opponent: Air Force's defense hung with TCU and BYU got clobbered by TCU.
 
If this game plays out as defined by key statistical numbers, we could see an upset today. And according to my biorhythm/ephemerides readings, thats a possibility.
 
  BOL & cheeers!
 
I'll be back later for the evening games.


Posted Saturday, November 07, 2009 10:38 AM

11/07 NCAAF: Texas A&M vs Colorado, Houston vs Tulsa - One is a sucker bet and one is not.

Its only a sucker bet if the majority loses. So, its really no big deal what you call it -- i'm just going by the numbers and eventual result. I don't read into lines but these two games wreak fishiness.
 
70% Texas A&M -3
30% Colorado +3
 
73% Houston -1
27% Tulsa +1
 
My GAME OF THE WEEK:
 
550/500 Houston -1 -110
 
Another strong play for Saturday:
 
210/200 Colorado +3 -105
 
Just 2 games for now. I might add a Saturday night game, maybe some PAC-10 action.
 
Sunday night:
 
Leaning San Jose State plus the points.
 
GL & cheers!
  
 
Mojos and a brief write-up about Tulsa's deficiency below.


Posted Thursday, October 15, 2009 04:08 PM

Check out Kane's matchup edge breakdown before you push the SUBMIT button.

Kane's Matchup Edge Team

Cincinnati Bearcats

  South Florida Bulls       Actually, [its safe to say that] both teams have quite a dynamic offense; but its the Bearcats that have the better fly-back and more depth at offense. However, i wouldn't be doubting B.J. Daniels tonight. This kid is a bonifide athlete and can make plays with his feet as well as his arm. He just needs experience. The Bearcats edge out in the offense category because they have proven players and that includes Pike and his favorite receiver Gilyard plus a stable of good tailbacks.   Total defense belongs to the USF bulls. Count 'em: the Bulls have 11 legit players on defense and at least 5 of them are NFL 1st-rounders. This includes George Selvie, Nate Allen, Terrell McClain, Chris Robinson and Jason Pierre-Paul. Those 5 players are my opinion but don't be surprised to see sucky NFL teams grab those USF defensemen in the 1st round in the upcoming NFL drafts.   The Bearcats have racked up 20 penalties costing them 205 yards. The Bulls have committed 38 penalties costing them 374 yards. The B... [More]

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User: HappyKane
Joined: October 2003
Location: Nevada
Team: Chicago Bears
Occupation: Other

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