HappyKane's Blog

11/07 NCAAF: Texas A&M vs Colorado, Houston vs Tulsa - One is a sucker bet and one is not.

By HappyKane | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, November 07, 2009 10:38 AM   41 comments
Its only a sucker bet if the majority loses. So, its really no big deal what you call it -- i'm just going by the numbers and eventual result. I don't read into lines but these two games wreak fishiness.
 
70% Texas A&M -3
30% Colorado +3
 
73% Houston -1
27% Tulsa +1
 
My GAME OF THE WEEK:
 
550/500 Houston -1 -110
 
Another strong play for Saturday:
 
210/200 Colorado +3 -105
 
Just 2 games for now. I might add a Saturday night game, maybe some PAC-10 action.
 
Sunday night:
 
Leaning San Jose State plus the points.
 
GL & cheers!
  
 
Mojos and a brief write-up about Tulsa's deficiency below.
Report Abuse
 
41 comments
comment Post A Comment
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 10:38AM
HOUSTON COUGARS OFFENSE & O-LINE:

 

QB B-/C-Case Keenum; RB C+Bryce Beall; WR C+James Cleveland; WR B-Tyron Carrier; WR B-/C+Patrick Edwards; WR/RB C-Charles Sims

 

RT C+Jarve Dean; RG C-Chris Thompson; C B+Carl Barnett; LG B+Jordan Shoemaker; LT B-/C-Jacolby Ashworth

 

HOUSTON COUGARS DEFENSE:

 

NT C-Isaiah Thompson; DT C-David Hunter; DE B+Zeke Riser; DE C-Tyrell Graham; LB B+Kris Johnston; LB A+Marcus McGraw; LB C+C.J. Cavness; SS C-Carson Blackmon; FS B-Nick Saenz; CB B-/C+Brandon Brinkley; CB AJamal Robinson

 

TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE OFFENSE & O-LINE:

 

QB C+G.J. Kinne; RB B+Jamad Williams; WR B-/C+Damaris Johnson; WR C-Slick Shelley; WR C-Trae Johnson; WR C-A.J. Whitmore

 

RT B-Brandon Thomas; RG B-Curt Puckett; C n/aTrent Dupy; LG C-/D-Clint Anderson; LT n/aJared Grigg or C+Tyler Holmes

 

TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE DEFENSE:

 

NT B-/C-+Wilson Garrison; DE C-Odrick Ray; DE C-Cory Dorris; LB AGeorge Clinkscale; LB C-Mike Bryan; LB C-Tanner Antle; BAN n/aDeAundre Brown; SS C+James Lockett; FS n/aDexter McCoil; CB C-Jon Destin; CB B-Kenny Sims

 

 

Tulsa O-Line notes: Trent Dupy, a freshman, starts at center today. The former center, Clint Anderson, have been moved to LG. Another freshman, Jared Grigg, starts at left-tackle if Tyler Holmes isn't suiting up.

 

Before the season started, i figured that this Tulsa offense might take a few steps backwards this season. Primarily because of a new QB and the O-Line lost 3 starters from last season. Kinne doesn't look all that bad but he hasn't exactly been an instant upgrade over Paul Smith nor David Johnson; but -- Kinne's mediocre numbers isn't entirely his fault. Because indeed, this Tulsa O-Line does have holes on all sides. Through 8 games, Coach Graham have put up about 6 line-up changes. Those moves in the depth charts alone should give you a hint that Tulsa doesn't win the battle in the trenches and can't protect G.J. Kinne. Tulsa have yet to find a dedicated snapper -- there is no depth at center; ditto for the Kinne's blind-side. Curt Puckett is the team's most experienced guard and he has played every position up front to try and fill those holes. Tyler Holmes the other experienced guard is healthy again [after being out for 6 weeks] but i'm not certain of his status for this game.

 

To sum up how bad these guards and tackles have been, i'll give you Tulsa's sacks-allowed numbers compared to Houston's. This Tulsa O-Line have allowed 31 sacks. Through the same amount of games, Houston's O-Line have only allowed 10 sacks. That is a glaring difference.

 

Other tidbits below.

 

Houston Turnover Margin: +7

Tulsa Turnover Margin: +7

 

Houston Penalties-Yards: 34-347

Tulsa Penalties-Yards: 46-458

 

I'll take the better team with the better QB & O-Line.

HappyKane says:
11/07/09 10:40AM
TEXAS A&M AGGIES OFFENSE & O-LINE:

 

QB C-Jerrod Johnson; RB B+Cyrus Gray; FB B-Anthony Vela; WR n/aUzoma Nwachukwu; WR C-Ryan Tannehill; WR C-Howard Morrow; TE C+Jamie McCoy

 

RT B-Lee Grimes; RG B+Matt Allen; C C+Kevin Matthews; LG C-Evan Eike; LT B+Michael Shumard

 

TEXAS A&M AGGIES DEFENSE:

 

DT C-Lucas Patterson; DT C+Tony Jerod-Eddie; DE n/aMatt Moss; DE C-Matt Featherston or DE B+Von Miller; LB B+Garrick Williams; LB n/aMichael Hodges; LB n/aJonathan Stewart; CB n/aDustin Harris; CB n/aTerrence Frederick; SS C-Trent Hunter; FS C-Jordan Pugh

 

COLORADO BUFFALOES OFFENSE & O-LINE:

 

QB B-/C-Tyler Hansen; RB C+Rodney Stewart; FB AJake Behrens; WR C+Scotty McKnight; WR C-Jason Espinoza; WR B-Markques Simas; TE B+Riar Geer

 

RT A+Ryan Miller; RG C+Matthew Bahr; C C-Keenan Stevens; LG C-Ethan Adkins; LT C-Nate Solder

 

COLORADO BUFFALOES DEFENSE:

 

NT B-/C+Will Pericak; DT B-/C-Curtis Cunningham; DE C-Marquez Herrod; DE B-/C+Forrest West; LB C+B.J. Beatty; LB B+Marcus Burton; LB B-/C-Jeff Smart; CB C-Cha'pelle Brown; CB C+Jimmy Smith; SS ABenjamin Burney; FS B+Ray Polk

WussieMan says:
11/07/09 10:41AM
 Spurs played so sexy last night......
cmurder33 says:
11/07/09 10:42AM
Also my Favorite Play of the Day!!! ! I have been looking at this line since Monday!!
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 10:44AM

And you'r so short-sighted. Why don't you put all your winnings on one game... again.

HappyKane says:
11/07/09 10:46AM

Well. They did cut into that lead.

Fackin' Spurs. Unreal.

NBA is so situational. Can't fade a hungry team coming off consecutive losses and playing at home.

PatrickBateman2 says:
11/07/09 10:52AM

I was on Houston last Sunday at 3 and now am all over it at 1.5.

Could be a trap but looks too good to pass up.

GL

bandit1010 says:
11/07/09 10:52AM

I always laugh when I see how you grade out players...QB Jerrod Johnson is NOT a C-, LMFAO.  Wish we had him here at Iowa.  He is at least another gade higher, if not a solid B, B+.

JJ   312  190   61%  2365 yds    20 td  3 int's.

Yeah, he is a C- allright.  Oh, btw, he has rushed for 266 yards and S"I"X touchdowns. 

Tyler Hansen.  You are rating him equal, or higher than JJ???

REALLY??????

TH   227   114   50%   1 td   2 ints.

Do you even look at stats?  And we are supposed to take advice from you??  Tyler Hansen is a D+ right now, maybe a C-, maybe if you are a Buffs fan.   Did you know their highest rated recruit RB is transfering?  Did you know the fans are fed up?  Thanks for reaffirming my play.

omygodwin says:
11/07/09 10:57AM
bandit, another small brain. How many times does Kane have to state that HE DOES NOT MAKE THESE GRADES UP???
powerade says:
11/07/09 11:03AM
gl kane
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 11:06AM

Nor do the grades have anything to do with the past.

Because we ALL know about the past.

We ALL know that Tom Brady is an A+ quarterback.

The question is: do you think Tom Brady will put up an A-game for all 16 games per season?

We ALL know that Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal are the 2 best players in the tennis universe.

The questions is: do you think that both Federer and Nadal can't lose to Juan Martin Del Potro or Novak Djokovic because they should put up A-rated games for every tournament throughout the year?

We ALL know that Tiger Woods is an A-rated golfer.

The question is: do you think he puts up an A-game in every tournament?

We ALL know that LeBron James is an A+ player.

The question is: do you think he will play an A+ game for all 80-plus games per season?

You still don't get it do you?

Don't talk to me about the past and what each player should be rated.

We ALL know ABOUT the past.

bandit1010 says:
11/07/09 11:07AM

omygodwin

Then why post them?  If they are not even accurate, why do it?  Never saw he didn't make them up, but what does it matter?  I realize this is your boyfriend, but get a clue moron.  Posts like that do nothing to help anyone.  The info is flat out wrong.  They are ridiculous and embarassing to the poster who posts them.  Small brain is better than you with NO brain.

Obviously, you need assistance.  Here's good info:  Teams record, and who they have played, or SOS.  Returning LM,  Injuries, weather, momentum, what was/is said.  Revenge.  Talent, coaching, to name just a few.  Also helps if you watch some games.  You have posted nothing worthwhile, except to discredit me.  I am just trying to help folks who might really believe that crap.  Posting inaccurate "grades" on players helps nobody.  Serious, Jerrod Johnson a C-, 61% comp, 20 TD's 3 int, 6 rushing TD.  Yeah, good one.

HappyKane says:
11/07/09 11:11AM

Nope. He still doesn't get it.

Somebody  help this fella.

 

bandit1010 says:
11/07/09 11:12AM

 

You don't even make sense.  You are grading on the future, or potential then?  Nobody can even know what that will be.  They only play 12 or so games in CFB, kane, that is all I was posting.  Accurate information THIS year.  Jerrod Johnson had his sucky game against Kansas State, of course everyone has them.  For a body of work so far this SEASON, and that is all we can really judge them on in CFB.  He is a very, very good QB.  From Tyler Hansen body of work so far, he is mediocre.  50%, 1 TD and 2 ints.  Not good, not very experience.  Good info when capping a game, wouldn't you think?  Talk to me after the game.

PATS2323 says:
11/07/09 11:16AM
HAS ANYONE HEARD OF THESE GUYS??

I recently joined and they are on a 13-1 Run last 14 Picks, They WENT 2-0 LAST SATURDAY!

Today they are releasing the STRONGEST 6-0 PERFECT SYSTEM NFL LOCK OF THE YEAR by email in 15 MINUTES!

Each game comes with a writeup The site is 100% FREE, NO Charge Ever

Just a Basic Email Newsletter that I get daily! They have been on fire, CHeck em out if you have a few seconds.. GOOD LUCK HOPE THEY HELP YOU TOO!!


www.FreePicksForLife.com
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 11:17AM

Oh, yeah. Of course these grades aren't 100% correct. Otherwise i'd be a 100% handicapper.

Yes, sir. 100% handicapper. How about that?

But you know what? I settle for being 50% accurate and up +40 units for the MLB season and already up +22 units in the NHL season.

Wow. Imagine if these ratings were 100% correct. How many units would i be up if...?

Just wow.

Imagine if every poster on here could exactly 100% call every blow-out and every upset.

Wow. Just amazing. Imagine that.

HappyKane says:
11/07/09 11:21AM

So, in essence, you're saying that its wrong to try and predict how each player will perform in an upcoming game?

I thought this was a handicapping forum and i'm just offering my opinions and system for reference?

 

K4ngur13 says:
11/07/09 11:22AM
i am actually on texas am for now

good luck

drhl says:
11/07/09 11:24AM
BOL KANE...LIKE EM
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 11:27AM

"You are grading on the future, or potential then?  Nobody can even know what that will be."

 

Then....

what is the point of betting on a game?  And you have posters calling blow-outs and upsets and claming POY's, GOM's, POD's, GMZ's, FYT's, NSF's, MSRP's & OPP's? What exactly is that? Is that not the same thing as trying to predict the future?

runlagos says:
11/07/09 11:28AM

Kane

do realy hope you are wrong bout my Aggies though..

mike214 says:
11/07/09 11:31AM
surferjohn says:
11/07/09 11:34AM

GL

Sutty says:
11/07/09 11:47AM

I'm lovin' Houston & pleased the grades were/are favorable! I was a little paranoid about the line, but can find no "alterior" info that points the other way. I didn't even find the word 'flu' anywhere.

Again, thanks for the work!

Don't tit-for-tat with guys like Bandit. He's a veteran, assumably for good reason. He seems to cap with all the basics. He's old school and can't see the value of your efforts as an additional tool for capping. It's like running a business with out a strategy for the future. Possibly successful, but lacking the vision to create more profitability.

BOL

Coversman43939 says:
11/07/09 11:47AM
Free service plays from the pros at



http://depositsports.com/SportsBettingForum


Yep

thats right at depositsports they give you all the paid picks from the

day for free at the forum.  See who the pros are betting on for free!

K4ngur13 says:
11/07/09 11:54AM


Hey Kane, what is your POW for NCAAF?

gL...
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 12:18PM
K4ngur13 - Houston
madrice1 says:
11/07/09 12:20PM
BOL Kane
MikeJetsMets says:
11/07/09 12:25PM
HAS ANYONE HEARD OF THESE GUYS??

I recently joined and they are on a 13-1 Run last 14 Picks, They WENT 2-0 LAST SATURDAY!

Today they are releasing the STRONGEST 6-0 PERFECT SYSTEM NFL LOCK OF THE YEAR by email in 15 MINUTES!

Each game comes with a writeup The site is 100% FREE, NO Charge Ever

Just a Basic Email Newsletter that I get daily! They have been on fire, CHeck em out if you have a few seconds.. GOOD LUCK HOPE THEY HELP YOU TOO!!


www.FreePicksForLife.com
K4ngur13 says:
11/07/09 12:44PM


this is your first POD-POW ever for NCAAF?
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 05:23PM

No. I believe i've had 5 of 'em.

HappyKane says:
11/07/09 05:25PM

So.... talk to me, mate.

K4ngur13 says:
11/07/09 05:29PM


ohh, ok.  can you tell me what your record on those picks is?  sorry I couldn't find anything in your previous blogs.  thanks.
paris says:
11/07/09 05:34PM
Nice call on Colorado game.  Always like reading your posts
HappyKane says:
11/07/09 05:49PM

K4ngur13 - I believe i'm 4-1 on my 5 unit wagers.

Didn't have one last week and haven't updated posted plays yet.

Still down money in NCAAF though. Not my strongest point at the moment.

K4ngur13 says:
11/07/09 05:51PM


thank you and wish you all the best
tanman32 says:
11/08/09 02:26AM
Was at the game today referes were horrible against the buffs beautiful day but not for A&M Even though don't like the blue devil with (the turf blue turf get it Hawkins ruin his life with playing kid his kid @ QB Barnett got screwed he walk on water @ Northwestern girl kicker from Neuheisel Her !st kick @ NM hit the center in the nuts lost a testicle. See ya Blue Devil Just lost best running back to UCLA Ricky boy ucla will be awesome in 3 years He's buddy and coached with Barnett. The head coach should be D Cord Cabral the defense keeps them in game Toledo lays 60 on them because of goofy blue turf bull shit. Check Texas game Neb. game may be a crazy one but they played today new QB not his kid great team in 2 years but what do I know. Will be great when blue devil is gone Need our D cord or if we get Gary back stay clear of Buffs for awhile great athletes because D Cord Cabral gets them all. Good Luck Happy Kane P.S. Trivia for you My Dad invented face mask i 1945 Broke his cheek bone Doc says he had to protect cheek built it @ Mech. Eng. Dept. and my next door neighbor Caroll Hardy Both Art Tanner face mask invented and Caroll Hardy only man to pitch hit for Ted Williams Teddy fouled off foot and Caroll came in with 2-2 count and hit Triple Both Art Tanner My Pops and Caroll Hardy Both played @ Colorado. My spread beater Has been Byu Mormons lay 45 on WYOMING today. What coaching for 17 years get the game coached all levels HS College and pros Looking for a job may get out of coaching. After what they did To Barnett it was bullshit. He 's the man great coach Love to have him back at CU. Beat Neb. 62-36 few years ago Iwant Cabral Or Butch Daviis @ NC to be our man Or O Cord @ Neb Shawn Watson. God bless buddy Tan man P.S. Wish my last name Was Ridell or Wilson On Mask Be $$$$ God Bless
omygodwin says:
11/08/09 01:05PM
Colorado 

Kane you are worthless!! These grades are awful!! 


Luckily my line was -1.5 so i decided to go with the Houston ML 

"Talk to me after the game" --- No show???
BigdaddyQH says:
11/08/09 03:29PM
This is the difference between winners and losers.  Winners took Houston when the line was +1.  Losers took them when the line was -1 (push) or -1.5 (loss).  To win money in this game you have to be able to wager on games at any time, between Sunday afternoon, when the line first comes out, and seconds before game time.
HappyKane says:
11/08/09 06:23PM

Yeah. My bad. I should've taken the Moneyline. Only costed about an extra 12 cents.

Missed out on 5 bills to help rectify my NCAAF ledger. Even though... this game/pick would qualify as one of those... lucky wins.

tanman32 says:
11/09/09 12:25AM
E-mail the tanman32@qwest.com we will discuss on strategy just becase I know football as a coach (see Above) throw that number on the game and it's tough to get. When coaching in pros WE usually played harder after a road lose coming home Good luck Bro Tanman
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 

Profile

User: HappyKane
Joined: October 2003
Location: Illinois
Team: Chicago Bears
Occupation: Management

Recent Posts

Archive

open2009
open2008

Categories

Advertisement