HeadOverHeart's Blog

Posted Sunday, July 12, 2009 10:22 AM

Who Wins the 2010 NFC South?

Although you should never count out the last-placed team from a season ago in this division, I am assuming we can count out Tampa Bay.

Which leave the Panthers, Falcons, and Saints.

I see this division like the old Ice Hockey game for the NES.

Fat Guy, Medium Guy, Skinny Guy.

Of those three teams...

Panthers are the Fat Guy = Best defense, worst offense
Falcons are the Medium Guy = All-Around good on both sides
Saints are the Skinny Guy = Best offense, worst defense

I see the Panthers improving a bit on (an already decent) offense, Atlanta gelling better than last season on both sides of the ball, and the Saints improving on defense.

So, who improves the most to be able to win this division?

+200 is on offer for all three teams, so even the books have no effing clue.

I am a massive Saints fan, but keeping my support out of this.  Please try to do the same if you are a supporter of one of these four teams. 


Posted Monday, May 18, 2009 12:59 PM

Carolina to Win the East?

Hi guys,

As seen in my doomed series parlay thread, I need advice about this hedging opportunity.  Not really a true hedge, but a shot nonetheless.

Sorry about a pseudo double-post here, but I figured I would get more responces this way.

What do you think about the Canes chances of beating the Caps or Pens, whoever gets out of that one, to win the East?

Canes would only have three games at home, but that doesn't seem to bother them as they have shown they can win anywhere.  They've beaten a very good Devils team and are looking likely to do the same to possibly the best team in the NHL, the Bruins.

Would they falter against the Pens or Caps?  What do the Pens or Caps have that would be too difficult for the Canes to overcome?  Surely Fleury or Varlamov can be beaten by the Canes, no?  No "unstoppable Hiller" factor there, right?

So throw it out there guys.  I'll need to make a decision before the Sunday afternoon games go off.

Just don't want to jump on the Canes +155 to Win the East recklessly only to see them get hammered in the Conference Finals.

Thanks.


Posted Thursday, May 07, 2009 09:05 AM

What the books say for Wings/Ducks Game Four...

This is interesting.

Wings were -130 for Game Three.

They are now -150 for Game Four.  Ducks are bigger dogs.

Hmmmm........

I don't buy the reverse psychology issue because the Ducks aren't a secret anymore.  They've won 6 of 9 playoff games now and aren't surprising anyone anymore.

Even more interesting.....the Wings are still favored to win the series!!!

 Anaheim Ducks (Series)
+105
 Detroit Red Wings (Series)
-125


I think this series line is screaming for Ducks money, as I mentioned above, they aren't a secret anymore and are up 2-1.....yet still a nice +money dog for the series.

So, in conclusion...............the books still think the Wings take this?

What is your take/understanding from seeing these lines and regarding the points I've made.

Cheers.



And I'd be lying if I said it was an easy day at work today.  Ugh. 


Posted Wednesday, April 29, 2009 09:55 AM

Detroit/Boston - Stanley Cup Finals Match-Up?

Anyone else feeling this futures parlay?  You should be able to get over +300 for it and with the Wings facing the Ducks and the Bruins getting the Canes, I think there is a lot of value in this.

Any thoughts?

I think we shall see a Detroit v. Canucks and Boston v. Pitt Conference Championship set.

Thanks in advance.


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User: HeadOverHeart
Joined: November 2007
Location: Michigan
Team: Detroit Red Wings
Occupation: Degenerate

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