HoldenRg's Blog

NBA 2011-2012 Short Season Blog

By HoldenRg | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, December 25, 2011 08:00 PM   63 comments
You know the routine. Same amount of units for each bet. Start every month with 100 units. 5 unit bets is better but I will probably do 10 a bet. 
63 comments
comment Post A Comment
HoldenRg says:
12/25/11 08:02PM
Today the pick from component #3 of The System was

Miami +pts.

I did not play of course since it is the first day of a short season. I am not sure how this short season is going to effect the season so I will likely observe first. For a little while anyway, every season has an observation period.

HoldenRg says:
12/26/11 07:42PM
1-0 109 Units

Pick from component #1 of The System

Philadelphia 76ers +5

HoldenRg says:
12/27/11 09:49PM
2-0

This short season has provided for a unique opportunity with the back to back to back situations. Today presents such an opportunity. I will keep track of these situations and hopefully come out with a winning record at the end of the short season. I will need to keep this situation separate from The System picks. I am not sure what to name the data but I will think of something. Utah +6 & Over 187

HoldenRg says:
12/28/11 07:54PM
2-0

Pick from component #2 of The System

Utah Jazz +12

HoldenRg says:
12/28/11 07:55PM
0-1 ATS

0-1 SU

0-1 O

Triples Situation

HoldenRg says:
12/31/11 07:11PM
Triples

fade HOus and over

HoldenRg says:
01/02/12 06:27PM
0-2 ATS

0-2 SU

0-2 O

Today Triples

MIL and Over

HoldenRg says:
01/04/12 07:20PM
0-3 ATS

0-3 SU

0-3 O

Triples

Pick from component #2 of The System

Cleveland +5

HoldenRg says:
01/05/12 07:03PM
Pick from component # 2 of The System

Los Angeles Lakers +4

Triples

MIL SU ATS O

HoldenRg says:
01/06/12 06:58PM
Pick from component # 3 of The System

New York Knicks -6

HoldenRg says:
01/07/12 07:40PM
Pick from component #2 of The System

Charlotte Bobocats +10

HoldenRg says:
01/14/12 06:33PM
Gotta go back and back track this week. It's been hell and ton to top it off I got Dam strep throat again!!!!!!! But today there is a Trips Pick CHAR
HoldenRg says:
01/17/12 09:16PM
Been in my Mad Scientist Lab mutating The System MUAAHHAHAHAHAHA. This is the first batch of the picks since the modifications. The monster is still feeding but this is what it has put out for today. I am going to put them in strong, medium and light order

S:

Orlando U

MIA U SU

HOU SU

M:

CLE SU

MIA ATS

CHI U,SU

DEN SU ATS

HOU U ATS

UTAH ATS U SU

ORL ATS

Light:

CHI ats

HoldenRg says:
01/18/12 07:35PM
Mutant System 14-3 !!!!!!!! Yesterday Overall

Today's Picks:

Strong:

New Jersey SU

Sacramento SU

Medium:

Philly SU

Orlando U, SU

Boston ATS, SU

New Jersey ATS, U

New York ATS, SU

Atlanta ATS, U, SU

Memphis SU

Minny U, SU

Light:

Philly ATS, U

Okiehomie ats

Orlando ATS, U

Memphis O

Minny ATS

Indy U

Sacramento ATS

Dallas ATS,O,SU

HoldenRg says:
01/19/12 06:49PM
Last night went 14-14

Total record 28-17

Today's Picks

Strong:

Miami ATS, U, SU

Houston SU

Medium:

Houston ATS, U

Light:

Utah U , SU

HoldenRg says:
01/20/12 07:20PM
5-3 last night

33-20 overall

I am only going to look use medium and strong plays from now on. I will also try to break them down by bet type but that sounds very ambitious to be honest.

Today

Strong:

Philly ATS, U, SU

Clips ATS, U, SU

Boston SU

San Antonio ATS, SU

HoldenRg says:
01/21/12 04:38PM
Dam 4-6 yesterday Clippers will always be the clippers

Today

Strong:

Atlanta ATS, SU

Miami ATS,U,SU

Chicago SU

Memphis SU

Houston SU,U

Utah SU

Medium;

New Jersey ATS,SU

Dallas ATS,SU

HoldenRg says:
01/22/12 10:18AM
8-5 Yesterday. Time to make another fine tune adjustment. I am only going to play the strong plays which should increase units returned. We have plenty of season left to make units. I will really try and separate the record by strength of play ATS,O/U and SU records.

I will start with yesterday's results so I wont get too far behind and then adjust for the past week. So

Strong- ATS 2-0. O/U 0-2. SU 5-0

Medium ATS 0-2. O/U 0-0. SU 1-1

HoldenRg says:
01/22/12 10:33AM
Today's picks

Strong:

Celtics SU

Clippers SU

Nets ATS SU

Miami SU

Nothing much here today.

HoldenRg says:
01/23/12 07:38PM
Strong- ATS 3-0. O/U 0-2. SU 8-1

Medium ATS 0-2. O/U 0-0. SU 1-1

Today

Strong plays

76ers SU

Bulls ATS,U,SU

Hawks ATS,SU

Thunder SU

Wolves ATS,U,SU

Mavs SU

Medium:

Spurs ATS,U,SU

Blazers U

HoldenRg says:
01/24/12 07:50PM
Strong- ATS 5-1. O/U 0-4. SU 13-2

Medium- ATS 0-3. O/U 1-1. SU 2-1

Nothing significant today just a Medium Portland SU

HoldenRg says:
01/25/12 07:17PM
Strong- ATS 5-1. O/U 0-4. SU 13-2

Medium- ATS 0-3. O/U 1-1. SU 3-1

Today

Strong :

Wizards SU

Bulls SU

Rockets SU

Thunder SU

Mavericks SU

Spurs SU

Jazz SU

LAL ATS SU

Medium:

Wiz ATS

Rockts ATS

HoldenRg says:
01/25/12 07:27PM
jnupe,

Thanks for stopping by my blog. I will try to do that whenever possible my friend. I know that I post really close to game time if not past it but It takes a while to wake the mutant. I am going to try and post The System Mutant Picks early in the mornings as soon as I can get my schedule adjusted.

PEACE!

P.S LAL is a Monster Pick tonight

HoldenRg says:
01/26/12 07:12PM
Strong- ATS 7-1. O/U 0-4. SU 18-6

Medium- ATS 1-4. O/U 1-1. SU 3-1

Yesterday the pick was also GS ATS and SU forgot to post it

Nothing really today.

The best pick is a O in magic / celtics game and a small under in the mem/lac game tiny SU clips

HoldenRg says:
01/27/12 07:11PM
Strong- ATS 7-1. O/U 0-4. SU 18-6

Medium- ATS 1-4. O/U 1-1. SU 3-1

Picks for today

Strong:

Rockets ATS , SU

Heat SU

Spurs SU

Medium:

Spurs ATS in this case because the line is at 1

HoldenRg says:
01/28/12 07:48PM
Strong- ATS 8-1. O/U 0-4. SU 20-7

Medium- ATS 1-5. O/U 1-1. SU 3-1

Today not much

Strong:

76ers SU

Utah SU

Medium:

Jazz ATS

This is a high medium pick I think that I am going to upgrade this type of pick to strong. I will keep an eye on it

It'e the combo of two medium situations in the same game.

HoldenRg says:
01/28/12 07:49PM
Strong- ATS 8-1. O/U 0-4. SU 20-7

Medium- ATS 1-5. O/U 1-1. SU 3-1

Today not much

Strong:

76ers SU

Utah SU

Medium:

Lakers SU

Jazz ATS

This is a high medium pick I think that I am going to upgrade this type of pick to strong. I will keep an eye on it

It'e the combo of two medium situations in the same game.

HoldenRg says:
01/29/12 03:22PM
Strong- ATS 8-1. O/U 0-4. SU 22-7

Medium- ATS 1-6. O/U 1-1. SU 5-1

Today

Strong

Heat ATS, SU

Nuggets ATS, SU

Medium:

Miami U

Denver U

HoldenRg says:
01/30/12 02:44PM
Strong- ATS 8-2. O/U 0-4. SU 23-7

Medium- ATS 1-6. O/U 2-2. SU 5-1

Strong:

Miami SU

Grizz U

Jazz ATS SU

OKC ATS SU

Medium:

Dallas SU

Houston SU

Grizz SU

Philly SU

YEAH jnupe we got knocked around yesterday. Let's get it back today.

HoldenRg says:
01/31/12 09:50AM
Strong- ATS 9-3. O/U 1-4. SU 25-8

Medium- ATS 1-6. O/U 2-2. SU 7-3

HoldenRg says:
01/31/12 07:15PM
Strong- ATS 9-3. O/U 1-4. SU 25-8

Medium- ATS 1-6. O/U 2-2. SU 7-3

Strong:

BOS SU

NY SU

DEN SU

LAL SU

GS SU

Medium:

bos ATS

LAL ATS

Sorry for the real late post . I am trying to add more detail to the The System(Mutant) Picks. I want to separate and record the results by the percentage pf the pick hitting given by The System

HoldenRg says:
01/31/12 07:21PM
Strong- ATS 9-3. O/U 1-4. SU 25-8

Medium- ATS 1-6. O/U 2-2. SU 7-3

Strong:

BOS SU

NY SU

DEN SU

LAL SU

GS SU

Medium:

bos ATS

LAL ATS

Sorry for the real late post . I am trying to add more detail to the The System(Mutant) Picks. I want to separate and record the results by the percentage pf the pick hitting given by The System

adding ny/det under medium

adding sac/gs under medium

HoldenRg says:
01/31/12 09:30PM
By the still ongoing fine tuning to The System I am going to set the parameters of strong plays and medium plays. 75% or above probability is strong 66% or above is medium. SO by that definition todays picks would change to

Strong

DEN SU

GS SU

medium:

high medium

BOS SU

LAL SU

regmedium:

NY SU

HoldenRg says:
02/01/12 03:49PM
Strong- ATS 9-3. O/U 1-4. SU 29-9

PREVIOUS undefined Record Medium- ATS 2-7. O/U 3-3. SU 7-3

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-0. O/U 0-0. SU 0-0

Medium: ATS 0-0. O/U 0-0. SU 3-0

Today Picks according the new parameters that will be used from now on:

STRONG:

Orlando SU 85%

Boston SU 96%

Hornets SU 85%

Dallas SU 78%

Clippers O 77%

MEDIUM:

Orlando ATS 67.5%

Nets SU 68.5%

Bucks ATS 69%

Hornets ATS 67.5%

Wolves SU 71%

Blazers SU 69.5%

Blazers U 66%

Honorable Mention:

Boston ATS 65%

Wolves ATS 65%

HoldenRg says:
02/01/12 07:51PM
Now before there is any bashing, let me say that I am fine tuning The System and I will be consulting with experts on the formulas being used within the next two weeks. It's good to get peer review
HoldenRg says:
02/02/12 08:26PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-0. O/U 1-0. SU 2-2

Medium: ATS 1-2. O/U 1-0. SU 5-1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Today

STRONG:

Hawks ATS

Hawks U

Hawks SU

Spurs SU

Warriors SU

MEDIUM:

Knicks ATS

Depending on how the Clips game line is at game time will post if there is a play

HoldenRg says:
02/03/12 12:16PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 4-3

Medium: ATS 2-2. O/U 1-0. SU 5-1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HoldenRg says:
02/03/12 06:38PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 4-3

Medium: ATS 2-2. O/U 1-0. SU 5-1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STRONG:

Magic SU 82.5%

Bucks SU 86%

Celtics SU 82.5%

Rockets SU 78.5

MEDIUM:

Raptors SU 69.5%

Heat SU 68.5%

Nets ATS 73.5%

Bucks O 74%

Mavs SU 70.5%

Nuggets SU 67%

HoldenRg says:
02/05/12 02:03PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 7-4

Medium: ATS 3-2. O/U 1-1. SU 7-3

HoldenRg says:
02/05/12 02:10PM
Here are the picks if you checked the blog I posted the last two plays here and in the forum for validity.

STRONG:

Hawks SU 76.5%

Knicks SU 85%

Wolves SU 84.9%

Spurs SU 78.5%

Blazers SU 76.5%

MEDIUM:

Clippers SU 67.9%

Indy Su 68.1%

Knicks ATS 69.5%

Dallas SU 71.5%

Spurs ATS 66%

Utah SU 74.5%

Phoenix SU 68.5%

Kings SU 66.5%

Blazers U 70.5%

Blazers SU 76.5%

HoldenRg says:
02/05/12 02:26PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 11-5

Medium: ATS 5-2. O/U 1-2. SU 12-5

Today:

STRONG:

Heat SU 84.5%

MEDIUM:

Boston SU 68%

Heat U 66.5%

HoldenRg says:
02/06/12 07:53AM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 12-5

Medium: ATS 5-2. O/U 2-2. SU 13-5

HoldenRg says:
02/07/12 11:47PM
Picks for today

MEDIUM:

Bucks ATS 69.4%

I will update last night's results. Could not get to post on time because I was being yelled at by an incompetent boss! If I fuck up I will admit it but when someone who is totally clueless is in charge it's a motherfucker to have to listen to their dumbass gripe you out because they don't know what they hell they are doing.

HoldenRg says:
02/08/12 07:04AM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-1. O/U 2-0. SU 12-7

Medium: ATS 5-7. O/U 2-2. SU 15-7

There is another variable that I am going to monitor for now that might have a significant effect on the formula. The variable deals with real low spreads (-1,+1,-2,+2). There is a play tonight that falls into this category so I will continue to track this.

Today:

STRONG:

Wizards SU 77.2% *

Nets ATS 77.7%

Nets SU 77.7%

MEDIUM:

Grizzlies SU 70%

Blazers ATS 69.4

HoldenRg says:
02/09/12 07:38AM
Well looks like the case for that extra variable is getting stronger as legitimate factor in The System. Perhaps I will back track it if I get a chance.
HoldenRg says:
02/09/12 05:54PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-2. O/U 2-0.SU12-9

Medium: ATS 5-8. O/U 2-2. SU 15-7

One play today

Denver SU 75.3%

HoldenRg says:
02/10/12 07:03AM
Unfucking real!!! Can you say slump?

Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-2. O/U 2-0.SU12-10

Medium: ATS 5-8. O/U 2-2. SU 15-7

HoldenRg says:
02/10/12 06:26PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record. Strong: ATS 0-2. O/U 2-0.SU12-10

Medium: ATS 5-8. O/U 2-2. SU 15-7

MEDIUM:

Celtics SU 69%

Clippers ATS 70.8%

Lakers SU 69.6%

Blazers SU 69%

Mavericks SU 67.9% * low pointer I will not play these because of variable being watched

Thunder SU 67.9 % * " "

HoldenRg says:
02/12/12 02:53PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.Strong ATS 0-2. O/U 2-0.SU12-10

Medium: ATS 6-8. O/U 2-2. SU 18-9

Low pointers hit yesterday. Will continue to look at them

Yesterdays Picks

STRONG:

Pacers SU 75.9%

Minny ATS 77.7%

Minny SU 77.7%

MEDIUM:

Clips SU 73.2%

Indy U 65.5%

Philly SU 69%

Spurs 67.9%

Minny U 74.9

Dallas SU 73.5%

Bucks U 66.6% *

Kings 65.7%

HoldenRg says:
02/12/12 03:01PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.Strong ATS 0-3. O/U 2-0.SU12-12

Medium: ATS 6-8. O/U 2-4-1.SU 22-10

Today's Picks

STRONG:

Grizzlies SU 82.1%

Pistons SU 82.1%

MEDIUM:

Lakers SU 69%

Heat SU 65.7%

Strong honorable mentions:

det/wash U60%

mia/atl O 59.6%

uta/mem U 60%

HoldenRg says:
02/14/12 06:13PM
been insanely busy this past few days. Will try and update soon. picks are on the nba league contest page
HoldenRg says:
02/15/12 07:38PM
The picks I played today are on the NBA contest. I will post details as soon as I can. Fucking incompetent bitch boss was at it again today.
HoldenRg says:
02/20/12 04:06PM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.

Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 2-0.SU19-16

Medium: ATS 8-12. O/U 6-4-1.SU 32-18

Honorable Mention ATS 5-1. O/U 14-8. SU 3-2

today's picks

STRONG:

Lakers SU 76.1%

MEDIUM:

Clippers SU 71.6%

Rockets SU 72%

Thunder SU 67.4%

Nuggets SU 68.1%

Spurs SU 66.8%

HONORABLE MENTION:

Clippers ATS 62%

Grizz/Rocks U 64.5%

Celtics ATS 65.3%

Hornets/Thunder U 60.5%

Wolves/Nuggets U 61.5%

Suns SU 62.6%

Blaze/Lake U 64.2%

HoldenRg says:
02/20/12 04:39PM
If anyone is curious about a particular days picks and their percentage in that gap that is in the blog please feel free to ask. I don't have the time to post all of the missing days but I will send you a PM with a day that you would like to look at.

PEACE!

HoldenRg says:
02/21/12 06:07AM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.

Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 2-0.SU20-16

Medium: ATS 8-13. O/U 6-4-1.SU 36-19

Honorable Mention ATS 5-2. O/U 15-11. SU 4-2

Clippers will always be the Clippers Dam!

Today's picks

MEDIUM:

Det/Cle U 67%

Indy SU 69.1%

Miami SU 69.1 %

Philly SU 72.5%

Blazers SU 67.5%

HONORABLE MENTION:

Cle SU 60%

Philly ATS 65%

HoldenRg says:
02/22/12 06:33AM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.

Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 2-0.SU20-16

Medium: ATS 8-14. O/U 6-5-1.SU 40-19

Honorable Mention ATS 5-2. O/U 15-11. SU 5-2

HoldenRg says:
02/22/12 07:50AM
Defined Parameters The System(mutant) Picks Record.

Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 2-0.SU20-16

Medium: ATS 8-14. O/U 6-5-1.SU 40-19

Honorable Mention ATS 5-2. O/U 15-11. SU 5-2

Today's Picks

STRONG:

Chi SU 77%

Minny SU 77.6%

LAC SU 76.1 %

MEDIUM:

WAS SU 69.8%

INDY SU 67.3%

CLE SU 69.1%

OKC SU 69.1%

GS/PHO U 67%

DAL SU 72%

HONORABLE MENTION:

TOR SU 60.1%

NY SU 61.8%

MIL/CHI U 61.5%

Philly ATS 65.8%

Minny ATS 60.2%

UTA/Minny U 62.1%

LAL/DAL U 64.5%

DEN/LAC U 64.2%

These next two barely missed the cut by mere tenths of a percent but there is strength here

DAL ATS 59.4%

LAC ATS 59.9%

HoldenRg says:
02/23/12 06:40PM
Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 2-0.SU22-16

Medium: ATS 8-14. O/U 7-7-1.SU 43-22

Honorable Mention ATS 6-3. O/U 15-12-1. SU 7-2

MEDIUM:

Miami SU 72%

Orlando SU 66.8%

OKC SU 67.4 %

HONORABLE MENTION:

NY/MIA U 64.6%

SA ATS 61%

SA SU 64%

LAL/OKC U 60.5%

OKC SU 67.4%

HoldenRg says:
02/29/12 08:22PM
Did some more fine tuning to The System as I was able to make a break through in the lab.

Picks for today are on the League contest plus

okc/dev under 69.3%

okc SU 70%

BOS ats 73.1, U 78.2% SU 95%

SAN ATS 73.1%, U 78.2%, 95% SU

DEN ATS 70%, U 67%, SU 84.6%

UTA 72.4%, U 75.3%, SU 88%

I believe that the 3/6/13 rule in effect tonight for some of these plays so I would lay off of those

PEACE!

HoldenRg says:
03/01/12 08:22PM
From this point on the record will be with the adjustment from the lab breakthrough!

Strong ATS 0-4. O/U 4-1.SU 25-17

Medium: ATS 10-15-1. O/U 10-7-1.SU 45-22

Honorable Mention ATS 6-3. O/U 15-12-1. SU 7-2

Picks for today

STRONG:

Phoenix SU 78%

Sacramento ATS 83%

MEDIUM:

Thunder SU 74.8%

HoldenRg says:
03/05/12 09:02PM
I will try and post the picks soon. It;s been hell bu usually they are on the NBA league contests
HoldenRg says:
03/09/12 09:54PM
I think that it is going to be significantly difficult to post on a daily basis. Now that I have made the breakthrough in the lab. If anyone is interested I will keep the record updated but as far as the actual details I will provide the day upon request. Not on a daily basis I will try my best to pick on the league contest page

PEACE!

jnupe says:
03/13/12 05:00PM
I would like the picks.
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 
Advertisement