I-Got-5-On-It's Blog

At what price will the draw in the Mexico/Uruguay match open at ?

By I-Got-5-On-It | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, June 17, 2010 04:25 PM   25 comments

With both Mexico & Uruguay both locked at the top of Group A with 4 points a piece, and to play each other in the final game in this group next week (whilst France have to beat South Africa to stand any chance of progressing also needing this result to go their way),it won't be long until conspiracy theories start flying around about both teams,Mexico & Uruguay, settling for the draw in order to ensure progression to the last 16 and also eliminate France while they're at it.

What do you think the draw will open at here ??

-$150 ?  -$200 ?

Also anyone remember the first round game between Denmark and Sweden at Euro 2004 which opened at a very short price for the draw which it turned out to be, a favourable result for both sides eliminating Italy in the process 

25 comments
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bracks says:
06/17/10 04:26PM
Depends on the US and Three Lions outcome (i.e - who will be playing for 1st or 2nd) IMO
lbcake says:
06/17/10 04:27PM
-2whatever
rangerz2478 says:
06/17/10 04:27PM
Not experienced in betting soccer but I would still guess the draw will be + odds. But like I said, I really don't know soccer lines too well...
sims_key says:
06/17/10 04:27PM
yeah, there is no reason for them to even play right?

a 0-0 score gets them both through.

does seeding matter or is that already determined?
PennStateMan077 says:
06/17/10 04:29PM
2nd place winner would play Argentina 

Livan33 says:
06/17/10 04:29PM

2nd in Group A will play Argentina most likely.....who knows who 1st in Group A will play (S. Korea, Greece, Nigeria).

US/England are Group C.

clepto says:
06/17/10 04:29PM
-120 or so I would think. But I agree with Bracks It'll depend on the next possible opposition as to what result the teams play for.
mr_bollox says:
06/17/10 04:31PM
dont know 5 but valderrama and higuita 
lbcake says:
06/17/10 04:32PM
-138 at 365
I-Got-5-On-It says:
06/17/10 04:34PM

That didn't take long 

here are some early prices from Stan James & Bet365 

Bet365  
   Draw @ -$187  Mexico @ +$350  Uruguay @ +$350

Stan James 
   Draw @ -$200
  Mexico @ +$350  Uruguay @ +$400 

I-Got-5-On-It says:
06/17/10 04:37PM

The above prices are from oddschecker.com

On Bet365's website the price is at -$150 

 

lbcake says:
06/17/10 04:37PM
-150 at 365 now (+300 MLs)
I-Got-5-On-It says:
06/17/10 04:37PM

2 of the coolest players ever 

lbcake says:
06/17/10 04:47PM

now it's OTB

Whiskeyhangover says:
06/17/10 04:54PM
Yeah, I am not sure of the answer, but I can say with some confidence that the USA/England rankings will have no bearing on the MEX/Uruguay line/outcome.
treasurecay25 says:
06/17/10 05:03PM
Hold on no one wants argentina in round two so i think they re will be a result in this one.
bracks says:
06/17/10 05:27PM

yes, Livan, my bad, I messed up the group ones.

I still mean the same thing. AS someone said, the goal diff is only 1 goal, so a draw is 1st place result for Ura, where Xico is playing for a match up with SK/ Greece. w/ a win. I think we can all agree there is a BIG difference in Tina or 1 of those 2?

tep says:
06/17/10 05:28PM
Olympic has it up

Uruguay +160
Mexico +180
Draw +205
tep says:
06/17/10 05:37PM
Got a few others, by the way Olympics numbers were open numbers and are still at that number as of 12:30.

10bet
open    +174 U - +158 M - +231 D
current +236 - +191 - +123

bet365
open    +163 - +150 - +220
current +333 - +250 - -137

betfair
open    +174 - +170 - +245
current +370 - +285 - -112


tep says:
06/17/10 05:39PM
Keeping in mind a couple of those openers are from days ago.
pederson16 says:
06/17/10 05:51PM

well, i am sitting on a +350 future on uruguay to win the group so i'm hoping for a draw or win obviously

i pray mexico plays for tie

lordkaervek says:
06/17/10 05:57PM
I am not too sure Mexico will be content to take a matchup with Argentina...If they win, they can take 1st place in the group and NOT play 'tina next

Right now Mexico has a +2 GD with 3 goals scored,
France has a -2 GD with ZERO goals scored

Even if Mexico loses 2-1, and France beats SA 3-0...Mexico would still be in 2nd based on the goals scored tie breaker...therefore, I'd think if Mexico gets 1 goal against Uruguay then it would be in their best interest to go all out for the win
elsewhere says:
06/17/10 05:58PM

Uruguay will play and attack for the win,why the hell would they settle or risk in case Mexico scores.They will make sure they wont allow a last minute goal.None of those teams would want to play against Argentina,who wouldnt want Greece or S Korea

I will go for Uruguay ML here

bracks says:
06/17/10 06:08PM

I will put out my disclaimer now, since I do have a decent size interest in this result already. (Posted in my futures thread)

I have 1/2 Unit to win 6 Units on Xico 1st/Uraguay 2nd +1200

So, I will prob be putting a 1/2 Unit on Ura pk line

I-Got-5-On-It says:
06/20/10 05:16PM

The price on the draw has settled at 1.80 with most bookies. A couple have it at 1.83 but no bigger than that

Uruguay are a best priced 4.60, with Mexico @ 3.80

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