JMatthew's Blog

Posted Sunday, January 31, 2010 02:05 PM

Sunday's Teaser Action

Friday: 1-0-0 (+2 units)

Yesterday: No Play

YTD 2-0-0 (+5 units)

Cashed again Friday with the Lakers and Wolves.  Took the day off yesterday. Going to come right back today with the Lakers again.

2 Team / 5pt. Teaser for 2 units:

Lakers +4

Thunder -3.5

Good Luck!



Posted Friday, January 29, 2010 11:17 AM

Friday's Tease

Yesterday: 1-0-0 (+3 units)

YTD: 1-0-0 (+3 units)

Okay, off to a good start hitting with Raptors and Mavericks last night.  Gonna keep things rolling with todays tease.

2 Team / 5pt. Teaser for 2 units:

Lakers -1.5

Timberwolves +6

Please post a comment if you like (or don't) what you see.

Good Luck!



Posted Thursday, January 28, 2010 03:06 PM

Thursday Teaser

Starting a daily thread strictly for teaser players.  Will document wins losses etc. Even though I am putting a small part of my bankroll on these plays, this is really meant for entertainment like anything else we spend money on.

Liking the pavement tonight.

2 Team / 5pt. Tease:

Raptors +8.5 

Mavericks +7.

Let's see what happens.  Good Luck!



Posted Friday, May 01, 2009 02:03 PM

3 plays

marlins-cubs over 8.5: cubs over last 5...
 
twins -170:  mauers back...twins familiar w/ fatboy ponson...
 
giants -110:  good spot for the big unit vs. a slumping jimenez...
 


Posted Friday, April 03, 2009 11:31 AM

Friday's Forecast

Predicted Scores:
 
Heat 86         Spurs 102         Hawks 94                             
Cats 94         Pacers 98         Celtics 100
 
Mavs 101       Blazers 99        Cavs 93
Grizzle 94      Thunder 91        Magic 99
 
Wolves 93      Kings 114         Hornets 117
Jazz 105        Suns 125          Warriors 116
 
Rockets 96
Lakers 102
 
Consider:
 
Cats -5
Hawks-Celtics Over 186
Magic -3.5
Hornets-Warriors Over 217
 
G/L


Posted Thursday, April 02, 2009 11:22 AM

Thursday's Forecast

Predicted Scores:
Bucks 94          Cavs 102           Jazz 104
Sixers 98          Wizaaa 93         Nugs 112
 
Best Bets:
Bucks +7.5
Jazz-Nugs Over 208
 
G/L


Posted Saturday, March 07, 2009 08:49 PM

Pacers@Clippers = Over

Neither of these teams play defense as indicated by their o/u records. They will find ways to score without key players.
 
Over 212


Posted Thursday, February 19, 2009 04:20 PM

Double Header Action

Cashed in a nice parlay last night on the Suns and Lakers.  Although the Lakers made me sweat it out til the end. A win is a win and the adrenaline bonus was pretty nice too. Gonna push my luck again tonight.
 
Detroit +1  Anyone who thinks Ginobli's 16 ppg isn't going to hurt the Spurs is fooling themselves. This probably explains the extreme line move that everyone's been talking about on the chat boards.  The shift of McDyess into the starting rotation should make a huge difference for the Pistons (not saying anything new here).
 
Boston -2  Don't really have any big reasons to back the Celtics other than their inter-conference record speaks for themselves. 2 points is a comfortable number.  I think the champs will show why they are the champs.
 
GL!  


Posted Wednesday, February 18, 2009 09:48 PM

Late Games

Haven't posted here in a while. Recently relocated to L.A. and took some time off for adjustment. Here are some L.A. plays to ponder while I shake off the dust.
 
Lakers -4.5 (should be able to cover the number despite the Warriors recent success)
 
Suns -8 (should deliver back to back beatings to a Zach-less Clippers team)
 
GL!
 
 


Posted Friday, January 09, 2009 03:51 PM

NBA FORECAST 01-09-09

Below are forecasted scores, sides and totals for today's action. These projections are based on my own power ratings and should be used as a reference in comparison to other models. Please comment if you find these useful.
 

Atlanta   88  (183)

Orlando  96   (-8)

 

Charlotte      90  (188)

Philadelphia  99  (-9)

 

Memphis      94  (195)

Toronto       102  (-8)
 
 
 
 


Posted Thursday, January 08, 2009 08:33 PM

LA Clippers - San Antonio Spurs

Forecast:

 

LA Clippers 91

San Antonio Spurs 99

 

The Spurs have been playing good ball lately winning 4 out of their last 5. However, most of their games have been close and have only produced 2 covers out of their last five. The Clippers on the other hand have been staying in their games while covering 4 out of their last 5, but have not had that extra push to put them in the win column. Recently the Spurs were a double digit favorite over the 76ers, but only managed to win by 2 points. The Spurs are giving too many points tonight to the Clippers, with or without Baron Davis.

 

Play LA Clippers +13

... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 06, 2009 08:04 PM

Knicks at Thunder

New York 104
Oklahoma City 108
 
Quick play before game time.  I like the way the Thunder played the Nuggets at home last Friday. I expect them rested and ready to take it to the Knicks in the last game of their 4 game home stand.
 
Play Moneyline +115
 
Good Luck


Posted Friday, January 02, 2009 08:02 PM

NBA Predictions & Plays

Happy New Year fellow gamblers.  I ended 2008 on a winning note and hope to ride that streak into the new year. This is definately the best time of year to be a sports bettor. You got college bowl games, you got the NFL playoffs, college basketball is settling into conference play and yes, the NBA is starting to heat up.  With that said, here are my first predictions and plays for the new year - enjoy!   Golden State 108 Minnesota 112   The Wolves have been playing somewhat decent ball as of late while covering 4 out of 5 in the process.  Should be able to handle the Warriors at home.  Play Minnesota -2   Charlotte 85 Milwaukee 95   The Bucks have been looking solid covering 4 out their last 5 including wins at San Antonio and at home against Utah.  Raja Bell could possibly sit this one.  Like the Bucks chances.  Play Milwaukee -6   Utah 99 LA Lakers 103   Too many points here.  Like the Jazz to cover on the road. Play Utah +10   Good Luck!      ... [More]

Posted Wednesday, December 31, 2008 12:43 PM

Last Play of 2008 is....

Oklahoma City +2.5
 
Pick your spots. This looks like a better one for OKC.
 
Good Luck and Happy New Year!!
 


Posted Thursday, December 04, 2008 07:21 PM

San Antonio at Denver

Got a good feeling about the second game of the double header tonight.  Denver is finally looking like a complete team and they have definately been on fire as of late. The Spurs are not going to be an easy task, but I can't ignore a hot team at home. This game will probably go back and forth. I can see the Spurs chasing late which will provide the needed free throws for the Nuggets to cover the number.
 
Play Denver -4
 
 
 
 
 


Posted Saturday, November 29, 2008 12:45 PM

NBA - 11-29-08

Sorry, no write up today.  Nursing a broken ankle and the pain meds are messin with me noggin.
 
Orlando -8
Dallas -4.5
Golden State +1
 
Good Luck!
 


Posted Saturday, November 29, 2008 11:25 AM

Saturday's College Plays

My picks haven't been on this week. Could have something to do with the broken ankle, not sure.  Anyway, playing it safe today with 2 college selections.
 
Virginia Tech -7.5:  VT should be able to take this one easily.
 
Wake Forest -4:  Wake has been playing decent ball this year.  Should be able to pull this one off.
 
Good Luck!
 


Posted Wednesday, November 26, 2008 06:17 PM

Wednesday's Action

Here a few NBA Best Bets to feast on:
 
Knicks +13
Bulls +7.5
Thunder - Cavs Over 200
Bucks - Hawks Over 194
 
Happy Thanksgiving!
 


Posted Saturday, November 22, 2008 06:17 PM

Pittsburgh at Cincinatti

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

The line opened at -5 and has finally rested at -6 in favor of the Bearcats. I like what is on the line in this game for both teams. I expect to see a very competitive game with both of these teams contending for a share of first place and bowl positioning. On the stats side the teams look pretty even on both sides of the ball.  The Panthers have the edge in Sacks allowed and their run defense appears to have stepped it up the last 3 games.  The turnover margin between them is pretty close, but Panthers definitely have the edge in penalty yards.  The Bearcats are second to last with an average of 64 yards a game in conference play, while the Panthers lead the conference with the fewest.  The Panthers also hold the edge in terms of relative strength of schedule.  Several prediction models I've seen have Pitt winning this one outright.  Not going to touch the moneyline, but definitely will take the points.

Pittsburgh +6

Good Luck!

... [More]

Posted Saturday, November 22, 2008 02:21 PM

NBA DOGS - IN REHAB

Apparently, I’m in rehab.  Not sure what I did, but I’m sure the moderator will let me know.  Maybe the Eva Mendez avatar is a little risqué, but she’s not nude (wish she was) and is cleaner than some of the other avatars I’ve seen on this site.  Anyway, on to business…

I took a beating with the dogs last night going 1-3.  The Clippers were the only team that actually came through.  The Wolves, Wizards and Thunder are whole different story. Win some – lose some.  My week is actually going pretty well, so I won’t let this get me down too much. 

I had one anonymous poster in a thread I posted refer to me as “dumb as sh-t”.  At first, I was kind of angry because I didn’t see this certain person do much of anything except interject criticism or suck up.  Then I remembered that I have been a member of this website since 2006, but only recently started posting more because I realize that there is value in everyone’s opinion regardless of what side they are backing.  My survivor record shows that I am not “dumb as sh-t” as some might perceive.  I have a personal best of 14 in row and have just come off a streak of 6. I only play my best bet in the survivor contest as well as put it into live action.  Why pass up a shot at free money, right?  Most of the losses in my overall record have come when I was just starting to learn this craft that we... [More]

Posted Friday, November 21, 2008 08:23 PM

Late ESPN Game

I'm taking the Thunder +10 (-111) G/L
 


Posted Friday, November 21, 2008 05:56 PM

THE DAILY DOG

Celtics at Timberwolves

The Line:  LVSC opened this game at 7 in favor of the Celtics.  Since then it has dropped to 6.5 and 6 at most books around Vegas. http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/celtics-@-timberwolves.cfm/date/11-21-08

I was surprised at the opening number at first, but then again, this match up has some significance that can’t be ignored by the books.  KG makes his second return to the Target Center after being traded 2 seasons ago.  The only difference this time is that he will actually be playing. I am not going to trick myself into thinking that the Wolves have a chance to win this game outright, but they will definitely be fired up for this contest more than they have been all year.  After all, how often do you get a chance to show a championship team and it’s star player (who used to be your face), that your not as bad as your record indicates and that you can run with the best with them on any given night. Remember folks, this is a long season and inconsistencies tend to appear early on as opposed to the end.   Some things to consider:

·         Crowd.  The Wolves should expect to see their biggest attendance tonight (for obvious reasons). Noise motivates.

·       &n... [More]

Posted Thursday, November 20, 2008 08:32 PM

Phoenix Suns +176

Scored on the moneline last night with the Wolves +146. 
 
Tonight I hope to see more of the same. Sound Crazy? At first I was going to pass because everything looks in favor of the Lakers. Then I started thinking this could be one of those spots where a home dog could pull it out straight up.
 
I am going with the back to back angle. The Lakers are coming off a high scoring shoot fest last night with Bulls and now 24 hours later are facing a rested Suns team that is above average.  The Suns have a new look to throw at the Lakers and Shaq has plenty of motivation to be up for this one.
 
The moneyline has been jumping around quite a bit, so there are probably some other people with the same opinion as mine.
 
Good Luck!


Posted Wednesday, November 19, 2008 05:52 PM

GOOD SPOT FOR THE WOLVES????

Being a long time resident of Minneapolis I have suffered. Anyone who has lived here knows what I am talking about (with the exception of the 87 & 91 Twins). The good thing is that you watch enough games and you learn how to pick your spots (if your brave enough to back). The Wolves look pretty bad this year, but they are not as bad as everyone thinks.  If you strip away coach Whittmann and the McHale enigma, you have a young team loaded with talent. This pretty much explains how they have managed to be competitive in their last 8 losses (I believe the average margin of victory has been 6 points) against some pretty decent opponents. With 8 straight losses and Boston, Detroit and Phoenix up next, this is one of those nights where I am brave enough to back.  Here some things to consider:   - The Wolve have had a couple of days off and are playing a 2 game home stand after a pretty brutal road trip (with a home game against Portland sandwhiched in there).   - Mike Miller has been given an open invitation by coach Whittmann to shoot at will.  Isn't this what they brought him in for?   - Samuel Dalambert has a hurt knee. You can down play these things as much as you want, but when your hurt, your not 100% - edge.   - Last, the Wolves need this win more than the Sixers. I don't see them beating the Celtics, Pistons or Suns. Then what? Your at 12 straight losses and on your way to a record of 24 strai... [More]

Posted Tuesday, November 18, 2008 05:17 PM

Northern Illinois at Kent State

Home finale vs. bowl aprirations. Interesting scenario for those of you who like to factor emotional tangibles into your handicapping.  On the stats side Northern Illinois has the edge in turnovers and penalties which make a huge difference in a match up as close as this one. I am comfortable with the 3 points, but am going to hold out until game time to see if I can get 2.5 in the event that the game comes down to a field goal.
 
Play Northern Illinois -3 or -2.5 if yo can get it.
 
Good Luck!


Posts:  1 2  

Profile

User: JMatthew
Joined: March 2006
Location: United States
Team: Minnesota Vikings
Occupation: Other

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories