J_Logan's Blog

Betting tragedy: Right or wrong?

By J_Logan | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, April 09, 2009 04:20 PM   11 comments
Two years ago, I wrote an article following the death of St. Louis Cardinals relief pitcher Josh Hancock. I asked some industry types about how they treat tragedy when it comes to setting and betting lines.

While sports betting can sometimes be a cut-throat business, the impact of these tragic situations hit home with even the most objective oddsmakers.

Thursday’s news that Los Angeles Angels pitcher Nick Adenhart was killed in a car accident will be treated in a similar fashion.

“It is a touchy situation. We can't change prices because (St. Louis) lost a relief pitcher,” said one Las Vegas linesmaker, who asked to remain anonymous, at the time of Hancock’s death. “We would be more concerned if it was a lineup player. I’m sure emotionally it is affecting them, but there is no history of this to base numbers on. This is a tragedy and it makes our job even harder.”

Bookies have to set lines for a team’s games following circumstances like this – it’s their job.

But how do bettors treat tragedy? Better yet, should they bet tragedy?

It’s a moral dilemma with no right or wrong answer.

I’m sure
when the news of Adenhart’s death broke, there were plenty of baseball bettors rushing to play or fade the Angels for Thursday’s series finale with the Oakland Athletics.

If you were one of those bettors, it doesn't make you a bad person. It makes you an insensitive prick, but not a bad person

Of course, all those wagers have been refunded since the teams decided to postpone the game.


The million-dollar question is will this tragedy rally the Halos or will it have them focused on everything but baseball in their upcoming games?

Or should you bet this game like any other on the board because that's how books are setting the line for it?

So, as a baseball bettor, what are you planning to do when the Angels host the Boston Red Sox Friday night?

BetJamaica.com has Los Angeles listed as a slight -107 home favorite.

11 comments
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jess614 says:
04/09/09 04:28PM
Cardinals were 10-13 in '07 when Hancock died and they went 6-12 immediately following his death, but most of those losses were on the road and they weren't that good that year anyway.  Inconclusive results. 
J_Logan says:
04/09/09 04:30PM
Following the death of pitcher Darryl Kile in 2002, the Cardinals dropped five out of seven contests including the two games immediately after Kile's death. St. Louis would eventually finish with a 97-65 record and win the National League Central.
cwilkinsmd says:
04/09/09 04:31PM
Me persoanlly I am a fan of betting the team with the Tragedy and going for the Halos.  I think it gives them purpose for playing, they realize very clearly that each game could literally be their last.  That mindset will carry with them the next month or so and then I think the tragedy will fade out of their mind and it will be business as usual.
Josh_Nagel says:
04/09/09 04:37PM
Whether it's right or wrong to wager, the game goes on, and as such, get your bets in before first pitch. Gamblers stop for nothing. For people who bet seriously, it's likely just another factor they'll consider in deciding whether to bet the game.

The public seems to love to back the team that suffered the tragedy but, as some previous posts pointed out, history shows the grieveing team is usually distracted and often loses the next game.

FastasCash says:
04/09/09 06:47PM
Whether it's right or wrong to bet following the death of a player, on the other team of course, I don't think insensitive. When I heard the news I didn't think about loading up on their next opponent. I thought about how life is short and even good people and good athletes die for no reason some time. Our lives are very fragile and could be taken at anytime. So going on and betting, if that's what makes you happy, go for it because life is full of disappointments and betting makes it a little more enjoyable.
allamay1608 says:
04/10/09 01:35AM
i love reading your blogs bro, keep it up
jkirkpleasant says:
04/10/09 11:48AM
In Vancouver a few days ago the team lost one of their wingman's fiancee. She died in a car accident in Jamaica. The team was reallly upset about it and the wingman's still not back. The result in terms of there games is that they lost the next two games, partially because they were distracted by the death, also because they were tired from a tough travelling schedule. But now, they're back on form and playing better than ever with renewed vigor. Watch out stanley cup... The point is, it takes a few games before they're back on their game.
PossumJenkins says:
04/10/09 12:51PM
In such a situation, I won't play on or against that team for 2 weeks or so. You never know how the team will either come together or fall apart after a loss like that.
Megamaniak says:
04/10/09 08:08PM
Exactly Larry... he was no relief pitcher... he was a young vibrant kid who pitched light's out for the first time on the big stage of the MLB.

He had worked through a Tommy John surgery that he had in H.S., an injury that usually spells doom for most hurlers professional and not. He was 22, with his whole life ahead of him. The bastard that hit him was also 22. As a parent I cannot imagine the pain that his parents are suffering through.

The most tragic thing about this situation is just the plain waste of life... the SouthLand has been affected tremondously. We will not forget.

gamer1234 says:
04/11/09 04:29AM
>>It makes you an insensitive prick, but not a bad person

Does that mean a sensitive person should not bet on games? Why do they play baseball this season after this happened? We have to remember, baseball is not really just a game, it is a job and livelihood to the players. They work when they play this game; they get paid for playing baseball. When our loves one pass away, we still have to go to work after the grief period is over. A lot of bettors feel bad about this tragedy. Either they bet on or against Angels, they should not be called insensitive prick!

meeksjc says:
04/11/09 10:16PM
Better believe I was on the Angels after that.
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