James35's Blog

Posted Tuesday, November 06, 2012 11:15 AM

Chargers v. Bucs (-3) - Extensive Write-up

The Chargers come to Tampa on Sunday, and books have the opening line with the Bucs as a -3 favorite.  If home field is 3 pts, then that tells us the books basically sees this as a PK if it were on a neutral field.  That said, books are also making you pay a little more for this action, with a wager on the Bucs at -3 (-125).
As I cap this game, these are a few things that jump out at me:
LOOKING AT STATS:
Chargers Offense:  The Chargers offense averages 23 pts a game, 323 yards a game, 217 passing yards a game, and 105 rushing yards a game.
Chargers Defense:  Very strong - Giving up on average 19.6 pts (8th) a game, 321.8 yards a game (9th), 237.8 passing (18th), and only 84 rushing yards (4th).  Shaun Phillips is sure to create problems for Freeman on Sunday.
Bucs Offensive Stats: (Yes, the Bucs):  28.2 pts a game (5th), 376.4 yds a game (9th), 245 pass yds a game (13th), 131 rushing yds a game (9th)
COMMON OPPONENTS:
Oakland:  Chargers scored 22 and gave up 14 against the Raiders back on opening day.  The Bucs scored 42 and gave up 32 against the Raiders last week.
Chiefs:  The Chargers scored 37 and gave up 20 against the Chiefs in week 4 (in KC).  Last week, in their second game against the Chiefs (@ home), they scored 31 and gave up 13 The Bucs scored 38 and gave up 10 against the Chiefs.
Chargers Strong Defensive Rankings vs Bucs Strong Offense and Weaker Defense Ranking - Strength of Schedule:... [More]

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