Jarrett75's Blog

Tuesday Peeks 11.2.10

By Jarrett75 | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, November 02, 2010 03:15 AM   38 comments
I got quite a few plays. Some are based on research and others based on just my own tennis knowledge or thoughts. Matchstats is being shitty tonight and taking forever to come up. I don't have all night to wait, so here we go. Good luck.

Feliciano Lopez +600 .35 unit

Juan Ignacio Chela +165 .75 unit

J.I.Chela Games Won +3 +100 1.5 units

A.Montanes Games Won +4 -115 1.15 units

Marco Chiudinelli +210 1.25 units

M.Chiudinelli Games Won +3½ -120 3 units

M.Berrer Games Won +2½ +100 2 units
Report Abuse
 
38 comments
comment Post A Comment
nojuice03 says:
11/02/10 03:31AM
Definitely some value in Lopez +600.  Mayer is getting wayyyyy to much credit.  And I like the Chiudinelli play.  Cilic has been playing horribly would not be surprised at all if he wins straight up.  BOL
BurningPlanet26 says:
11/02/10 05:15AM
I am on Chiudinelli too and Berrer on the ML. Why are you not taking Berrer on the moneyline? That h2h is dominant and these guys are vets who have probably played at the level displayed this year for many years so the old matches should be more relevant than with most IMO. Also the year win-loss and career win-loss are very similar and Berrer beat him in straight sets this year. He is coming on a bit and Troicki is due for an "upset".

I only have the option to play MLs right now or I would tail you on some of those spread bets, most notably Montanes, which does look good.

Interesting pick with Chela. I am going to skip tailing you on that one because on a hard court like this I would want more value, but I also am not laying the juice against him so gl for sure.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 09:41AM


Lopez definitely has the talent to beat Murray, so it's worth a few dollars. And Chiudinelli playing at home vs and out of form Cilic is interesting and a nice price. Good luck.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 09:45AM


what up BP, I was going to take Berrer on the ML, but "ran" out of money. I put aside 10 units to bet just on tennis this morning and figured I had enough bet. I will prolly throw a unit or so on it. It looks like Chela is going to keep it close with Kohls. I am trying to limit myself and not lose my balance. Good luck dude.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 09:59AM
also I had a few dogs I wanted to take, but skipped due to trying to limit. One was my clay court fave DGT, but I haven't watched him in a while and he's been on the challenger tour some lately. Chela is a couple games from winning so my +3 is good. I am going to go ahead and put a unit on Berrer and sprinkle a little on Marti, just in case Davydenko decides he wants to leave early. My other leans but units ran out and didn't make the final cut were:

Starace +244
Montanes +313 (small play)
DGT (I know it's being played, but most on here should know I really like DGT from the clay court season)
Lu +240
Gulbis +488

pauliswilling says:
11/02/10 10:01AM
bol jarrett,on berrer as well...good luck
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:07AM
Juan Ignacio Chela +165 .75 unit

J.I.Chela Games Won

+3 +100 1.5 units

added plays

Michael Berrer

+147 1.1 units

J.Marti Games Won

+6½ -112 1.12 units

Javier Marti +1233 .25 units

Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:07AM




pauliswilling says:
11/02/10 10:18AM
hey jarrett ,thanks for posting by the way...its good to see you posting again....i played this parlay for fun...small......well before you posted......good luck today...you already got 2 in b4 i read your post.....Tennis Men Tennis Men - David Nalbandian -1000 for Game Tennis Men Tennis Men - Michael Berrer +160 for Game
Tennis Men Tennis Men - Novak Djokovic -900 for Game
Tennis Men Tennis Men - Andy Murray -1200 for Game
Tennis Men Tennis Men - Juan Ignacio Chela +150 for Game
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:20AM
what the hell it was a lean earlier but going to add Potato +235 .60 unit
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:21AM


looks good. If Lopez doesn't beat Murray, then I hope you hit it.
Tilehouse114920 says:
11/02/10 10:51AM
Why is everyone on Berrer?? I have Troicki going far in this tourney??
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:54AM


Berrer is something like 3-0 vs Troicki and there is good value in the line.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 10:58AM
that's at least some of why I took it. You will have to ask others why they took it. I never look at anyones plays before I put mine in. But I do sometimes add plays to what I had if someone else has a play that looks good. Most tail around here but never give credit and act like they came up with a play themselves.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 11:42AM
Feliciano Lopez +600 .35 unit

Juan Ignacio Chela +165 .75 unit

J.I.Chela Games Won

+3 +100 1.5 units

A.Montanes Games Won

+4 -115 1.15 units

Marco

Chiudinelli +210 1.25 units

M.Chiudinelli

Games Won +3½ -120 3 units

M.Berrer Games

Won +2½ +100 2 units

Michael Berrer

+147 1.1 units

J.Marti Games Won

+6½ -112 1.12 units

Javier Marti +1233 .25 units

Potato +235 .60 unit

So much for Berrer being 3-0 over Troicki. I should have just left it on the spread, but I got greedy.

Tilehouse114920 says:
11/02/10 11:51AM
Troicki is on fire lately guys with an awsome draw...  he loses in the semis this week
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 11:59AM



he's playing well, but lost to Schuettler last week in the 1st round. Good luck on your bets.
rekamyenoM says:
11/02/10 12:00PM
Did anyone take Starace?  I would have never thought....
moneymanzzz says:
11/02/10 12:05PM
i have starace.. but im losing hope.. he is about to lose the break he got.. if he can hold serve here i'll be happy

i have him for $300 at +250
rekamyenoM says:
11/02/10 12:06PM

You got that.... He will win.

moneymanzzz says:
11/02/10 12:06PM
and he holds
rekamyenoM says:
11/02/10 12:07PM
I'm just waiting for that one to end because I have Tursunov.
rekamyenoM says:
11/02/10 12:07PM

moneymanzzz says:
11/02/10 12:08PM
i lost big money with nicolas faggot.. i had him in 3 parlays for $1500 total (i parlayed him with one winner each), everyone else won and he lost it all for me.. fucking fag.lol

he played so lazy.. he made traver look like nadal out there
moneymanzzz says:
11/02/10 12:09PM
i parlayed nicolas with tursunov.. 
i parlayed nicolas with troiscki

fucking mistake.. im still pissed he lost.lol

and yay mr potatoe wins
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 12:13PM
Feliciano Lopez +600 .35 unit

Juan Ignacio Chela +165 .75 unit

J.I.Chela Games Won

+3 +100 1.5 units

A.Montanes Games Won

+4 -115 1.15 units

Marco

Chiudinelli +210 1.25 units

M.Chiudinelli

Games Won +3½ -120 3 units

M.Berrer Games

Won +2½ +100 2 units

Michael Berrer

+147 1.1 units

J.Marti Games Won

+6½ -112 1.12 units

Javier Marti +1233 .25 units

Potato +235 .60 unit

Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 12:14PM


lol I had him. I had the lean on him and decided to go ahead and take him. I got a good chunk of my Berrer money back.
Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 12:27PM
adding a few plays before I go get my mom and take her to her doctor's appointment.

Peter Luczak -170 5.1 units (Gucc is dealing with achilles issue) Thanks to Anent for posting the play as I don't check the challengers much and his post made me check it out. I give credit when someone influences plays. It's about respect.

Parlays
J.Marti Games Won

+6½ -112
Peter Luczak -215
1 unit

M.Chiudinelli

Games Won +3½ -130
Peter Luczak -215
1 unit

Marco

Chiudinelli +215
Peter Luczak -215
.5 unit

J.Marti Games Won

+6½ -112
M.Chiudinelli

Games Won +3½ -130
Peter Luczak -215

.42 units


rekamyenoM says:
11/02/10 02:41PM

Retires.... Oh well. Push is better than a loss....

pauliswilling says:
11/02/10 03:00PM
figures...i post my parlay and jinx berrer for you,sorry jarrett
Anent says:
11/02/10 03:02PM
Montanes not looking good :(

Jarrett75 says:
11/02/10 06:30PM
my fucking picks today were dog shit for the most part. I guess I should have waited for matchstats to come up.
michaelpaul1 says:
11/02/10 06:58PM
berrer should hang himself
Anent says:
11/02/10 03:03PM
Jarrett75

I appreciate that Jarret75.  I'll feel bad if we lose!
BurningPlanet26 says:
11/03/10 01:05AM
Yeah Jarretn dogshit day for me too. minus three units net, went 0-4 on dogs and 1-0 on faves which is unusual for me. Had GGL and for him to lose after leading a set and 2-0, and to lose that set 3-6 so Ferrer went on a 6-1 run against him, ugh. also had Berrer, Chiudinelli and Istomin, and none of those three were even close to competitive.

And yesterday I bet on Llodra who clearly fixed his match, other than GGL my only non shit dog pick this week. I try to emphasize dogs and go 0-5 on them this week to start, brilliant.

Seems like faves are hitting at a huge rate. Hard for me to predict clay courter Starace to win here, and last time I bet DGT over Almagro he got owned so I skipped that despite thinking of it. Good call on Chela, I should have tailed you. But those are the only three notable dog hits this week and to me they were tough to call. This week has been horrible for dogs in general so far.

I am just glad Golubev hit or I would be down -6.5 units and not just -3 on the day. -4 on the week so far but I have not seen a pick I like enough to bet big on yet.

Berrer is one out of shape dude so I guess I should have figured that semis run would take something out of him. That has to be the reason for the bagel IMO. From now on if Berrer makes the QFs or better in a tournament I am fading him hard the next week.

I hope you have a card tonight, you are now due for a good day.
pauliswilling says:
11/02/10 03:25PM
damn jerrett after you picked the 1st 2 i said what the hell..ill follow...opps!! oh well,wasnt for alot..lets hope we at least end the day well
pauliswilling says:
11/02/10 03:26PM
i was at a meeting when you posted potato ,thats how my luck goes today,lol
pauliswilling says:
11/03/10 12:32AM
-160 not counting the huge hits i took in basketball tonight ,books got money today.....glad i won this freeplay.......good luck tomarrow jarrett...think ill go with my gut today!
Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 

Profile

User: Jarrett75
Joined: November 2004
Location: United States
Team:
Occupation:

Recent Posts

Archive

open2010
open2009

Categories

Advertisement