Week 5: 14-10 Ytd (58%)

1-1 Half time bets (I think...could be missing a game in here somewhere).

Went 3-3 last week but hit a ML bet on LSU over WVU, I don't post ML bets here for tracking purposes, doesn't make much sense. All in all, the games I lost last week in regards to UCF and ECU are the kinds of games that make you want to quit betting. ECU with 7 turnovers 2 inside the 5 and UCF with 4 and just giving that game away. Back to the grind this week...BOL to everyone got 2 picks already locked in...posting here shortly.

UCF 2H play

+.5

They will run the clock out, Heaps isn't good enough to get this one closer I liked UCF +3 and am pressing this 2H bet I think
UCF wins this one by 2 scores.

NCAAF Week 4: 11-7 ytd (61%)

Florida -20

This one opened at -17 last night in some places my book doesn't release lines until today. I have it locked in at 20. It does make me a little nervous Florida traveling for the first time this year under new regime and may be looking ahead to Bama next week, but their defense is really nasty. I think even if the offense struggles they should put up 28 on offense. Kentucky is just not a really good football whatsoever they have looked bad each week, but in the SEC on the road anything can happen. I'll take my chances with the Gators here.

More coming later in the week...

2H Bama -20.5 (10-7 ytd)

Taking Tide -20.5 2H in this one...they will come out throwing the ball early...doubt UNT puts up a TD on this defense or the backups.

NCAAF Friday Night: Boise (8-7 ytd)

Taking the Broncos tonight.

Toledo going into tOSU last week was a good setup for them with it being in state deal and catching the bucks at a good time (before Miami)..this week not so much. Boise knows that for them to get to where they want to be, they have to beat teams in these weekday games handedly when everyone is watching...and I think they will. It may be close for a quarter, but Boise is hands down the better team and should win this win rather easily. Boise 45 Toledo 10

Boise State -20

• Boise 20-7 ATS in their last 27
• Boise 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite
• Toledo 2-5 ATS in their last 7 as a 10.5+ dog

Back to basics: Wk 3 (8-7 ytd)

Went 2-1 last week on covers (though with my local I bet about 16 games and lost then made 3 ridiculous teaser bets in pro ball to be down huge). It was one of the infamous meltdowns I am notorious for having whether its poker, craps or betting.

This week, and the rest of the year...its all about getting back to even.


I have gotten into a habit of betting every game on the board thinking I can pick 55%...I consistently hit my core games and lose the game I pick up throughout Saturdays. So from here on out, no betting the game just because. Money management key from here. I'm confident I can return to 60%+ for the year as I did 2 years ago, and as I did through the first half of last year before I came up with the grant idea to bet every game on the board. BOL to everyone this week.

NCAAF Friday: -- Zona State (6-6 Ytd)

A first year starting QB with no experience going into a hostile environment for the first time against a better team with more experience....not a good recipe for Mizzou.

Really like the Devils this year, especially this game.

Enough to make it


LARGE -- Arizona State -10

NFL 2H play --- Saints pk -115

NO offense can score in a hurry, I liked them overall, and I definitely like them at the break.

NFL Thursday: 36-18 2010 (67% documented last yr)

After a hiatus midway through last season I am back...

New Orleans +5

I actually got the game @ 5.5 and bought up 1.5 points to make it NO +7 but nobody here has that line any more and I don't want to use my buy ups for record keeping. The line is currently +5 and for tracking purposes here thats what I am on.

Saints have a good unit, as does GBP. I think Saints running game with Ingram and company will be a solid compliment to Brees. I am curious to see how much the offseason moves on D will help this team this year. Saints had a great offseason after early exit last season from playoffs and I think they are hungry.

Should be a good one tonight!

NCAA Wk 2 - 60% 2009, 52% 2010

Off to a 5-5 start looking to recover this week. Already looked in these 3 and will add to this thread as goes...BOL to everyone this week.

Thursday
Arizona +14 (Hook)

Saturday
Arkansas -35 (Hook, LARGE)
Florida -23

NCAAF Thursday Night - Taking Zona and points

Play On: Arizona +14 (hook)

I watched the Okie State game versus ULL and they are talented but their defense is terrible. Its hard for me to lay 14 points with a defense that just gave up 30+ to a SBC school, especially now facing a potent QB that has 8 returning starters on offense. For this reason I am on The Cats.

 

New YEAR...my first saturday picks

BOL to everyone this year I'll update this as they come in. Knew I should have pulled the trigger on Baylor yesterday but that thats how it goes! Looking forward to another big year with you guys.

• Alabama 1H -21.5
• Alabama -38
• Missouri -20 (Hook)