Jettson12's Blog

Break Your Book (CBB): Monday, 2/23 {50-27, 65% since posting}

By Jettson12 | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, February 22, 2009 11:44 PM   36 comments
Preface
Against my better judgment, I decided to bet Michigan and Northwestern yesterday. Bad mistake, and the product of being bored on a sunday evening! Oh well. I keep telling myself I can't bet 9-12-15 games a day and be profitable..but I keep coming out above 60% basically every day. So, until I have a day where I just get screw jobbed from betting so much, I'll continue to bet the games I think I can win.

Looking to keep the success going this week...

BOL to everyone today!




Weekly Record
2/22:  7-4 (64%)
2/23:
2/24:
2/25:
2/26:
2/27:
2/28:
  • Current Year To Date (ATS): 50-27-3 (64%) 



"LARGE" History
Bet #1: Rutgers +16.5 {@ Villanova - 2/19}, Win
Bet #2: Baylor +5 {@ Oklahoma State - 2/21}, Loss
Bet #3: St. Mary's -4.5 {VS Utah State - 2/21}, Win
Bet #4: Texas -1 {VS Oklahoma - 2/21}, Win
Bet #5: George Washington +18 {@ Xavier - 2/22}, Push
Bet #6: Duke -7 {VS Wake Forrest - 2/22}, Win
  • Current Record: 4-1-1



Early Leans:
Georgetown (possible LARGE), Tennessee Martin, College of Charleston
36 comments
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smitty42 says:
02/23/09 09:30AM
Good luck Jett will be checking in a little later.
Mgutmans02 says:
02/23/09 09:48AM
gtown looks like the play..but they have looked like the play all year..gluck man
D-Town says:
02/23/09 10:55AM
DoubleUp4Life says:
02/23/09 11:01AM

BOL Brother on all your Wagers

GWarner27 says:
02/23/09 11:04AM
i'm too nervous to back GTown, but i'm very interested in OU
Golferman says:
02/23/09 11:09AM
Jett any particular reason for the GT lean? louisville on a roll and fighting for conf title, GT with virtually no chance for anything but an NIT bid. Louisville clearly the bettr team. Just wondering what yourthoughts are here? Thanks.
king-olaf says:
02/23/09 11:52AM
BOL..
SmurfTurf says:
02/23/09 11:57AM
BOL.  Looking to hit a large play, thinking about UL. What are your thoughts on the OU game?
nc1capper says:
02/23/09 12:11PM
dont you mean ku game --rock chalk jay hawk
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 02:23PM
Play On
Chattanooga -2

Why: I originally thought Charleston, but after capping the game I think Chattanooga is the play. Chattanooga at home is tough. It's lone two losses came to Wofford early in the year and a god Davidson team. Charleston has not been playing that well lately. It seems like every game they have played lately was a struggle, minus the beatdown they just gave a bad G. Southern team. I think they come out lack luster again and a hot Chattanooga team takes they down. Chatt is playing good ball and their home crowd will be energized tonight...It'll come down to the end, and Chatt will walk away with a big W.




Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 04:15PM
Play On
Kansas +3

Why: With or without Griffin, I was taking Kansas. I really like this team alot. OU not having Griffin is just the icing on the cake IMO. They have speed, athleticism and they can do it all. I like how they get down on you and play defense. At OU? Doesn't matter IMO. I'm taking the Jayhawks and I feel pretty confident about it.
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 04:25PM
Final Card
[18:00] ---- Chattanooga -2
[18:00] ---- Western Carolina +3.5
[19:30] ---- Tennessee-Martin +2
[20:00] ---- Kansas +3
smitty42 says:
02/23/09 05:17PM
Good Luck Jettson
hammertime360 says:
02/23/09 06:00PM
like the tenn chatt game...on oklahoma though...good luck
UNDER_DAWG1 says:
02/23/09 06:03PM
SHAKEtheBOOK says:
02/23/09 06:03PM
BOL KID
NgUy3n says:
02/23/09 06:03PM
dang jettson ur playin the opposite from everyone well gl tonight
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 08:07PM
A very average performance against App St, getting dominated by Citadel (twice), they were only up 3 on Catamounts with 3:00 to go. Before Davidson they won 1 of their last 4. Look it, they are good but to say they have been playing good is a farce. They may cover tonight but minus the Davidson and GSU game this team has not been playing well, they are squeaking by with wins due to competition.



BOL if you played CoC my friend and thanks for dropping in and giving an opinion. I respect it and can see where you are coming from, I just respectfully disagree. GL tonight.
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 08:09PM
NGuYN...it happens, I just pick games and hope for the best! Thanks for dropping in!!

TY shakethebook...BOL back at you!

Underdawg!

BOL on OU hammertime!

TY smitty...same to you buddy!
stickman80733 says:
02/23/09 08:09PM
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 08:20PM
***** LARGE UPDATE *****

KANSAS +3 (-120)


Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 08:21PM
Final Card
[18:00] ---- Chattanooga -2
[18:00] ---- Western Carolina +3.5
[19:30] ---- Tennessee-Martin +2
[20:00] ---- (LARGE) Kansas +3
smitty42 says:
02/23/09 08:30PM
I'm with you on the Jay Hawks lets hit this!
stickman80733 says:
02/23/09 08:31PM
why Kansas large Jett ???

 thats what I like to hear 
TheProgram says:
02/23/09 08:34PM
Murray St.
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 09:00PM
Stick...I liked Kansas before Griff was out, but with him out I just don't see OU winning. Kansas is a MUCH better team than Texas. They have good size and they have speed. I like them here, OU will be tough at home but without their star there is much less room for error. I don't see the Warren kid having another career day (the guy was insane against UT).
stickman80733 says:
02/23/09 09:19PM
thanks , lets get this 
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 11:21PM
Final Card
---- (LARGE) Kansas +3
 ---- Chattanooga -2
 ---- Western Carolina +3.5
 ---- Tennessee-Martin +2



Eeek...first losing day since posting but I won the big one, the one that matters so we will take profit anyday even though I cannot stand being below .500. We'll move on tomo and get them back!

51-30 on the season since posting...

BOL all who won tonight...

Large record comes to 5-1-1...GO JAYHAWKS!
smitty42 says:
02/23/09 11:27PM
Nice hit on Kansas!!

I am new to betting: went 2-3 on the day

Just wondering how many units a "large pick" would be if everything else is ranked 1 unit. Thanks for the info and good luck!!
smitty42 says:
02/23/09 11:35PM
Wow! So then that was a great win with Kansas then! How do you determine a large play? Is it a hyped up game or your confidence level?

Thanks for answering my question I seem to learn something new everyday.
smitty42 says:
02/23/09 11:49PM
Thanks Jetts! Look forward to seeing you tomorrow. Have a great night.
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 11:35PM


Love Self and company...
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 11:39PM
Its a confidence level thing. Sometimes its a big game sometimes its a game that is with 2 shit teams. Everything has to be right for a large, that includes public betting, line movement and how I cap the game. Thats why I generally don't know if it'll be a LARGE until closer to tip, because I watch line movement.

Ultimately though, its how confident I feel with the game...and if I like it a lot I make it a large.

NGuy, thanks buddy...we'll get them tomo!
Jettson12 says:
02/23/09 11:31PM
The way I bet is I make things 1 unit across the board. I used to do 2-3 units and such but it always seemed like my lesser unit plays hit more than my upper units...so I scratched it.

To me, a large play is 5 units....5x what I normally bet. It can be whatever you desire...some people just double it their bet on larges. For me though, its 5x what I normally bet on a regular game.
stickman80733 says:
02/23/09 11:33PM
 rock, chalk baby 
NgUy3n says:
02/23/09 11:35PM
hey jettson good hit on kansas hope to c some good plays tmr too
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