NFL 2H play --- Saints pk -115

NO offense can score in a hurry, I liked them overall, and I definitely like them at the break.

NFL Thursday: 36-18 2010 (67% documented last yr)

After a hiatus midway through last season I am back...

New Orleans +5

I actually got the game @ 5.5 and bought up 1.5 points to make it NO +7 but nobody here has that line any more and I don't want to use my buy ups for record keeping. The line is currently +5 and for tracking purposes here thats what I am on.

Saints have a good unit, as does GBP. I think Saints running game with Ingram and company will be a solid compliment to Brees. I am curious to see how much the offseason moves on D will help this team this year. Saints had a great offseason after early exit last season from playoffs and I think they are hungry.

Should be a good one tonight!

2H play (LARGE)

JAX -0.5 .... Love it here. They may not cover the original 3, but Edwards will move the ball on them, and TEN will be in shutdown mode with Collins at the helm.

NFL Monday: *** 36-16 (69%) Record Ytd) ***

2010 Record (NFL): 36-16, 69%

2010 Betting Breakdown
---- Spread: 21-7, 75%
---- Totals: 5-2, 67%
---- Halfs: 8-4, 75%
---- Quarters: 2-2, 50%
---- Moneyline: 0-1, 0%


2010 LARGE History (2-1)
Week 1 (W): Kansas City Chiefs +4 (KC 21 - SD 14)
Week 4 (W): New York Giants -3 (NYG 17 - CHI 3)
Week 5 (L): Minnesota Vikings +4.5 (MIN 20 - NYJ 29) *** Moose
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Jacksonville +3
Like the Jags tonight, I think they have a good bit of momentum right now. They had that rough 2 game stretch against SD and PHI but that had a lot to do with QB play. I think Garrard is either hit and miss, but when a QB has confidence its hard to go away from him. Garrard was close to getting run out of dodge 2 weeks ago, and now the role has reversed. I think we'll see a close game tonight, a dog fight in a division battle. I'll go with the home team (who finally won't be blacked out) and the points. I leaned UNDER, but made it a no play.
Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
JAX is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 as a home dog of 3.0 or less.TEN is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 against teams with winning record.TEN is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a S.U. Win.

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NFL Sunday Night: *** 35-16 (69%) Record Ytd***

2010 Record (NFL): 35-16, 69%

2010 Betting Breakdown
---- Spread: 20-7, 74%
---- Totals: 5-2, 67%
---- Halfs: 8-4, 75%
---- Quarters: 2-2, 50%
---- Moneyline: 0-1, 0%


2010 LARGE History (2-1)
Week 1 (W): Kansas City Chiefs +4 (KC 21 - SD 14)
Week 4 (W): New York Giants -3 (NYG 17 - CHI 3)
Week 5 (L): Minnesota Vikings +4.5 (MIN 20 - NYJ 29) *** Moose
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Washington +4 (Hook)
I hate going against Manning in primetime but tonight I feel its the play. Colts have struggled against the run at times this year and Shanny and the Skins will look to give a heavy dose of Torian to slow down and keep Manning off the field. Manning will get his, but they are so battered and beaten up I cannot help but seeing them coming up short tonight. Contemplated making this a LARGE, as well as a moneyline play but did not. Feel Washington is in a good spot here, they are battle tested and have played some close games. I like them here.
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NFL Sunday: *** 33-14 (70%) Record Ytd ***

2010 Record (NFL): 33-14, 70%

2010 Betting Breakdown
---- Spread: 18-6, 75%
---- Totals: 5-2, 67%
---- Halfs: 8-3, 80%
---- Quarters: 2-2, 50%
---- Moneyline: 0-1, 0%


2010 LARGE History (2-1)
Week 1 (W): Kansas City Chiefs +4 (KC 21 - SD 14)
Week 4 (W): New York Giants -3 (NYG 17 - CHI 3)
Week 5 (L): Minnesota Vikings +4.5 (MIN 20 - NYJ 29) *** Moose
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Dropped the first LARGE of the season on Monday night due to Farve's pick 6 with a minute to go. Cannot win them all. Looking over the card today, nothing that I really, really love. Here goes it though. BOL to everyone today. Don't have time for write ups at work and have to get going. Thanks to all those who stop in let me know what you tihnk.


Pittsburgh -7 1H
Atlanta +2
Seattle +6
Miami +3
Washington +4 (Hook)


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NFL Monday: *** 33-13 (72%) Ytd (LARGE) ***

2010 Record (NFL): 33-13, 72%

2010 Betting Breakdown
---- Spread: 18-5, 80%
---- Totals: 5-2, 67%
---- Halfs: 8-3, 80%
---- Quarters: 2-2, 50%
---- Moneyline: 0-1, 0%


2010 LARGE History (2-0)
Week 1 (W): Kansas City Chiefs +4 (KC 21 - SD 14)
Week 4 (W): New York Giants -3 (NYG 17 - CHI 3)
Week 5: Minnesota Vikings +4.5 (Pending...)
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Vikings +4.5 (LARGE)
Third large play of the season. I think Farve comes out on the big stage and finally gets it done tonight. He has been sloppy in early goings mainly because I think not enough time with his guys. He missed a lot of critical time to get his timing down. It's now a month into the season and he is getting into mid season form. I think he strives in spots like this to show out. Vikings got a moral boost with the addition of Moss. Sure the timing won't be down with Farve yet, but at least it will make the Jets think about the deep ball, will open up lanes for Peterson. Sanchez is a good QB, but I'll go with Farve in the spot light and the points.


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