NFL/NCAAF: +54,000 (+108u) 129-78-3 (63%) ATS/Totals
54-54-5 (50%) ATS/Totals
NCAAB YTD: +1,530 (+3.06u)
15-10 (61%) ATS/Totals
Max Bet = $2000Weeks 11/13-12/10 (November) : +28,610
83-53 ATS (61%)
Week 12/11-12/17: -1,600 3-4 ATS
Week totals will be updated once the next few days games are finished. I'm posting my plays early so that everyone can get the best available lines. As always your insight and opinion is welcomed. BOL!
$2000 Buffalo Bills +6 **Max Bet**
This game is being played in Canada for those who don't know this. But it's still a "home" game for the Bills. As we all know the Seahawks aren't the best road team and have played in close games in every one of their road games this year. I even had a max bet on this Seattle team when they were underdogs at the Bears a few weeks ago. That was with the Seahawks being underdogs tho. This line is 9 points away from the Seahawks last road game, as they are now 6 points favs. Being 6 point favs is difficult for any team on the road, and the Bills have proven to be decent at "home" this year. The Bills have played good football for the last month or so as well. The Seahawks are 0-3 SUATS as road favorites this year and this line is inflated due to the blowout win the Hawks had over the cardinals this past week.
The Bills biggest improvement since the beginning of the year as been their run defense. This is critical because the Seahawks are going to try and pound Marshawn Lynch as much as possible. In the last 6 weeks the Bills have held their opponents to A little over 3 yards per carry. That can keep you in most games. They've also held their opponents to 250 yards or less passing in the last 8 games, against teams like the Texans, Patriots, and the Colts. Their defense will keep them within the 6 in this game.
Looking offensively at the Bills I think it actually helped this team with Fred Jackson getting hurt. CJ Spiller is a much more dynamic back, and is more of a threat in the passing game as well. The Seahawks run defense has should vulnerability at time this year, especially on the road. I look for Spiller to have another breakout performance here with Jackson being out for the year.
This game will be a defensive battle IMO and very similar to the Bills game against the Rams last week. The Bills should have won that one but couldn't get a stop in the end. Turnovers and red zone efficiency will also help decide the winner as points will be at a premium. I think this game will play out very similar to last weeks game for the Bills. And if the Bills can get a stop late in the game, they will knock the Hawks to 2-6 on the road this year. Now both teams have some injuries and questionable players for the game, but the Seahawks are thin at the Cb position , and browner is suspended. For this reason I think the Bills can have enough success in the passing game to get the upset. Bills win 20-16.