Jon_Campbell's Blog

Posted Thursday, August 23, 2012 02:31 PM

Grandma gets hosed at the betting window

It's kind of hard to fathom this one, but an elderly British woman got stiffed at the window on her Olympics futures bet. 

According to the story in, Linda Aldred placed a small bet at Betfred that her grandson Sam Oldham would win a medal in his sport of gymnastics. 

"Before the Games started, Linda Aldred placed a small bet at 200/1 that Sam would win a medal in London. When he and his British teammates took home the bronze in the team competition, Aldred thought her £5 (about $8) ticket was a big winner.

But upon trying to cash out the ticket for £1,000, Aldred was told her bet was void because the medal was won in a team competition, not individual." 

The grandmother is milking it a little, saying she could have used the winnings for a ticket to Rio to see Sam compete in 2016. But the story shows the ticket doesn't clearly state that Oldham needed to win an individual medal. 

The issue has been taken up with the Independent Betting Adjudication Service (IBAS), who handles claims like this one. They said they've handled a number of wager complaints from the Olympic Games in London.

Posted Thursday, June 21, 2012 10:16 AM

Steamy weather means more home runs

Keep a close eye on the weather and MLB totals in the coming days. It's that time of year when temperatures start to soar and humidity will leave your shirt sticking to your skin - ideal conditions to help balls fly over fences at major league ball parks. 

Over bettors take note.  

The East Coast has seen temps of 100 degrees and hotter over the past couple of days and some savvy bettors have already benefited. 
Yesterday the Braves and Yankees combined for nine home runs in a 10-5 Atlanta win. The 15 combined runs obliterated the total of 11, which equaled the highest total of the season in a Yankees game. The nine homers also matched a season-high for MLB and was the most ever in a game at the new Yankee Stadium. 

Boston saw a 20-run game yesterday in a 15-5 win for the Red Sox over the Miami Marlins. That total was also set at 11, which matched a season high over/under for a Red Sox game. 

Miami and Boston combined for six home runs in the slugfest. 

Boston is going to see another hot one today, along with D.C., on a travel day with a shortened schedule. The Marlins and Sox have a total of 10.5 while the Rays and Nats have a total of 7. 

Keep in mind, warm weather isn't a guarantee for the over but it's the time of year when you have to look closely at it when you're capping baseball. ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, June 12, 2012 09:39 AM

Euro odds: Big shuffling after one match

What a difference a game makes. At least that’s what futures odds for Euro 2012 indicate after all teams have completed one game in the group stage. 

Spain (+275) and Germany (+300) remain as the top two favorites but from there the odds board has been shuffled like a deck of cards. 

Nobody climbed more than Denmark, who went from +7500 pre-tournament to +4000 after stunning the Dutch 1-0 in their first game. And nobody tumbled more than Ireland, who went from long shot to need-a-miracle from +10000 to +20000. 

Greece also bounced from +5000 to +10000 even though it managed to scrape out a 1-1 draw in the tournament opener against Poland, despite getting stung with a red card in the first half of that match. The Greeks enter Tuesday’s match against Czechs with Sokratis Papastathopoulos serving his suspension due to the red card and a few other players nursing injuries. 

In terms of the favorites, Russia appears to be the new darling of the tournament after hammering the Czechs 4-1 on the first day. They moved from +2000 to +1200 and are even money in three-way betting to defeat Poland on Tuesday. 

France has been bumped up to the No. 3 favorite from +1100 to +800 after a draw with England. That one is strange because France was favored in that matchup. The Lions, meanwhile, stayed put at +1200, which seems to make more sense.

Perhaps it’s because bettors were wary to put their money on France following its deb... [More]

Posted Friday, June 08, 2012 08:42 AM

Top sports betting news from the web

Euro 2012 Gambler's Guide from SB Nation talks about some funny props and Ronnie's hot girlfriend.

This Yale Law School student has a better summer job than you ever did: pro poker player. And she's good. Good feature by Howard Stutz in the LVRJ.

Las Vegas sportsbooks never saw a "Double Crown" winner they didn't love. Lucky's Jimmy Vaccaro says Las Vegas may see "two times" more action than normal for the Belmont because a Triple Crown is on the line.

"Slot machine maker Bally Technologies received a unanimous recommendation by the Nevada Gaming Control Board for the first interactive gaming license ever to be issued to a manufacturer of online gaming systems."

I am amazing at making horse noises. True story. Now Derby favorite I'll have another (+100) is kind of doing the opposite and imitating humans with a Twitter account. I shit you not. He's @I'll_HaveAnother.

Did you know that India is having the same sports betting legalization debate that we are in North America? This one from the Indian Sports News, which I know you read everyday.

New Facebook app allows fans to bet 'virtual currency' you can cash in for prizes. FYI - you can win REAL cash (and prizes) in Covers Contests if you prefer that sort of thing, as opposed to iPads and PS3's.
... [More]

Posted Thursday, June 07, 2012 08:45 AM

Top sports betting news from the web

The Golden Nugget will be releasing their college football games of the year on Monday morning. We'll have all 111 for you here on Covers. In the meantime here's an interview from Don Best with the Nugget's sportsbook director Tony Miller.

Hockey betting fever has swept Las Vegas. Well, kinda. Let's just say oddsmakers are relieved the Kings don't play in the NBA or NFL. Good piece from Case Keefer in the LV Sun about puck action in the sportsbooks.

"When I go off - that happens maybe four minutes a day and usually happens late - that's where I see the enormous injustice of ... having some horrible player make some crazy-ass move and outdrawing me. Then I'm melting down." The San Fran Chron interviews Phil Helmuth at the World Series of Poker.

The Jerry Sandusky jury selection is wrapping up. We didn't really want to go here, but did back in the fall in discussing the betting implications for Penn State in its last game against Nebraska.

Survey in Bangkok says 27.5 percent of respondents plan on betting on Euro 2012. The other 72.5 percent lied to avoid prison.

Other betting bits:
The Texas Rangers were -1000 to win the AL West heading into Wednesday night's game vs. the A's. By the way, they'd also lost five of their last seven heading into that game.Rafa Nadal was -250 to win the French Open yesterday. He's -310 now. Maria Sharapova went from +150 to +110 as the ladies favorite. Sharapova is 16-1 on clay this year, though j... [More]

Posted Thursday, March 24, 2011 03:52 PM

Ref for tonight's Habs-Bruins game

Lot's of talk in the hockey world about tonight's Habs-Bruins game in Boston where the Broons are favored at -175 and the total is posted at 5.

Most remember the fireworks from the last time they met when Zdeno Chara 'blowed up' Max Pacioretty with a hit into the glass partition at the Bell Center, sparking tears and prayer circle protests from throngs of Hab Nation.

The league is reportedly going to keep a tight lid on tonight's rematch, as is often the case in situations where a game has the potential to get ugly.

Reports are that two veteran officials will do the game as a result, one of them being Dan O'Halloran. This is news because, unlike the NBA, the NHL doesn't release its officials assignments on game day.

O'Halloran is an 'over' official who sees an average of 6.18 goals per game in games he's officiated this season - the second highest number in the league among officials who have reffed more than one game this year. The over/under has a record of 36-29 in his games. 

Posted Friday, March 18, 2011 09:32 AM

Cool 1st half trend for NCAA tourney

There’s a profitable first-half trend from yesterday’s action of March Madness that carries over from last year. First half over/unders went 10-4-2 yesterday, earning a nice payday for those who made this wager on every matchup.

It’s a trend worth noting, not only for the cash, but also because the over/under went just 8-7-1 overall yesterday, with the lone push coming in the Richmond-Vandy game (135).

This trend carries over from 2010 and a few of us in the office continued to follow it this year to see where it would lead. To the best of our memories, only five games played under in the first half last year through the first two days, though don’t shoot me if I’m wrong by a couple of games.

Still, that was a massive profit last year and shaping up to be a nice one this year.

All trends must come to an end but worth throwing out there for your consideration as you make your wagers today. 

Posted Wednesday, March 09, 2011 01:09 PM

Habs, Pacioretty can't play victim routine

I haven’t written a blog in a while, but the Zdeno Chara hit on Max Pacioretty has pulled me out of blogger retirement.

In case you missed it, Chara drove Pacioretty into the boards where the glass partition begins near the benches at the Bell Centre near the end of the second period Wednesday night.  Pacioretty was bloodied, knocked out cold and taken off on a stretcher to hospital.

It’s not so much the hit itself that’s bothering me – though it wasn’t pretty - rather the way it’s being covered.

Chara should be suspended for life, is pretty much the gist outside of Boston. One Montreal Gazette writer, Dave Stubbs, ridiculously compared the incident to the death of Georgian luger Nodar Kumaritashvili at last year’s Olympics and said any “reasonable fan” should have been “repulsed… no matter their allegiance.”  

Count me among the unreasonable, I guess.

I don’t like seeing gore out there, but when you check the stories on the major mainstream outlets like TSN, ESPN and others and you’ll see no mention of what Chara’s hit was really about: January 8.

What happened that night in front of a national TV audience on Hockey Night in Canada was Pacioretty scored the overtime winner in a 3-2 victory over Boston, and then followed Chara after the goal so he could give him an extra “up yours” shove in the back as the 6-foot-9 defenseman skated away.  

Chara lost it and a major scrum ensued. Jump to the... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 10, 2010 02:46 PM

NHL's 'new rule' will just create more issues

NHL general managers are meeting in Florida this week for three days to discuss, among other things, head shots in hockey and the serious injuries that follow. 

This hot button issue has sparked a ton of discussion in the NHL this year because of an apparent increase in head injuries following hits, most recently to Marc Savard of the Boston Bruins when he got demolished by Matt Cooke on Sunday.

It’s a tough topic because some of these checks are ones we previously would have deemed as clean.

Elbows in. No charging. Player doesn’t leave his feet.

But still, players are getting it too hard in the bucket and we all know by now that concussions can mess a guy up. 

Everyone seemed to agree that a clearer definition of the rules was in order heading into the GM meetings. So what did they vote to pass unanimously today? 

A rule that says the referee can assess either a minor penalty or a major penalty for hits they deem were targeted to the head.

What does that mean?

And don’t we already have this rule in place?

Officials have the power to call a major or match penalty any time they feel a player intentionally tries to injure another. Wouldn’t that qualify?

Instead of clearing things up, the NHL is heading (pun intended) into a whole new grey area that’s going to cause them a mountain of, err, headaches. 

It’s tough to distinguish what is an intentional hit to the head and what is... [More]

Posted Tuesday, February 09, 2010 02:07 PM

Wiz heading for the All-Star break early

Betting the NBA during the week leading up to the All-Star break is gambling at its riskiest. You really don’t have any clue which teams are going to check out a few days early and leave your money to blow away in the wind.


I usually avoid it like a public urinal. But like a public urinal, sometimes you just have to.


Take tonight. The Wiz opened as 8.5-point dogs on the road at Betjamaica against the Bobbies and I just can’t see any reason why they would give a flying bullet who wins this game.


They are coming off a relaxing 3-day vacation in sunny Orlando because they were storm-stayed over the weekend due to the blizzard in Washington. Their Sunday game in D.C. against the Hawks was rescheduled for March 11.


(Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Penguins managed to make it to D.C. for a 1 p.m. Sunday game despite playing in Montreal the night before.  The Pens got in at 2 a.m. and took a 5-hour bus ride after flying to Newark. )


But I don’t really blame the Wiz for not wanting to play. They suck. And their dressing room is more of an evidenc... [More]

Posted Monday, January 25, 2010 06:08 PM

Don't blame Favre for Vikings loss

Joe Buck and Troy Aikman ripped Brett Favre like a coupon from a newspaper last night after he threw his closing-seconds interception to Tracy Porter on third-and-15 from New Orleans’ 38-yard line. called it a ‘gruesome interception’ and more than likely you heard worse around your water cooler today.


But the 31-28 Vikings loss can’t be blamed on Favre.  And if you took the four points at BetJamaica, you aren’t blaming anyone at all.


I know what you’re thinking: another Brett Favre lover. You would be thinking wrong. I'm not a hater either, though I have grown tired of the retirement parties the last couple of seasons.


But if you’re looking for somewhere to point the finger, Favre shouldn’t be at the top of your list. He threw for 310 yards, came through on a lot of key third downs and played through the pain after taking a serious beating.


<... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 19, 2010 10:55 AM

Teddy Covers gets some love from ESPN's Sports Guy

Just an FYI – Covers Expert Teddy ‘Covers’ Sevransky got a nice shout-out yesterday on Bill Simmons’ podcast, the BS Report. You can check it out here and it comes around the 31:50 mark of the podcast.  

I’m sure most of you know Simmons as The Sports Guy on and Teddy’s name came up during Monday’s discussion with Chad Millman. Millman is ESPN’s gambling writer if you’re not familiar and he wrote a book about the Las Vegas sports gambling scene called ‘The Odds’.

Anyway, it’s a good discussion about how the wise guys are looking for a decent middle opportunity with this week’s Jets-Colts game.  The line currently sits at Indy -7.5 at Betjamaica and most other betting shops.

Posted Thursday, January 14, 2010 10:08 AM

Expect fights, power plays and goals tonight in Toronto

Hopefully the staff at the Air Canada Center has the doors to the penalty boxes well oiled tonight because they’re going to get some use.

The Flyers visit Toronto as -135 faves (BetJamaica) and the Leafs are calling up their top goon, Jay Rosehill, from the minors for the bout, err, game.

There is some bad blood still boiling from when these two clubs met Jan. 6 when Philly’s resident psycho, Dan Carcillo, scored a goal and taunted the Leafs’ bench by skating by and giving mock high fives. (Pretty clever, I thought.) Later he gave the throat slashing gesture to Toronto assistant coach Keith Acton for which he was fined the NHL-maximum of $2,500.

There were 80 minutes in penalties handed out in that affair and the Flyers went 3-for-6 on the power play. They won 6-2 and the eight goals jumped the over/under by two.

Not surprisingly, the total is set at 6 goals again Thursday with -130 juice on the over. I’m taking the over despite the chalk because I’m expecting more penalties and Philly’s power play happens to be on fire right now. Both teams have serious goaltending issues too.

It’s also worth noting that the ‘over’ is 6-2 in games in which Carcillo has at least five minutes in penalties this season. In no small way, that’s because he has a knack for getting under the skin of the other team, which leads to more PIMs and power plays whenever he gets in a scrap.

He’s also sporting a filthy crustache, which really has to... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 12, 2010 09:19 AM

Banning gambling on NBA teams makes no sense

Leave it to the Zenmaster to be the only one who seemingly has some sense in the NBA amidst the Gilbert Arenas gambling fiasco.

While others are either banning gambling on their teams or remaining silent on the subject, Lakers coach Phil Jackson said over the weekend that he won’t support a ban on his team simply for PR reasons.

 “What are these players going to do when they get back to their hotels, when they are in their own space, even their houses?” Jackson said to reporters on Friday. “They’re going to go their rooms and gamble. I think maybe on the planes would be a better spot for that because it could be monitored. It hasn’t been a problem.


“We have guys that play, four or five guys that play. They seem to have a wonderful time. It seems to be a great release for them.” 


What a concept: treat players like adults.


I realize that can be difficult at times, what with some of them carrying guns and Tweeting comments you’d expect f... [More]

Posted Friday, September 18, 2009 08:02 PM

Expect Tenny-Florida line to come back down

I wrote about the revenge factor in my Four-play column today but I wanted to expand on the Tennessee-Florida game because spreads like this are so rare in the SEC.

 Jay Kornegay, executive director of the Race and Sportsbook at the Las Vegas Hilton, couldn’t remember a spread off-hand that was this big recently in the conference. (As of Friday night, it was at 29.5 at Pinnacle.)

 “The last time an SEC team laid more than four TDs that I found was all involving Miss State,” Kornegay said. “In 2006 Miss St  was +33 at LSU (LSU 48-17), 2005 Miss State was +28 at Florida (FLA 35-9), and 2004 Miss State was like +31 at LSU (LSU 51-0).”

 The record of 2-1 ATS doesn’t exactly suggest a lock here Saturday, but you get the point. This spread has gotten large.

 Kornegay said the Hilton initially had Saturday’s game at 23 points and it’s been bet up to as high as 30 points at some places. However, he also said he guessed that bettors were intentionally pushing the line up to bet Tennessee when the line got high enough.

 Looks like he’s right. The line is on the way back dow... [More]

Posted Tuesday, September 08, 2009 02:32 PM

Bogus handshake policy has to go before more get hurt

I am pissed.
  Not so much because my college fantasy team has gone down the crapper like a dead gold fish, but it’s the reason why that’s making me angry.
So far I’ve lost starting running back Anthony Dixon (suspended after DUI arrest), Heisman winner Sam Bradford (shoulder injury) and my other starting running back, LeGarrette Blount (suspended for season).
  It’s the suspension to Blount that is really killing me and I only partially blame Blount. In case you were a college football fan who was just rescued from being lost in the woods, Blount is suspended for the year after he “sucker punched” Boise State’s Byron Hout after the Broncos beat the Ducks 18-9 as 3.5-point favorites ( last Thursday.
Now, the punch wasn’t very bright. Neither was the fact Blount tried to fight with fans in Boise after that. But he definitely didn’t deserve to have his football career ruined by being suspended for the season. What’s worse is that none of this would have ever happened if it wasn’t for the new handshake initiative from the American Football Coaches Association.
  The association wants players to shake hands before college games this year in an effort to show sportsmanship.
It’s garbage. And in this case, it might have helped contribute to Blount’s run-in with Hout.
  As part of the initiative, a selected group of Broncos players shook hands with a selected group of Oregon players prior to kicko... [More]

Posted Monday, July 27, 2009 10:29 AM

Many reasons to like the under in Bombers games

Here’s an angle for Silly Ball bettors: take a hard look at betting the under in Winnipeg Blue Bombers games for the next little bit.

That might be a bit obvious, considering they just signed unemployed QB Michael Bishop in a desperate effort to kick start the offense. But let’s see how oddsmakers react this week.

The over/under is 1-3 in Bombers games so far this season and oddsmakers at have posted all three of their totals between 50 and 53.5 points. It’s a little surprising we haven’t seen a bigger adjustment considering their starting quarterbacks just threw for a total of 66 yards in a 19-5 loss to the Toronto Argos and Stefan Lefors has the worst completion percentage in the CFL (46 percent).

What you might not have read about is that head coach Mike Kelly told the Winnipeg Free Press last week that he was going to simplify his offense because he had overestimated his talent at the beginning of the season. And that’s likely to continue with yet another quarterback stepping in to take over this week.

Another reason to like the under is the defense has been playing well considering the guys on the defensive unit can barely get off the field. The Blue Bombers allowed an average of 21 points in their three losses and it’s thanks to the defense they’ve actually managed to ... [More]

Posted Wednesday, June 17, 2009 08:18 AM

The NL advantage during interleague play

I took the Jays/Phillies game to go under 9 runs Tuesday night thinking that Cole Hamels was on the mound and the Jays have been hitting like they’ve traded their bats for purses lately.   I also liked the fact that Ricky Romero was being slightly underestimated by oddsmakers here as a young arm that has been a pleasant surprise for the Bee-Jays as their rotation continues to crumble to injuries.

But there was another factor I failed to consider that also helped my bet. His name is Ricky Romero.  

Not the guy on the mound. The guy at the plate.

Watching him bat with runners on the corners in the fourth inning with one out, the Jays up 2-1, was like watching a little kid trying to jump off the diving board for the first time.

He was lining up to bunt for so long before Hamels delivered that I can’t believe the Phillies’ southpaw didn’t crack up laughing and call for time. 

On his second strike, he sort of whiffed on a bunt that made his bat look like he was holding a piece of road kill.

“That was new,” said the Rogers Sportsnet color guy. (I think it was Pat Tabler doing the game.)

Romero went down on strikes after following up that embarrassment with the ugliest hack I’ve seen all season. Surely this guy has had to hit at some point in his life on his way to the majors... [More]

Posted Friday, June 12, 2009 07:51 AM

Game 7 outlook and prop picks

If I hear “this is the game you always dream about when you’re playing street hockey as a kid” one more time, I’m going to get sick all over myself.

That’s the real problem with a two-day layoff in the NHL finals – we have to listen to the same clichés a million times over for a whole extra day. Hockey players are the nicest guys in sports, but they are also the worst interview.

Thankfully, it will come to an end tonight at 8 p.m. when Game 7 goes down at the Joe.

Who will win? The Wings should, but I probably won’t be betting on them for Game 7. I took them at 3-1 to win the Cup at before the playoffs began and with that on the line, I don’t have much incentive to lay the -195 Friday night.

I am thinking about hedging with the Pens at +165 but then I’d go and suck all the drama out of the thing. It’s not very often your futures wager comes down to one game when it comes to betting H-ball so I might as well ride it out.

Here are a few other wagers I am looking at for Game 7:

Under 5.5 – Unless the goalies forget their pads, this one is going under. And grab it now because the juice is going up. Both goalies were sensational in Game 6, which was also the tightest checking game of this series by a long shot. The zamboni could have skipped the middle of the ice when it flooded bet... [More]

Posted Thursday, June 11, 2009 02:57 PM

Donaghy gets a beat down in prison

Looks like our boy Tim Donaghy isn't making out so well in the joint. The disgraced former NBA ref ended up on the wrong side of a beat down in prison, according to reports from the L.A. Daily News and a few other sources.
The injury report says Donaghy suffered a tear of the lateral maniscus when he was beaten with a "paint rolling stick" back in November. Some sources are saying the administer of said beat down was a member of the New York mob.
All I can say is that Donaghy must be disgusted at the length of time it took for this story to break.
"If that was me, I would have had the injury reported to the appropriate parties within minutes," he was overheard telling a shower mate at the Florida prison where he is currently serving out his sentence.
Donaghy is scheduled to be moved to a halfway house in the Tampa area next week but the government owns him until October.  

Posted Wednesday, May 20, 2009 01:32 PM

Looking for a tennis fix - in more ways than one

The end of May is almost here, which means a sight that has become as common as the blooming flowers has arrived: Rafa Nadal is favored to win Roland Garros. And -350 ( isn’t a terrible price when it comes to playing on Nadal in Paris.

But more on that in a day or two when I break down the men’s and women’s sides for you.

Another topic that seems just as common when it comes to discussing professional tennis these days is match fixing. The Wall Street Journal is the latest to write about it as tennis gets set to slide back onto the American sports radar with the French Open and Wimbledon near.

The story is worth a read because it’s the first time (that I’ve seen anyway) that a gambler is being so open and candid about attempting to fix a match on the WTA.

This Russian bettor, who claims to make his living from betting women’s tennis, says he was nervous to approach a player about fixing a match. But he was seemingly acting on his own and you have to wonder about the guys who aren’t nervous about approaching players about this sort of thing. I’m guessing those guys don’t ask so nicely.

It won't stop me from wagering tennis but this piece is a new first-hand look at this topic. If you've seen anything else similar out there, please share in the comments below.

Back in a bit to break do... [More]

Posted Wednesday, May 13, 2009 08:45 PM

NBA officials for Lakers-Rockets Game 6

An unnamed source has informed that Mark Wunderlich will be on the floor as part of the officiating crew for Thursday's Game 6 between the Lakers and Rockets.
Most will remember - especially Mavs and under bettors - Wunderlich was the official who made the non-call on Antoine Wright six seconds before Carmelo Anthony made the game-winning 3-pointer for the Denver Nuggets in Game 3 against the Dallas Mavs.
The NBA issued an apology just hours after the game saying Wunderlich should have made the foul call on Wright, which would have given Denver the ball out of bounds. Instead, Melo hit the shot and you know how the rest goes. has the Rockets listed as 8-point dogs and the total is set at 197 for Game 6,
You might want to wager at your own risk on this one. But we're probably also safe to infer that Wunderlich isn't going to pull up on his whistle on any 50-50 calls so we can expect a decent number of free throws in this one.

Posted Tuesday, May 05, 2009 03:35 PM

Random betting observations

Ronaldo scored. Disgusting. And I’m even on Manchester United.


There are few douches in sport that are so big they make you slightly regret betting on them for a winning wager and Ranaldo is one of them.  But I couldn’t resist Man U at -135 ( on the moneyline over Arsenal in the second leg of their Champions League semifinal.


The game is far from over, but I can’t see worse than a Man U draw here.


A few other recent random observations…


Rafa-Djoker rivalry


You probably didn’t notice, but there is a great new rivalry in tennis. Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic have met in the finals the last two weeks (Monte Carlo and then Rome) and the tennis has been incredible.


Rafa won out in both, but the two produced some of the best rallies I’ve ever seen in pro te... [More]

Posted Tuesday, April 21, 2009 11:01 AM

Is New Yankee Stadium the new Wrigley Field?

It’s a little early to say for certain, but 20 home runs through the first four games suggest bettors need to be paying as close attention to the wind for Yankee games as we do for Cubs games.   Over bettors cashed in on three of those four games and oddsmakers have steadily bumped the total in New York from 8 runs for the home opener last Thursday to 10.5 runs for the past two games (odds from   Several books also delayed Tuesday’s line – an occurrence we see daily for outings at Wrigley Field – but that could also have something to do with the fact that Monday’s game was rained out.   Engineers apparently did a wind study before the $1.5 billion stadium was built but a team official said the club is going to do another one according to this column.   The piece went on to say that “games will be affected only during times when the winds are from a westerly direction above 10 mph, which they (meteorologists) say occur typically in spring and fall.”   Whatever the case, you should definitely take a read through this piece before wagering on any more games at Yankee Stadium. There could be an angle here that might not last long.   We'll work on getting a story for you in the coming days to fill you in on how oddsmakers are adjusting.   Cheers  ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, April 14, 2009 02:28 PM

Western Conference preview and picks

For those of us who live in winter climates, there are few things sweeter than sitting in shorts on the back deck, sun beating down, ice cold brewsky in hand while listening to, or watching, the NHL playoffs.


Shorts are still on the horizon for me, but the postseason is here at least. Let’s get into the picks for the first round of the Western Conference.


All odds are from


Duck vs. Shark (+252, -272)


Many are calling for the Quackers to upend the Sharks after winning 11 of their last 15 games. But let’s not forget they needed every one of those wins to squeak into the playoffs and now they face a San Jose squad that happens to be pretty good.


The fact is, I can’t find an area that Anaheim is better than San Jose. Special teams and goaltending are where I see the biggest gaps too, which isn’t exactly a recipe for playoff success. San Jose ranks second on the PP ... [More]

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