Jon_Campbell's Blog

I spot value in the Frozen Four

By Jon_Campbell | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, April 09, 2009 09:13 AM   5 comments

Ever wonder who’s tougher – football players or hockey players? If so, here’s a good story from the Frozen Four that provides key evidence in support of the hockey player.

It involves a spleen and a close call with death. You’ll love it.

 I’m bringing this gory tale to your attention because the Frozen Four goes today in Washington, D.C. where Boston University faces Vermont in one national semifinal and Cinderella story Bemidji State takes on Miami (Ohio) in the other.

This is a great event to bet because, like Polish soccer or Croatian volleyball, oddsmakers aren’t exactly keeping a hawk eye on college pucks. Plus, it’s great hockey to watch with tons of speed and intensity if you like that sort of thing.

Pinnacle opened Miami -230 against the Beav and BU is set at -240 over Vermont. Both totals were set at 5 ½ goals and I like the under in both.

Here’s who I’m taking, based on what I saw two weekends ago while watching some of the regionals: Bemidji on the puckline +1 ½ (-142) and also a small moneyline wager. I like BU to win the tourney but I won’t be shocked if Vermont takes it to OT.

Bemidji is an underrated squad because of its size, seeding and the fact many believe they only have one line. While it’s true one line does most of the scoring, it’s not really fair to say they only have one line.

This team can motor and the Beavers smother you all night with a relentless forecheck. The Beavs are getting great goaltending at the right time from Matt Dalton too and I can see them sneaking by a bigger, but slower Miami squad.

In the other game, BU is just the best team in the tourney across the board. The Terriers also probably have the best goaltender in D.C. in Kieran Millan. He’s a frosh but he’s 27-2-3 and has a 1.85 goals against average. Not too shabby.

Both games are on the Deuce on national TV and should be a great way to start the Easter weekend, even if you’re only watching on commercials during the Masters.

5 comments
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Jon_Campbell says:
04/09/09 09:52AM
Good info msu. I didn't realize they'd played twice this season.

I wasn't watching then, but I'm guessing BU has become more defensive for playoff time. They played really tight defensively all over the ice their last few games. I'm not sure I'd give the other meetings as much weight as recent play but I could be wrong.

Good luck.

cdabbs says:
04/09/09 11:22AM
Come on now... Only someone from Canada would make a statement like that. A hockey player is touger than a football player? Hockey is a very physical sport, but I just don't see how you can compare it to the brutality of football. No offense, I just don't see it.
ahardiman says:
04/09/09 03:54PM
While football players are tough as nails, last time I checked, ray lewis didn't skate around at 30 MPH with a veritable weapon in his hands...with the opportunity to slam the opposing QB into a solid wall.

For my two cents, I think Australian Rules Football players might take the cake.

cdabbs says:
04/09/09 10:09PM
Can't disagree on that one. Those boys are just plain nuts.
johnbs says:
07/31/09 08:24PM
Why don't you add college hockey to these league champions streak survivor contests plus Ultimate race and Office pools
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