Jose_Reyes's Blog

Posted Wednesday, July 01, 2015 12:05 PM

Wednesday Plays

YTD: 39-56  -11.00 units


1-1 last night.  2 afternoon games.....


Colorado +150
Seattle -110


Like Bettis.  Biggest price yet for Hahn.  Think this game is closer to coin flip.  Walker on a nice run, Shields not so much.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Monday, June 29, 2015 02:18 PM

Monday Plays

YTD: 37-54  -11.10 units


0-1 yesterday.  2 plays.....


Boston +110
Kansas City +120


Never really know what to expect from Dickey.  Buccholz has been pretty good, and the Sox doing more damage against RHP of late.  Like McCullers, but he's struggled with control in his last 3 starts.  KC is the toughest team to whiff, and could give him fits.  Just need Blanton to go 5 or 6, and turn it over to the pen.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Sunday, June 28, 2015 10:38 AM

Sunday Plays

YTD: 37-53  -10.10 units


1-0 last night.  2 teamer.....


Washington (Strasburg) / Tampa Bay (Archer)  +130


Stras looked like his old self last time out.  Rays on a nice run with Archer.  Sox are banged up.  Chalky and not very creative play, but I think they are the right sides.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Saturday, June 27, 2015 06:36 PM

Saturday Plays

YTD: 36-53  -11.60 units


1-2 last night.  2 teamer......


LAA / St. Louis  +150


Like the home teams, but don't wanna lay runs or odds.  Cards just know how to win.  Cubs still learning.  Richards better at home, Happ worse OTR.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Friday, June 26, 2015 02:00 PM

Friday Plays

YTD: 35-51  -10.90 units


1-3 last time out.  3 plays.....


Philadelphia +180
Minnesota +110
Colorado +130


Fading Scherzer off the no-no and consecutive CG shutouts.  Admittedly that's all I got.  He's in uncharted territory, and I feel like gambling.  Fading Lohse at Miller Park.  His surface stats don't show it, but Trevor May has been nice OTR.  I'll grab him as a dog here.  Bettis is under the radar, while Hudson is likely headed to the DL after this start.  I'll play against him as chalk.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Wednesday, June 24, 2015 10:38 AM

Wednesday Plays

YTD: 34-48  -9.60 units


1-1 last night.  4 plays....


Detroit +150
Philadelphia +110
Houston +100
Cincinnati +170


Gambling with Farmer.  Tigers own the Tribe so far, and have hit Carrasco in the past.  Phillies are hitting the shitt outta the ball of late, and Nova making first start off DL.  Like McCullers.  Shoemaker been hurt by the long ball.  Looks like a strong line on Cole, but still going the other way.  Think this game is closer to coin flip.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Tuesday, June 23, 2015 01:31 PM

Tuesday Plays

YTD: 33-47  -9.50 units


1-1 last night.  2 plays......


CHC +110
Arizona -120


Played these this morning.  No time for writeups, I'm out the door.  Hustling this afternoon.  Lean to Boston as well.  Fenway is a house of horrors for Ubaldo.  Might grab it closer to first pitch if the line and time permits.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Monday, June 22, 2015 01:12 PM

Monday Plays

YTD: 32-46  -9.80 units


0-2 yesterday.  2 plays.....


Detroit +130
Tampa Bay +110



Playing against Bauer and the Tribe at home.  Cleveland isn't scoring runs, and own the leagues worst home record.  Detroit's bats woke up yesterday in NY, and have hit Bauer in the past.  Fading the Jays and Hutch OTR.  Hutch only has two road starts that weren't disasters, and his team is 14-20 outside of Rogers Centre.  Andriese has good control and a ground ball tilt.  I'll take the home team at + EV.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Sunday, June 21, 2015 12:42 PM

Sunday Plays

YTD: 32-44  -7.80 units


2-0 yesterday.  2 plays.....


Tampa Bay +100
San Francisco +150


Like Colome, and think he's better than his surface stats suggest.  The Rays already beat Carrasco and Kluber, and now face off against a rookie.  Perhaps I'm the sucker here, but I'm gambling with Timmy.  The Giants own the Dodgers of late.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Saturday, June 20, 2015 03:56 PM

Saturday Plays

YTD: 30-44  -10.20 units


1-1 last night.  2 plays.....


Colorado -1.5  +140
Kansas City -130


Fading Lohse and his flyball tilt at Coors.  Bettis does a good job keeping the ball on the ground, and has the better lineup.  Played the Sox last night, but going the other way here.  Like Volquez and the pen behind him.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Friday, June 19, 2015 06:41 PM

Friday Plays

YTD: 29-43  -10.20 units


Been awhile.  Was without a book, but think I'm good to go for now.  2 plays......


CHC -110
Boston +110


In a hurry, no time for writeups.  Back later.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL



Posted Friday, June 05, 2015 09:58 PM

Strategy Advice

Complete amateur horse bettor here.  Been playing the TC and BC for 6 or 7 years now.  Only 4 horse races on bet on every year.  Really don't know much, but bet on everything else.  My partner and I usually get 10-15 people to throw $40 each in a pot, and he and I make the picks.

For this race we have a $440 roll.  This is how we have our bets spread out.  We don't bet on horses to win a little.  Any and all advice is welcome.  I've never really picked the brain of a horse bettor before regarding our strategy.  It's just what my partner and I came up with.....


$80 on a horse to win
Two $30 exactas
Twenty $10 trifectas
Twenty $5 superfectas


We pick one horse at 10-1 or better to win.  At the very least, we have to make wagers that win all of us our money back.  We tailor our strategy according to race, and this is what we got for tomorrow......






Posted Thursday, May 21, 2015 10:09 PM

Dickey Betts vs Warren Haynes

Can't make an argument for either.  Love both of them.  The on stage tension in undeniable.  Sucks that they both kill it.  The young bucks hate Warren Haynes.  The old timers stick to DB.  I like both equal.  Allmans are one of my favorite bands and seen them a bunch.  Seen DB solo, and WH with everyone and the Mule.  Who you guys got?





Posted Saturday, May 16, 2015 11:48 AM

Saturday Plays

YTD: 29-40  -7.10 units


1-2 last night.  3 plays.......


Arizona -110
Milwaukee +130
San Diego +130


Like Bradley, Williams not so much.  I'll keep fading the Mets at these prices.  They still can't hit.  Gambling with Cashner at home.  Busy day, hustling till post time at Preakness.  See how we do.  Back later.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL


          





Posted Friday, May 15, 2015 11:49 AM

Friday Plays

YTD: 28-38  -6.40 units


1-1 last night.  3 plays.......


Arizona -1.5  +140
Baltimore -1.5  +160
Milwaukee +130



Like Anderson.  Billingsley isn't fooloing anyone.  Fading Weaver OTR in a hitter's park.  Chen money at home.  Mets don't hit much.  Think Lohse competes.  Grabbed these this morning.  Might have an add later.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Thursday, May 14, 2015 11:56 AM

Thursday Plays

YTD: 27-37  -6.40 units


2-0 last night.  1 afternoon play......


Minnesota +150


Pelfrey has been better than expected, and the Twins playing well right now.  Sanchez's peripherals trending in the wrong direction.  Only dog that stuck out right away on a short, get away card.  I'll grab Minny at a nice price for some work day action.  Leaning to SD and Houston late, but waiting to see if I can get better numbers.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Wednesday, May 13, 2015 07:00 PM

Wednesday Plays

YTD: 25-37  -8.60 units


0-2 last night.  I suck right now.  2 plays.......


CWS +110
San Diego +110


Milwaukee struggles with LHP.  Quintana better than his surface stats indicate.  Coming back with the Padres again tonight.  Pretty much fading the line movement.  Sh!t if I know.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Tuesday, May 12, 2015 02:41 PM

Tuesday Plays

YTD: 25-35  -6.60 units


0-1 last night.  2 plays.......


Atlanta +130
San Diego +130



Second day back from road trip for Cincy, and off a grind game loss last night.  Think Folty vs Desclafani is closer to coin flip than this price suggests.  I've been on the Paxton bandwagon since the beginning of last season, but SD hits LHP well.  Kennedy rounding into form after rough start to his season, and throwing in a pitchers park.  Lean to KC on the RL as Nick Martinez is high on my fade list.  Might add, might not.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Monday, May 11, 2015 02:48 PM

Monday Plays

YTD: 25-34  -5.60 units


2-1 yesterday.  One play........


NYM +130


Grabbing the better pitcher at +EV.  DeGrom works low in the zone, and generates whiffs.  The Cubs strike out more than most.  I'll gamble against Lester.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Sunday, May 10, 2015 12:33 PM

Sunday Plays

YTD: 23-33  -6.90 units


1-0 yesterday.  2 plays.......


NYM -1.5  +120
Cincinnati +110


Fading Billingsley and Danks.  See how we do.  Busy day, I'm out.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Saturday, May 09, 2015 01:03 PM

Saturday Plays

YTD: 22-33  -8.00 units


1-1 last night.  Dodgers RL was graded as no action, so I actually turned a profit yesterday.  1 afternoon play......


Baltimore +110


I'll grab Chen as a short pooch for some afternoon degenerate action while I'm at the office.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Friday, May 08, 2015 03:40 PM

Friday Plays

YTD: 21-32  -8.50 units


0-3 last night.  2 plays......


LAD -1.5  +110
Houston +110


Rox on a losing streak, and have only covered the RL twice in last ten.  Splits favor the Dodgers.  Anderson is a ground ball pitcher, and is familiar with Coors.  Jered Weaver fade.  See how we do.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Thursday, May 07, 2015 10:56 AM

Thursday Plays

YTD: 21-29  -5.50 units


2-0 last night.  1 afternoon play......


CHC +110


Writeup: Arrieta.  Grabbed it  early this morning.  Perhaps I should have waited, but was content with +110.  Have a few leans, but waiting on lines.  See what happens.  Thanks to the guys who stopped by yesterday.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL





Posted Tuesday, May 05, 2015 09:38 AM

Tuesday Plays

YTD: 19-27  -6.00 units


0-2 last night.  2 plays.......


Baltimore +110
Tampa Bay +110


Mets can't score.  Still like Norris, despite the rough start.  Like Smyly.  Sox struggle with LHP, and Hanley probably out tonight.  Considering the O's RL, but book hasn't released it yet.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




Posted Monday, May 04, 2015 05:09 PM

Monday Plays

YTD: 19-25  -4.00 units


1-2 last time out.  Too busy for betting this weekend.  2 plays tonight......


Miami +150
San Diego +130


Phelps has been nice since joining the rotation.  Think this matchup is closer to a coin flip.  Fish quietly playing good baseball.  Padres crush LHP, while SF is pedestrian against RHP.  I'll grab Ross and the better team at +EV.  See what happens.  Insight and comments always welcome.  BOL




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