Josh_Nagel's Blog

Damn, that hurts!

By Josh_Nagel | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, December 01, 2011 01:32 AM   16 comments
There are some things you never quite get used to in life. The sting of a bad beat is one of them.

Sure, the manner in which you react to them improves. I used to lose sleep and lick my wounds for a couple of days, and maybe even second-guess myself before firing that next bet.
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Those days are over, as a quicker recovery time is something that comes with experience, and the knowledge of knowing if you are around long enough, you’re going to do your share of suffering.

But there’s still nothing quite like that uppercut-to-the-gut sensation when the gambling gods seemingly giveth, then brutally taketh away.

I’ve long ago learned to take nothing for granted. I don’t start counting the cash before the final buzzer, nor do I toss my ticket in the paper shredder at halftime if my team is getting hammered.

Some of my friends are either more optimistic or just plain naïve. I have a few who will text me as they sweat a game on my behalf. I’ve got one buddy who will text me, “Nice call … cha-ching!” when my 7-point football favorite is up 10 with a minute left and the other team is driving.

The support is nice and all, but I’ll always reply with, “Thanks, but wait … not over yet,” or “I’m holding out to celebrate till the clock hits zero.”

So, despite my vast experience with near-miss heartache and a steely façade that fends off the damage, I still find myself wondering how Duke covered 6 against Kansas last week to kill my first big college basketball bet of the season.

I tried to rationalize it by telling myself, “That’s why I never fade Duke,” but it’s hardly comforting.

My simplified analysis was that I thought Kansas might have slightly better overall talent and, at the very least, the Jayhawks appeared to be a little further along than Duke.

So it was with much delight last Wednesday night, as I dined in a deli near the sportsbook, and watched the spread grow from Duke -4.5 to 6 in less than an hour. I could literally see the public bettors hammering Duke, and I concluded Kansas was a near-automatic take at +6 in what should have been a pick’em as far as I was concerned.

Now that it’s been a week, the game is something of a blur. I felt like I had the right side the whole way, though I admittedly lamented Kansas’ inability to pull away with it when they had several opportunities to do so.

Although I still didn’t celebrate early, I’ll concede I was feeling pretty good with Kansas up one with 1 minute left. Still wasn’t too worried when Duke was up one with 30 seconds left. Heck, at that point, I know I can still fade two Kansas misses combined with a pair of made free throws.

How Duke won by 7 and took my cash by one point is still beyond me. The initial impact has faded, but this one came with a delayed onset. At first, I just sort of shrugged and tossed the ticket on my coffee table.

Then, I got that feeling you had when your buddy gave you a Charley Horse in the 8th grade

“Damn, that sort of hurts.”

You try to disguise the pain, then realize your thigh is turning black and blue.

“Damn, that really hurts!”

Then, it gets to where you can no longer hide your anguish, when you attempt to stand and realize you can’t walk.

“Damn, THAT REALLY F&%^$#@ HURTS!”

At which point, you have no other choice than to admit you are in pain.

I tried to sleep this one off, but it lingered a little longer than most. The good news is, I got out of bed in time on Thanksgiving morning to book another loser on the Detroit Lions +7 against the Green Bay Packers.

I considered this progress in some sort of backward way. At least the pain of a no-doubt loser doesn’t last quite as long as the torture of a bad beat.     
16 comments
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Action_Junkee says:
12/01/11 01:52AM
well written. I think we all can relate to your post. It is my opinion that those ones we lose make the winners feel that much better. 
ATLGettinPaper says:
12/01/11 01:59AM
I mentally prepare myself for a loss before it happens.  It's like a built in thing in my head I do from years of gambling.  If you don't prepare yourself for a bad beat, you won't last in this gambling world we par take in.

The 1 thing that stings the most though is when you go big on a bet like you did and you lose it on a bad beat.  That right there takes some time to get over.  Because you wouldn't go big on a bet if you didn't feel so strongly about it.  And for it to play out just like you thought, to only have it taken away in the final few minutes or seconds by the gambling gods just seems unfair.
Sidehatch says:
12/01/11 02:05AM

If you had a closer relationship with Jesus and did the sign of the cross every time you won, then you would never lose these types of bets. That's why Tim Tebow wins all the time. Duh.

CoverLane says:
12/01/11 02:20AM
Great post.

If anyone caps games then they have been in your shoes.

It gets to the point where you can't even watch the games unfold because you know the most absolutely ridiculous plays are going to occur. There's nothing worse than having your bet be killed by some last second three from beyond half court by a player who couldn't hit that shot again if he were to be awarded $1,000,000.

The only plausible way to avoid half court mooses is to bet on Women's basketball. 

Tonight, I folded and made the biggest sin of gambling. Do not chase. I have chased before and found myself with $0 in my bank. I played a 11.5 point favorite only to watch their starting QB get injured in the 1st quarter. Their replacement's biceps were bigger than the football and if he spent half as much time practicing throws as he did taking HGH and doing curls, maybe I would have won that bet. In the end, the 11.5 underdogs won SU and if I had wagered my $2000 on them moneyline, I would have won a cool $16,000.

I learned my lesson the hard way.

 After going 1-7 tonight and being down $220, I found myself watching the Notre Dame vs. Gonzaga game. The Fighting Irish seemed to be missing the Fight. Gonzaga was overpowering them on every possession and at the 12 minute break, I placed a live wager on Gonzaga -15.5. This wager would win me back all the money I had lost tonight, and another $40.

I felt absolutely sick to my stomach as I clicked "Confirm Bets".
Gonzaga ended up stretching the lead out but then Notre Dame went on a smooth run to close the half only down 13. At this point, I left the house and PVR'd the game.
I came home a little over an hour and sat down to watch the game. Rather than watching, I used the skip forward button to basically breeze through the game and see what was going on score wise. 
My PVR only recorded up until about 8 minutes left in the 4th quarter so I was left unaware of what the outcome of this game was. I switched to "Live TV" and they were showing college scores on the ticker. It flipped changed to the score in the Gonzaga game which somehow was 51-71 in Gonzaga's favor.

I truly believe some kind of God was looking down on me today. I have placed one too many bets of this kind, and lost every one of them.

I've built up quite the wall against the pain of losing, but tonight I was hurting. When I saw that score, the hurting left.

Good luck in your future bets.
 
tomseaver286 says:
12/01/11 02:29AM

I've had these stretches over the last 20 years. Best advice I can give; take a day or two off and just watch some games without any wagers. It amazes me how a few days off can clear your gut. BOL 
LONG-TU says:
12/01/11 02:47AM
About that duke game ending, Bro I can give you a hug   Fuk Iam still steaming
CoverLane says:
12/01/11 03:14AM

Thanks man
Tomorrow may be that day. Might cap the NFL game and roll from there.

 

rangershomer says:
12/01/11 05:37AM
The worst is when you watch obvious manipulation going on, like TX slapping rebound after rebound to RI at the end of that game to insure the .
texexnv says:
12/01/11 11:24AM
Edison "invented" 1100 light bulbs that didn't work. Ford went bankrupt three times. Einstein couldn't get a job for a year after graduation. Darwin didn't publish for 25 years. And so on.

In other words, you can't become a winner until you become a loser. And you have to lose many, many times before you hit.

I know because I hit a 10-team, $100 bet last weekend for $80,000. It CAN be done but it takes years and years to learn how just the same as it did for the M.I.T team to figure out card counting. And it takes LOTs and lots of discipline which most bettors simply don'y have so the House always wins. Well...not ALWAYS......

Josh_Nagel says:
12/01/11 11:32AM
Thanks for weighing in, guys. Solid. Sidehatch, I think you're on to something -- it's about time I accepted Him into my life and my gambling fortunes. Thanks CoverLane, Long-tu, Seaver ... everyone.

CoverLane, funny what you said about a half-court shot for $1 million. Coincidentally, a couple of the worst bad beats I've ever taken, including last week's, came when I was fading Duke. One story I still tell to this day was the the 2004 Final Four in which Chris Duhon nailed a half-courter at the buzzer to allow duke to cover +1.5 against UConn. I can still see that shot grazing the ceiling of the gym, smacking the top of the backboard and crashing through the net like it was yesterday.

Good luck to you all.

jackdfan says:
12/01/11 02:00PM
To me, one of the "problems" of gambling is do you HAVE to watch every game you have money on? I've learned that I'd rather go golf than be stuck to the tube. If I'm at my local bar, the bartenders will ask me if I want a game on (four tvs, so everybody is happy). I bet the horses, too. And I don't have to be on TVG to watch the race. I can check the results on my smart phone later. With a Duke/Kansas game, you'd probably have to watch because you know you'll be seeing these teams in March. But, if it's URI vs. Virg. Common........................................feh
Lemsnephew says:
12/01/11 02:40PM
Good point Jackdfan. One thing that drives me nuts is having the under in a college hoops game, and the team that's 4 possesions down w less than a minute to go keeps insta-fouling right down to the last second,putting the game over the number with all meaningless points.
crocnzeeba says:
12/01/11 09:58PM
Maryland +13 last weekend was my worst football beat ever. Even after squandering a 27 point lead, the Terps still would've covered if not for the Pick 6 with 30 seconds to play. I'm a fatalist, and I don't count my chickens before they've hatched, but that loss was like a sucker punch to the gut.
golfkat says:
12/01/11 10:20PM
I have been betting sports for fifty years now. I took a bad beat in baseball that I

still have not gotten over. I just have no desire to put myself in that position again.

texexnv says:
12/02/11 01:08PM
I never bet on just anything just to be in the 'action'. If you just have to be in some kind of action, then try doing Fantasy sports which I do just as an exercise for the real thing.

I "specialize" and only then on college games and ONLY in the last half of the season when the teams have matured somewhat. And then I ALWAYS go for the long action on a 10 or 12 gamer because what's the point of betting nickels and dimes? E.G. I have $422,000 working on just $250 for this weekend and there will be more before sunset.

ljs says:
01/10/12 08:07PM
I remember when I bet the second half of the LSU/Miss game. I took the over in the second half. I thought it was pretty much a lock. Ole Miss couldn't stop LSU at all. So here we are 4th quarter LSU is up real big. the over/under for the second half was 17.(if I remember correctly) LSU has the ball at mid field, all I need is a field goal to win. Next play they take it down to the 2 or three yard line, 5 mins to go. Talk about counting your money before you have it!!! shit I won, no possible way they can stop them. at this time I think the score was like 50 something to 3, it even might of been 60 something....what comes next I never seen before in my life....With alittle ove 5 mins to go, LSU takes FOUR consecutive knees and gives the ball up!!!I sat there and remained in awe....I can't believe what I just saw, I felt like I was just sucker punched in the stomach...

After that I realize anything,I mean Anything can happen in sports....

At that time I really believed les miles had the under for the second half!!! lol

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