Josh_Nagel's Blog

Live TV and live bets for the WSOP

By Josh_Nagel | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, November 06, 2011 11:23 AM   3 comments
For the first time, the World Series of Poker Main Event final table will be televised live. Nevada viewers who are so inclined can have incentive to tune in to the broadcasts by wagering on the action.

After receiving a fairly positive reception to the debut of live poker over the summer, ESPN decided to air the final table, in which the “November Nine” compete for the Main Event title, on just a 15-minute delay to TV audiences. The broadcasts start at about 12:30 Pacific on Sunday. 

Nevada sportsbooks took advantage of the recent ease in regulations for nontraditional wagers, and most of them offer some sort of action on the WSOP final table.

Most books are simply sticking with futures on players to win, which is fine, but the poker junkie in me craves more action. These bets came courtesy of Lucky’s Race & Sports Book, which offers a whole sheet of props akin to a playoff football game or March Madness.

I don’t know what the offshore books are offering or which other books in Nevada have similar props but in the northern part of the state where I live, Lucky’s has by far the most options. They have books in Reno and Las Vegas.

In the interest of generating a little buzz about the bet-and-watch option for gamblers, I wrote up a preview piece for the Reno Gazette-Journal.

In handicapping the field, I suggest taking a look at the four 26-year-olds, all of whom appear capable of winning the title and fit the blueprint of recent champions. Props worth considering include total number of hands dealt (my bet is over 301) and first player to bust.

Check out the link below if you are interested in my preview:

http://www.rgj.com/article/20111104/SPORTS08/111040427

The field will play down to the final three on Sunday, and the remaining players will battle for the title Tuesday night on ESPN. I’ve talked to Lucky’s about offering a price on the remaining two or three players, and it looks like this is going to happen.

If so, keep an eye out for this blog or on the main Covers site for a preview of the heads-up match. Good luck if you bet the WSOP.
3 comments
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FoolishTool says:
11/07/11 03:08AM
The near live ESPN coverage was great, final 3 players tuesday night at 9 eastern, they'll show every hand until a winner!!!
SashimiKid says:
11/07/11 06:47PM
Thoroughly enjoyed the live action yesterday!! Total number of hands prop is tough how did you handicap over 301 hands
Josh_Nagel says:
11/08/11 01:10PM
Sashimi, Thanks for your comment. I've also enjoyed the action so far. We're at 180 total hands with 3 players left, so the over 301 looks to be a bit of a dog now.

But I believe my line of thinking was solid, and that there was some value in it at 10/1. By and large, this is a group of relatively tight-solid players, something of a departure from recent final tables that included many ultra-aggressive players.

Also, since everyone was paid 9th-place money in July, the first-player-out bubble was significant, since 9th place took home no extra money. It took nearly 3 hours for the first player to go. This was a great start but, unfortunately, we then lost 4 more in just an hour or so after that.

I was hoping for at least 200 hands by the end of the night -- meaning two thirds of 300 hands equating with two thirds of the field eliminated. We're a little behind that pace, but I think if Stazsko reaches the final two, we've got an outside shot of getting there. A couple of years ago, the final two players took 90 hands to reach a winner.

Thanks for your interest and enjoy tonight's show.

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