JuniorLeaguer's Blog

Posted Saturday, January 28, 2012 09:43 AM

This plays look too easy

NBA Saturday

Washington -2.0
Houston -6.5
Los Angeles Lakers -4.5
Memphis -3.5

Word!



Posted Monday, March 21, 2011 10:05 AM

2 LOCK PLAYS TODAY

Warming up before starting another prop-full playoff run.

Toronto Raptors +12.5

Memphis Grizzlies -7.5

 

 

 



Posted Monday, March 21, 2011 10:02 AM

NCAAB LOCK OF THE DAY

Flame/bash/whatever me after it's a fail bet.

Wisconsin -4.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Posted Sunday, February 21, 2010 11:05 AM

Cleveland is like something and 0 when dogs...

Cleveland ML

Jamison and MoWill should be able to get a hang on things after a day and a game of play!



Posted Thursday, February 04, 2010 07:33 PM

Solid Play for NBA Thursday

Cleveland has been hot the last 3 games and started strong against opponents. I think they do the same and start off strong against Miami.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers -3.0 1st Quarter

 

As much as I like to jump on the Cavs-9.5 I think the best way to go around this is to wait for the 2nd half line and bet on it. I think we could get a better value come half time.

 



Posted Thursday, May 07, 2009 12:11 PM

Atlanta Hawks Anyone?

The last time I post was when we saw the public got brutally murdered with Philly against a Superman-less, Lee-less Orlando Squad (IMO, they look a lot better with Gortat in the middle, the ball is actually moving a lot smoother). Now, we see a lone Thursday game between the awful road team - Atlanta Hawks - pitted against the King of Hill - Cleveland Cavaliers.

With almost 15-point winning margin at home, 11-point Game 1 line moved two points up making the Hawks a 13-point road dog. Going for their 6th straight ATS win, the Cavs looks like an early (and still) public favorite and it is quite wierd that the line has yet to move in the Hawks' favor. I was waiting for a possible 14 or even 14.5 points but it looks like I'll have to wait waaaay till game time to get my dream line.

No one is expecting the King to give one game to the visiting forces. I believe myself that they are going to win it. And I know it is perfectly normal to have great confidence on the home team to cover an easy 13 point spread because they've been blowing teams out by 15-16 points an average at home. Then again, some where deep within my gambling gut/instinct/whatever tells me that another public burial is about to take place.

No one believes in Cleveland losing SU and even a handful of people would even dare think of thinking that Atlanta covers this one. Such expectation and the way I see the consensus going, It further makes me want to take Atlanta even more. I'm going full rev... [More]

Posted Thursday, April 30, 2009 04:03 AM

Orlando Magic to cover! Who's with me?

Orlando struggles against Philadelphia in this series. I have yet to even see the 76ers bother doubling up the big guy D12. With him and Lee out, I was wondering why is it that they're only given 5 points? C'mon! Hornets were given 10.5 after that horrific loss to Denver with their away spread averaging somewhere near 7.5-8.5 and it went up to 10-12 points.

Here we see almost the whole world on the 76ers. Looks easy for a lot of people. I say, it looks like public is going to get brutally murdered here.


04/28/09 ORL 91 - PHI 78 ORL -8.5 U 188 4.5 33/76 29/68 45-33 04/26/09 PHI 81 - ORL 84 PHI 4.5 U 192 1.5 31/80 33/70 43-37 04/24/09 PHI 96 - ORL 94 PHI 3.5 U 192.5 5.5 37/71 31/73 35-35 04/22/09 ORL 96 - PHI 87 PHI 10.5 U 193 1.5 34/79 35/75 44-37 04/19/09 ORL 98 - PHI 100 PHI 9.5 O 191.5 11.5 37/76 41/80 35-37

Philly is treated fairly at home getting 3.5 and 4.5 in 3rd and 4th game. Now with the Defensive Player of the Year out plus that ever reliable Lee, who can spread the floor on the offense and play hard defense, out it looks like they're being disrespected getting only 5. Don't ask me if what should be the number to make it fair or whatever. I'm saying it's just so wierd.

Orlando+5 or better for me.


... [More]

Posted Friday, April 03, 2009 03:06 AM

Won't go wrong with all these Friday Home Boys!!

Screw having two or three plays a day. Take these home suckers!!

Friday Home Boys
Charlotte Bobcats -4

Indiana Pacers +4

Boston Celtics -6

Oklahoma City +5

Orlando Magic-3

Golden State Warriors +3

Los Angeles Lakers -5



Monster Road Dogs:
Minnesota Timberpups +12.5

Sacto Queentown +13





...Gotta Believe it...



Posted Wednesday, April 01, 2009 09:53 PM

Late Actions for Degenerates!

Phoenix -1.5
Golden States -8.5





Gotta love these faves in the late game. Looks like most dogs will cover tonight's contest. I'm quite confident these two games sticks out and give it to them faves!


Posted Wednesday, April 01, 2009 03:46 AM

JR's back and winning!

Los Angeles Lakers -6.5

This is going to be ugly for the bucks. Lakers has never lost 3 in a row. They'd usually win by 9 points or more after losing 2 games SU.


Take it to the bank. Gotta love the Lake Show in Milwaukee!





Posted Thursday, December 11, 2008 05:19 AM

The Props Addict is back with SoReal Plays

Can't find good prop bets so for the mean time I'll go crazy with sides and total bets.

Boston Celtics -9.5 and OVER 197
Washington playing really well against Boston and they are favored this much? Wizards has been made an average of 6.74-point dog and has covered and won 3 of 4 games last season. I don't think the spread matters here. I see it that if Boston wins, they cover and if they lose, they lose by a lot. Boston bench finally looks alive and they've been making them take the shots and has a lot more involvement with the ball. There isn't only the Big Three in Boston. I see this game going all over with Pierce finally waking up from that slump he's having.

Dallas Mavericks -11.5 and OVER 192
It would take some divine intervention for Charlotte to even win this game. I'd take this even if it goes up to 13 points. Dallas runs away with an easy win here. Gerald Wallace is out and I don't think Bell and Diaw will suit up for Larry tonight. Dirk goes on his rampage to 30 points and the Jet pretty much cancelling out DJ Augustin's possible 25+ points production. Who the hell will score for Charlotte tomorrow? Beats me. I see this as a blow out en route to an over 192 points.

Utah Jazz -3 and OVER 192.5
Are you kidding me? This one's a gift. The last time Portland play here is they almost got the cover but the mobs had their way and F*ed up all the Blazers backers with less than 30 seconds to play. In no crazy way this game goes under 190 points... [More]

Posted Sunday, November 09, 2008 09:13 AM

[ Comeback Kids ]

Alrightie kiddos! JR is back! LOL. Can't wait for the playoffs to go crazy with those prop bets again. Anyway, I'm back to capping games! Hopefully we'll take the man's money and we'll leave him with nothing! Most of my plays are them faves so better be careful!

Utah-4
Utah/New York Knicks UNDER 207.5
This Utah team won't stop at nothing. Look at them play without D-Will at the helm. The Knicks looks like a real team now with D'Antoni at the helm. Fully utilizing what they do best, they prove that they can really win games but that'd be at full stop for this game as Utah is a good defensive team. Look for the Utah Bigs to take advantage of the Knicks' front court. The home team usually wins in their last 5 meetings and the Knicks covering the last 7 games (between the two teams). This should be a different story now. Utah to cover and win! This game is also won't go pass 207 as the total is a gift.


Dallas-4
No crap line here. I don't even sense this Dallas team taking it easy here as they'll be facing the Lakers back home in the 11th of November. The last time the Clippers won against Dallas is way back 11/08/06. Dallas has been playing crap basketball. Even in their wins (against San Antonio and Minnesota), I wouldn't count that as good basketball. LA Clippers is no different. Even with Camby and Davis in it. They are still the other LA team. Josh Howard should wake up in this game and Dirk's mind should be back in competing mode. No worries with ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, October 28, 2008 04:08 AM

JR's NBA Tuesday

Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls (-6, 194)

I can not find any better value on the board than this game. I see a lot of potential in this game's total than the spread. 194 seem to be too low good of a number for this two teams who give little value to the term Defense and would love to get the scoreboard lit up.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not sold to playing the Over for totals yet. The number seem to be too easy to go over. Anyone could see how easy it would and that should tell you something on slowing down and having a second look.

Skiles is calling the shots over in Milwaukee ever since he was picked up in April. Mo Williams, D.Mason, Yi Jianlian and B.Simmons are now replaced by forward Richard Jefferson, Luke Ridnour and draft picks Joe Alexander and Luc Richard Mbah a Moute.

The Bulls on the other hand will be getting much help from Chicago native Derrick Rose, who will add the much needed more fire power to the Bull's offensive game.

Both teams here defends poorly and would opt to scoring in bunch instead. The Over went a flawless 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and hitting 4-1 in their last 5 meetings. The more I look at the Pre-Season results the more I would think that this one is easily going over.

I don't know if I'm doing it right but whenever I get this easy feeling of pressing that submit button to make a pick I'd usually turn to another page and try to cap other games. I'm trying to fade my over confidence and p... [More]

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User: JuniorLeaguer
Joined: May 2008
Location: New Zealand
Team: Minnesota Vikings
Occupation: Other

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