The last time I post was when we saw the public got brutally murdered with Philly against a Superman-less, Lee-less Orlando Squad (IMO, they look a lot better with Gortat in the middle, the ball is actually moving a lot smoother). Now, we see a lone Thursday game between the awful road team - Atlanta Hawks - pitted against the King of Hill - Cleveland Cavaliers.
With almost 15-point winning margin at home, 11-point Game 1 line moved two points up making the Hawks a 13-point road dog. Going for their 6th straight ATS win, the Cavs looks like an early (and still) public favorite and it is quite wierd that the line has yet to move in the Hawks' favor. I was waiting for a possible 14 or even 14.5 points but it looks like I'll have to wait waaaay till game time to get my dream line.
No one is expecting the King to give one game to the visiting forces. I believe myself that they are going to win it. And I know it is perfectly normal to have great confidence on the home team to cover an easy 13 point spread because they've been blowing teams out by 15-16 points an average at home. Then again, some where deep within my gambling gut/instinct/whatever tells me that another public burial is about to take place.
No one believes in Cleveland losing SU and even a handful of people would even dare think of thinking that Atlanta covers this one. Such expectation and the way I see the consensus going, It further makes me want to take Atlanta even more. I'm going full reverse on what reality and perception would tell me to and get on that handful of people on the Atlanta bandwagon in Game 2.
Atlanta Hawks +13 or better!