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Explain why you would be in a hurry to lay -160 on a team that's lost 5 in a row

By KingScorpio | View all Posts
Posted Monday, January 25, 2010 12:47 PM   70 comments
70 comments
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LuckyGuy says:
01/25/10 12:48PM
Hey KS

Well, I couldn't lay the juice myself but ended up taking Flames -0.5 +104
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 12:49PM
Make that 6 games in a row lost
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 12:50PM

Why ???? and what makes you think it won't go to OT

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 12:51PM

in a nutsheel..... I have faith in them tonight

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 12:54PM

Because they're playing STL or because the line isn't -220 ????

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 12:54PM

and why are wondering???

 

OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 12:58PM

"Explain why you would be in a hurry to lay -160 on a team that's lost 5 in a row"

Hi! ()

 ... +147 and Climbing need more people on Calgary tonight

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 12:58PM

1-  that line isnt 220 so I'm happy...

2- Stl choked hard last game out...kinda hard to forget that

3-just becasue the Blues have opne of the top 5 road records doesnt scare me at all

4-Calgary brings the JAM tonight

5-You cant expect the Fklames to a have a less than spirited effort tonight.

6-Flames have a lot more than pride on the line tonight

 

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 12:59PM

Because 70% of covers is betting on the Flames and want to know what makes them so sure that it's a winner.

LuckyGuy says:
01/25/10 12:59PM


I think St.Louis will be negatively impacted by the late game collapse the other night vs Anaheim.  Calgary put up a good effort vs the Hawks their last game and Kipper has been playing well.  Just going with my gut here bro.  The OT part you mentioned can be the x-factor but for my sakes I hope not


omard07 says:
01/25/10 01:05PM
King, don't you love the Sabres ML +120, tonight? I capped a 4-2 Sabres win...
OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 01:06PM

"Calgary brings the JAM tonight"

 Like they did against Chicago and SJ ?

You cant expect the Fklames to a have a less than spirited effort tonight.

Like they did in thier last 6 games?

Flames have a lot more than pride on the line tonight

More so than against 2 Stanley Cup contenders?

Johnny, you make me

GL

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 01:07PM

Yes and the under

OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 01:11PM
King you laying off the CGY/STL game or are you taking the dog?
LuckyGuy says:
01/25/10 01:11PM



gbear says:
01/25/10 01:14PM

They ARE going to OT

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 01:16PM

Was thinking about betting the under 5 for money,but now i'm more confused with the love for CAL and want to know what i'm missing.

OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 01:24PM

I'm on STL (Reg) LOCKED IN

FWIW, last time on Dec 11/09 , STL allowed EDM to score 4 unanswered goals in the 3rd Period to erase a 3-lead then beat Calgary 4-3 at home 4 days later. I know this games in Calgary but they've played the Flames real tough so far this season

GL whichever way you go

Kirkpicard says:
01/25/10 01:25PM

Not in hurry in fact trying not to take them, but that is very hard to do considering the circumstances...

1. St Lou melt down against Anaheim !

2. Kipper and the defensive preformance against a good Offensive Chicago team was impressive !

3. Have been resting and preparing for this game since the 21st.

So far no play but I am itching to take them, I think they will win a low scoring game tonight. May parlay ( with the under ) or take puckline to reduce the juice ! Still undecided. I can not fault anyone for thinking Calgary is the play. I beleive the losing streak ends tonight with all due respect King Scorpio !

FrozenTundra says:
01/25/10 04:40PM

My lean is the value in the blues. Flames should win, but should doesn't mean will win.

I lean to the under as the better play. I like a 2-1 final as I see both teams struggling to score.

 

OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 01:41PM
Sorry to hi-jack your thread King ... I've said enough so I'm outta here buddy
OLDPORT says:
01/25/10 01:39PM
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 03:02PM

Have to go to work now but keep this thread going without me.

Last night i would've chosen CAL,but after seeing the forum full blast CAL i'm going to stand on the sidelines and see if i can learn from this.

Only bet for me today is BUF/VAN un 5.5 -125

GL  

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:52PM

4th game in 6 days for VAN and BUF defense says it'll be a tight low scoring game that can go eitherway but line says take BUF.

IMO

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:54PM

That's what gets them hooked

Raise your parlay bets to $200 and you'll see different results

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:41PM

Parlays get you in the habit of betting more games to increase your chance of losing.

You want to be rewarded for every victory you get everyday.

Parlays are the poorman's lottery ticket

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 01:40PM

The sports bettor has a BURNING DESIRE to decide when streaks will end and usually they're wrong.

Just my 2 cents

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 01:45PM

Hi!

This is a community thread to help us understand why people are betting the way they are.

Everyone is invited to chime in and hopefully we uncover some hidden angle.

 

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:12PM

I'm talking about sports bettors in general,not you,who have the BURNING DESIRE to KNOW when streaks will end.

It's just another degree of HUMAN NATURE which leads to the sports bettors downfall.

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:16PM

Why ????

KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 02:18PM

Parlays are a sportsbook's best friend

Parlays are the tool of desperate action junkies

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:23PM

you might want to dbl chck my parlay record

last time I checked Ive hit 3/4/5 tmrs for fun

 

 

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:27PM

desparate...lmfao...thats why I'ma cowboy dood...

desparado, why dont you...come to YOUR senses and reast your weary head

ya I've played some games undiciplined..

yeah I had a hardon for hky won early

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:28PM
Hockey Town
Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:13PM
Ks just to let you know...I didnt play them straight
Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:05PM

OP...yopu make me laugh...havent seen you in quite a while and you rip me like this...

 

 

 

gl with STL

 

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 03:25PM

Alright KS...we'll catch ya later!

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:54PM

  1. Favorite is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
  2. I'm not a trend guy but like this
Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:55PM

yeah...its called more money for us

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:57PM

  I can see where this is going!

 

Johnnypicks says:
01/25/10 02:46PM

..Rewards....I understand that concept...I'll be a real square and rip a few -200 in there cause I'll never lay a -200 tag ml...ever..

 reg lines  are worrysome...

So I guees Ive hit a few lotteries this year then

 

Kirkpicard says:
01/25/10 02:03PM

King my burning desire has not yet made the play, and that -160 is like a bucket of cold water ! Plus I agree firmly on never betting on or against a streaks unless you have been riding them all along !

Good Luck tonight !!!

Vasko says:
01/25/10 07:27PM
there is too much value in taking st. louis, aren't you a guy who usually points out those things KS?
icemantbi says:
01/25/10 05:58PM
Exactly.  Looks like they are trying to lure wagers on the Blues.  No thanks, I just popped Calgary -1 at +109
teamexpos says:
01/25/10 01:47PM
K S  i am on the ST-LOUIS but  the DUKE look confince  on CALCARY Duke has help me alot on other pick so im goin to war with him
papsmear says:
01/25/10 04:26PM
this game should really be a pickem.  not gonna go into the details of why but ill gladly take the +150 agaisnt a team on 6 game losing streak.  idk who would lay that kinda juice.
LuckyGuy says:
01/25/10 01:50PM


I'm also allied with the duke tonight
roberton says:
01/25/10 02:14PM

thats about the only way i would end up playing this game aswell. I think calgary gets it done tonight!

wawakid says:
01/25/10 02:59PM
What do you think the line should be -160 or -170 Ryan Miller is in net there's a CHANCE this could go too OT or shootout. Who would want too be laying that # and have to sweat out a shootout that really is a coin flip with those two goalies in a shootout.
MaddenGuru says:
01/25/10 01:59PM

FWIW, the site I use for wager % data from 6 reputable books is showing 75% of ML wagers as well as 75% of Spread wagers coming in on the Blues...

Gulgo says:
01/25/10 02:20PM
St.Louis wins tonite.

BOL with your choice.
ThaCollecTAH says:
01/25/10 01:51PM
I locked in a small play on the game going to ot.
buzzmann66 says:
01/25/10 02:11PM

 

How would one cap the Sabres 4-2???  can i ask...hehe

Nucks 4-1 su last 5 at home ect ect.??  sorry dont see where ya coming from...but it is hockey and strange things do happen in this game,,,but not tonight...  gl though

Seymour24 says:
01/25/10 03:07PM

The Flames have struggled to score and when I look at their line up, it does not surprise me. Sure they added a great D man in the off season but gave up goal scoring. I am not sure this lack of scoring goes away without some sort of player move and therefore, I think the Flames continue to struggle. That being said, I have a gut feeling they muster up enough tonight to beat the Blues...I'm just not going to bet on it.

GL

Puck_Bunny says:
01/25/10 04:11PM
Is paying $300+ on tickets to see a team who have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games any better the playing them at -160?

These are my boys and it's been a let down lately. Not sure what's going on with them, this is the same team that was tearing it up at the beginning of the season.

I think everyone is on them tonight because they think that this would be a good spot for them to break out of their funk. It is a good match up. I know the Blues have won the last two meetings but they have been close games. The Blues themselves have been inconsistant, and the Flames are a very desperate team.

Having said that this team needs to be shaken up. For the past few years we have seen such good players get let go and getting lack luster players in return. The first thing I would do is get rid of Jokenin, he is like a cancer every team he goes to. Florida, Phoenix now Calgary. He is not a good fit for this team or our beloved Iggy.
zipnjaz says:
01/25/10 08:01PM
maybe  lucky #7  to break the streek,,,,line dropped to -140 ,,,,and took the over 5 ....blues  on a blue road trip
nucks -160  and under 5.5  hopeing luong will shit down the road legs

will see 

dog side sure will pay well 
zipnjaz says:
01/26/10 12:03AM
good call.....flames up in flames......
Flutiemaniac341 says:
01/26/10 12:11AM
ppl always bet on the "due factor". ppl never learn. the nhl is such a streaky sport.
webba says:
01/26/10 08:12AM
More importantly for you, the Buff/Nuck U5.5 hit....
Jab38 says:
01/25/10 11:59PM
Nice call on Blues
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 11:09PM
1-0 STL end of the 2nd
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 11:53PM
2-0 STL 7 minutes left in the game
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 10:53PM
0-0 10 minutes left in the 2nd
KingScorpio says:
01/25/10 10:56PM

I thought everyone would be on STL at +money against a team on 6 game losing streak,but it was the exact opposite and that's why i started this thread.

 

elithepunk says:
01/26/10 12:13AM
these kinds of threads are great ... when they work out the way it did tonight

under and stl ... good stuff
bluesplayer says:
01/26/10 12:05AM

Gulgo says:
01/26/10 12:12AM
Nice call
Pucknutt says:
01/26/10 12:27AM
fab14 says:
01/25/10 11:03PM
I played the under 5+125 My flames just can`t score
avsfan135 says:
01/25/10 11:02PM

Too much value?? please explain I'm the new guy

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