Looks like bettors are in a hurry to take the Stanley Cup Champions at -154 against the HOTTEST team in the N.H.L.
If Vegas keeps pulling this shit,then yes another one of these threads
pens win
but i agree with what u are saying
sorry meant to say pens may win
sens are the value play
Agree with you King - too much value here & do the books still think they're gonna get a ton of public money flowing in on last year's champs? Is that their thinking....?
BEING FROM PITTSBURGH , I THINK THE BEST SIDE IS THE SENS HERE. PENS HAVE BEEN UP & DOWN LATELY ALTHOUGH COVERING LAST 2 GAMES THERE NOT ON THERE GAME LATELY ,PLUS THIER A LITTLE BANGED UP. IMO SMART $$$$'S ON THE SENS TAKE THE DOG(WOOF WOOF) GLTA.
Again ???
However ... Agree !!!
TRUTH BE TOLD - TALK IS CHEAP
If you guys had only $1,000 to your name and went to place a bet on this game,over 95% of you would end up taking the SAFE/COMFORTABLE side in PIT even at -200 odds
Money amount wagered factors into the mindset of every bettor
Betting $20 compared to $1000 is a complete different world of thought or OVERTHINKING
Meant to also say if you only had $20 to your name over 70% would still side with the Stanley Cup Champions at whatever price.
The short line on PHX bodes well for CAL today,but not definate.
Game is a tossup and could go eitherway.
So it's not a POUNDER
Sports bettors are always looking to decide when streaks will end.
That factor is considered when they put out the lines.
Why not,look at some of the replies in this thread.
There's doubt about OTT's win streak and they're playing the Stanley Cup Champions in Pittsburgh and Vegas made PIT the favorite.
Thought that at first glance,then i realized the only thing going for OTT was it's winning streak.
Bettors need more than that to convince them to go against the Stanley Cup Champions at HOME
Wish all we had to do was look at prior results to come up with winners,but then everyone would always win.
The point of this thread is to get to understand betting habits
Want posters to explain why they are betting in certain games
That's why threads like this makes us STRONGER bettors win or lose
Nobody wins everyday including Vegas
Betting against streaks winning or losing is the wisdom of a fool in the long run.
When i laid my head down on the pillow last night i thought "Watch PIT win 4-0 now"
Just don't think there should be a hurry to bet against a streak.
That angle is considered by linesmaker when setting line.
Sport bettors have a desire to decide when streaks will end and i believe Vegas capitlizes on this fact.
It just points out that the Sens have been playing well and to look at the game closer. That's how I look at it. And yes KS has had many, many misfires. But at least it gets people to look at the games deeper.
And that horrible road sens team has won thier L4 games on the road.
Well of course as I usually say, if you like the Pens take them on the -.5 or -1 line. That way your risk is cut way down.
I don't always agree with KS, but he's 100% correct with this statement. You have to think of your money as Monopoly money. Don't even think twice if you lose it. If you do you are wagering too much.
But to the S/Pens game. You would be a fool to wager against the Sens here. They have played incredible D thier L7 games. I would look to play the Pens TT under, but at 3 you will probably get a push out of it. But I don't see them scoring 4 goals either.
So yeah, take Pens TT under 3 or 3.5 if you can find it juiced. But it would be pretty high juice like -145
for f sakes...the sens have only beaten two I repeat 2 decent team in their 7 gm.run. CHI/NJ
stl ya ya...but comon....atl and bos twice nyr
,,,for you dog loves...gluck tonight
All winning streaks come to an end KS and judging by the teams they've played against it would appear that streak comes to an end tonight,its all about risk assesment and I for one am risking Pittsburgh stops that streak tonight.
Not to take anything away from the Sens,they're playing great right but look who they've beat in their last 8 games NJ,NYR,Mtl,Boston twice,St-Louis at home and Chicago at home.
With the exception of the perhaps the lattter 2, not exactly world beaters are they?
Yes the Pens might lose this one BUT in my OPINION,I think the Sens have met their match!
This thing is a Pens victory or at BEST for the Sens, a shootout loss!
when it comes to pucks, depressed knows his stuff...don't discount his opinion. If you've ever read his writeups in his thread you will understand what I'm talking about. Not saying the man knows everything or that OTT will win, but he brings a lot to the table.
And KS is spot on here...I agree with Lippsman in that I don't agree with KS all the time, but this thread is good in that it should make people dig deeper into why they're placing a bet on a certain team. Obviously with a gun to my head if I had to pick who would win I'd say PITT, but a gun isn't to my head and I can afford to lose what I bet tonight on OTT because there is just too much value.
BOL to you either way one of us wins.
agreed...locked ottawa in last night
my only worry is that with all the love for ottawa and the high line, books might be trapping everyone into taking the plus money here since it seems like the obvious play
i agree....thanks king..but when i first saw that line i thought that too..but if you think about it..phoenix never really lays much chalk at home...they usually are around that number at home..
i have a friend that always gives me the "due" factor as the reason when wagering. seems to be fairly prevalent.
Just got off work and see OTT wins 4-1
Congrats to OTT backers
Pens need to step it up a notch.
What was that score again.
this thread was money .
zugibe...
i going over to the box for a minute
1-0 pit already
I'm here dood...2-1 sens
2-1 for some team called ottawa
I was say that beacuse i thought he pns would be a little less shitty.
good for you guys.
Ott backers should be concerned in the 3rd