Lewstar2000's Blog

Posted Friday, November 27, 2009 03:50 PM

Vermont Based on "Theory of Relativity"

Saw John Wooden on ESPN last night.  He's 99 and still sharp.  Just hope he doesn't watch his Bruins this season; I want him to reach 100!

I've posted two comparative (relative) winners here.  A third could well be Vermont + 5.5 vs. Drexel.  The second-to-last game for both was at Rutgers.  Vermont won by 6, Drexel lost by 2.  Only negative is that game is being played at Drexel.

Yes, I pimped Long Beach State plus points vs. West Virginia.  I'm a SoCal guy who reads a lot about local teams.  I thought LBS had game; I still think they do.  I just didn't realize what a monster WVU is.  I'm sticking with LBS +12.5 today.  And stay safe today; don't get with 5 miles of a Toys R Us!


Posted Thursday, November 26, 2009 02:37 PM

Baylor's Tweety Back; Make a Difference?

Baylor Senior point guard Tweety Carter received a four-game suspension to begin to 2009-2010 season, according to head coach Scott Drew.

Carter is expected to return for Baylor's biggest test to start the season, a Thankgiving Day game against Alabama in the first round of the Old Spice Classic in Florida.

Carter, the only McDonald's American in school history, averaged a career high 10.6 points and 3.2 assists as a junior for the Bears. He is expected to take over for the departed Curtis Jerrells at the starting point guard position.

I'm just saying, might make a difference when spread is tighter than Miley Cyrus.



Posted Thursday, November 26, 2009 12:29 PM

Don't Underestimate Long Beach State

This is supposed to be LBS's year.  They are preseason faves in Big West--the conference of crazy-maker Cal-State Fullerton.  Their coach is Don Monson, who rocketed Gonzaga to fame in 1999.  He was hired to make LBS a Gonzaga South several years ago.

He has several LA-area top guns, plus the soon-to-be-fabled Larry Robinson.  And Monson has scheduled Duke, Texas and Kentucky.
Yes, they lost in South Bend to Notre Dame by 20, but Harangody is flat-out nasty.

Sure, West Virginia is #8, but the game is about 5 minutes from Disneyland.  the LBS players have been to The Magic Kingdom a zillion times; Disneyland must seem like Mecca to WV players.
This game is definitely not a walkover in my opinion.


Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 07:56 PM

Bewary (wary) of Pac-10 in MSG

Cal was supposed to be the class of the Pac-10 and they got hammered twice at MSG.  I'm a SoCal guy who would love to
take someone, anyone from Pac-10, but I'll Pasadena on Party U.
versus Mike K.

Posted Wednesday, November 25, 2009 03:45 PM

Sam Houston in Cancun

Posted yesterday that Sacto State was my play because it beat Oregon State in Oregon and was being given 18 points playing at Idaho a couple of nights later.  Early in season seems like "parallel" scores are a decent gauge.

For the same reason, I like Sam Houston over Rider.  Sam lost to Kentucky by 10 at Kentucky--Rider lost by 29 at Kentucky in same week.  I figure SHS should be more than 2-point faves.



Posted Tuesday, November 24, 2009 08:40 PM

Anyone Else Like Sacto State?

Sacramento State is plus 18 at Idaho tonight.  They were about the same at Oregon State a couple of nights ago, and they won 65-63. 

Are Vandals that much better than Beavers.  Which reminds me,
Sarah Palin was a Vandal.


Posted Tuesday, November 17, 2009 06:34 PM

Yet Another Reason Why Handicapping is Hell

Let's see, Yale loses  to second-tier teams Hofstra and Sacred Heart by 6 and 5, and Colgate loses to #12 Connecticut by 14.  You would think Colgate could stay with the Brainiacs.  At least I did.  Memo to self: Buy any toothpaste but Colgate from now on.


Posted Sunday, November 15, 2009 05:26 PM

Colorado St. vs Oregon--Is the Spread Right

Already been said perhaps; too busy watching high-scoring Packers-Cowboys tilt to read all the posts, but has anyone posted that CSU and Oregon are not only both 2 and 0, but they switched opponents.

Oregon beat Winston-Salem and UC Davis by 51 and 31, and the Rams beat each by 18 and 17.  Factor in the notion that all games were played in Oregon's infamous Pit, and the oddsmakers have the Ducks currently as 16.5 faves about two hours before tipoff.

Seems to me like Oregon should be at least 20-point favorites based on all aspects.  Agree or disagree?


Posted Saturday, November 14, 2009 03:46 AM

Overs Big Winner Yesterday

I'm relatively new to handicapping, but I really enjoy Covers.   In my only post yesterday, I announced that I was a lucky 9 and 1 going into Friday's games, and hoped to get a slice of Cover's weekly NCAAB contest.

Well, I went 28 and 8 yesterday (picking no O/U because I wasn't near computer when they finally appeared) and dropped from 5th place to 34th.  Yikes!  I did some research and discovered that the Big Winner yesterday in the contest (Big Bopper) took a clear lead by betting Overs on 90% of games.(He took no Unders.)  He ended up winning 26 of 37 Overs.

Is this a common practice: to bet Overs early on in the season?  In any case, I know I have to play some O/U if I want to place in any contests, because hitting 78% sides is apparently not enough!

Look forward to reading more of your wise and witty posts!


Posted Friday, November 13, 2009 03:18 PM

Coach K -31?

Hey, I'm 9 and 1 so far in Covers contest, but it's 91% luck--at least.  I don't know how one can hit more than 50% this early in college hoops.  And I'm sure my record will fall like a submarine with screen doors as soon as I stop flipping a coin and start "analyzing" games.

Duke at home vs. NC-Greensboro is an interesting game.  Duke is -31.  Seems like a doable margin for the Dukies, given the fact they've beaten Greensboro by an average of 38 points in prior 7 meetings.

Also, Coach K. won by 31 or more points 4 times last season, all at Durham, and all before Xmas, including first two tilts.

Then, again, it's Friday, the 13th.  Plus, Coach K. seemed so sweet on Oprah even my wife who never heard of him called him a gentle humanitarian.

I guess I'll lay the points and hope Greensboro doesn't have a 2nd-string Tampa Bay QB-type player lurking on the bench.