Lewstar2000's Blog

Posted Thursday, December 31, 2009 04:22 PM

Insight on Insight Bowl

I have no insight on Insight Bowl.  Tough to handicap for contest players, never mind those risking their hard-earned cash.

Did a lot of research and discovered the following:

--Iowa State BEAT Nebraska, 9 to 7 AT Lincoln.  Cyclones didn't even have first-string QB for game.

--Only common opponent is Iowa.  Iowa State lost at home to Hawkeyes, 35 to 3.  Minnesota lost its last game of regular season, at Iowa, 12-0.

--Minnesota making 3rd appearance in Insight Bowl in last 4 years.  (They obviously know the lay--and lays--of the land.  The totals in 2 previous were 63 and 85.)

--Minnesota last in Big 10 in Scoring and Total Offense.  Cyclones were 11th of 12 in Big 12 in Scoring; 8th in Total Offense.

Wouldn't put any Franklins on this one, but would like to stay competitive in contests, but still waiting for an inspiration!

Any insight much appreciated!


Posted Monday, December 28, 2009 06:16 PM

Thread Experts All Over the A&M/GA Overs

Want a laugh?   Read all the "experts'" posts pimping a sure Over on Thread for Texas A&M/Georgia game.


Posted Thursday, December 24, 2009 03:48 PM

Dogs Now 5-1 Straight up in Bowls--Mustangs Next

Let's see, Dogs have not only covered but won 5 of 6 bowl games so far.  And June Jones, long-time Hawaii coach, is back in town. 

And in my College Bowl Confidence pools (where I've lost 5 of 6), I put Nevada 34th (most confident), and given what's already happened, I wouldn't dare bet till the tide turns.  And it may not, until the favored Crimson Tide wins.

The way things are going, I wouldn't at all be surprised if tsunami hits offshore of Hawaii just before game, and final is about 7 to 3.

Posted Wednesday, December 23, 2009 06:06 PM

Bowl Dogs Continue to Perform

What jumps out at me is that all four Dogs have won the first four Bowl games.  I remember reading an analysis in The Gold Sheet some time ago that said bowl underdogs are, statistically, very good bets--the more the spread, the better the chances of collecting.

Posted Monday, December 14, 2009 07:28 PM

NFL Winners Cover 72% of Time

I'm sure most of you know that the winning team in an NFL game covers 72% of time.  This week is a prime example, where 13 of 15 winners covered the spread--with only New England and Atlanta failing to do so.

Of course, the hard part is picking the winner of many NFL games.  Tonight's game is a good example.  Still, I like the Cardinals.

And, obviously, this trend doesn't always work, or Vegas would go broke even faster than it already is.   Pray for the new casino if you like to Visit Vegas!


Posted Monday, November 30, 2009 11:18 PM

Thanks, Godsplay, for the SJS Clincher

Sometimes, it does help to read the Threads for a particular game.  For example, I was all set to take St. Mary's, but I read the Threads, most of which were useless and definitely not mind-changing, but I
came to a post at the end, by Godsplay, which simply said, "San Jose lost to #10 Washington by only 10 at Washington."

That was enough to change my mind.  Maybe this fact didn't change any others' minds, but it rang a bell for me!  Of course, the Spartans haven't covered yet, and I may be jinxing them, but they look as solid as Drew Brees at the moment.


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