Lewstar2000's Blog

Posted Sunday, September 18, 2011 10:04 AM

NFL Trends That Could Change Your Mind

While capping all 16 NFL games as carefully as possible (something I won't take as long doing from now on because thankfully the new TV season starts Monday!), I came across the following factoids that influenced me--and perhaps you:

--Eagles have beaten Atlanta 4 in a row, and 8 of 9 under Andy Reid.
--Oakland doesn't like to travel; 2 and 7 last 3 seasons in Eastern time zone.
--Over has hit last 9 times Broncos were favored.
--Over has hit in 14 of last 16 Cowboys' games, and 10 of last 11 vs. NFC foes.
--Miami has dropped 5 in a row and 10 of last 11 in South Beach.
Also Miami is 1 and 8 using the money line in All home lined games the past 2 seasons.
--Patriots have gone Over 14 of last 16 as favorites; total is rising so fast, though, and Chargers are so solid defensively that I put this trend last 'cause it seems the most risky.

Finally, Hope Solo is third favorite to win "Dancing with the Stars."  I'll even take the time to vote for Hope!

Good luck later today!


Posted Thursday, September 15, 2011 06:36 PM

Strong Side/Total Trends re: Merc at Storm

Total: (this season)
   --Storm 10 and 1 Under in games after a non-conference game
   --Storm 15 and 3 Under in games with teams w/ winning records

Side:
   --Storm 28 and 4 ML last 3 seasons playing a divisional foe
   --Storm 11 and 5 ML last 2 seasons in games they've played
     with 3 or more days' rest      GOOD LUCK


Posted Monday, September 12, 2011 09:19 PM

Padres 1 and 10 Last 11 Road Games AND

2 and 12 last 14 as Road Dogs BUT "Harang is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three outings against San Francisco this season," and has given impotent Giants just 2 runs in last 20 innings.....

Hm-m, what's a punter to do?....


Posted Monday, September 12, 2011 09:09 PM

Sharps Mostly on Yanks Tonight BUT

"King Felix, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, is 6-3 in 10 career outings NYY  but is 5-0 with a 1.29 ERA in six starts against New York since a loss in the Bronx on May 3, 2008. Two of his three complete games during that span have come at Safeco Field .The Seattle ace has been particularly good lately, going 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 26 strikeouts over 23 innings during his last three starts."
----
Meanwhile, Yanks' starter, Hughes, is 0-1 with an 8.79 ERA in his last three starts.   Dept. of Weird but Profitable Trends:  Under is 40 and 13 in Seattle's last 3 seasons when M's are -100 to -125 faves.


Posted Saturday, September 10, 2011 11:47 AM

Interesting couple of Irish-Wolverine Trends

The underdog has won in six of the last seven games in this series.

2. Michigan has won five of its last six against Notre Dame at home.


Posted Friday, September 09, 2011 10:02 PM

Jered Weaver

Weave had one start pushed back, pitched bad; then gave up 6 runs and won!  (He's not used to getting more than 2 or 3 runs.)
--
Very few realize his grandfather died very recently, which obviously affected him.
----
Keep in mind, though, Jered has never lost to Yankees at home and "that Weaver is 6-0 with a 1.83 ERA over his last 10 home starts.

The right-hander, who pitched for the Angels from 2004-07 and won the Cy Young Award in 2005, is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two starts against them this season."


Posted Monday, September 05, 2011 06:03 AM

Which Team's Trend Is More Wager-Worthy?

Houston at Pittsurgh:
--Pirates 1 and 8 last 9 as favorites
--Astros 0 and 13 ML playing teams with losing records second half of season (and 9 and 43 for the past three seasons)

--On other hand, Yankees 19 and 7 on run line in home day games this season (and 47 and 20 last two seasons).

Maybe weather will force Pirates' game to be postponed and put possible punters on this game out of their misery!


Posted Sunday, September 04, 2011 08:01 AM

Funky Though Profitable Trends Re: 2 Games

--Lynx 3 and 21 SU in road games after 3 or more consecutive
   Unders.
--Mystics 1 and 10 ML after allowing 75 or more points in previous
   game.


Posted Sunday, September 04, 2011 07:58 AM

Intriguing Trends for 2 Labor Day Tilts

--Alouettes 10 and 1 SU last 11 revenging a loss last 3 seasons.
--Winnipeg 11 and 1 ATS in last 12 non-conference games last
   2 seasons.

Come to think of it, Canada probably doesn't celebrate Labor Day....


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