Lewstar2000's Blog

Posted Sunday, October 16, 2011 08:44 AM

TrendMaster Stat of Month! Can Marcum End It?

--Milwaukee Brewers are 15 and 0 in Sunday home games this season!
(in that other sport)
--Cowboys 12 and 1 Overs last 2 seasons on Turf
--Eagles have never lost 5 in a row during Andy Reid's 13-year tenure.

Good luck!

Good luck!

Posted Friday, October 14, 2011 04:15 PM

TrendMaster's Latest: Just Heard on ESPN

Garcia's ERA is 2 runs lower in home games, and Greinke's is
2.5 runs higher in away games.  Also, team that wins Game 5 of
a 7-game series wins series a very high percentage of the time.
I've forgotten exactly what the percentage is--I was half-asleep
when I heard it--but it's extraordinarily high.


Posted Wednesday, October 12, 2011 02:01 PM

TrendMaster's Must-Knows for Today's Game

--Detroit has won 7 of Porcello's last 9 starts
--Texas 0 and 5 Harrison's last 5 starts against Tiges (0 and 3, with a 7.03 ERA at Comerica)
--Texas 4 and 17 last 21 at Comerica (and AL-worst all-time 23 and 35 at Comerica)
-Over 58 and 35 for Detroit after a win this season

--Cards won 13 of last 16 Home Games
--Brewers 2 and 7 last 9 with St. Louis
--Brewers 1 and 7 Gallardo's last 8 starts vs. Cards,  with a 5.66 ERA  (however, only once in last 10 starts has Gallardo not posted a Quality Start--that being Sep. 1 when Cards thrashed him; Pujols went deep twice.)
--Carpenter is 6 and 2 in postseason, with a 2.94 ERA
--Over 8 and 2 Cardinals last 10
--Over 9-2-1 in Brewers' last 11
--Cards giving out 40,000 rally-squirrel towels :)

Bottom Line: Detroit (+113) and Cards (-147) might well both be bargains.... Also, great majority of trends point to a Det/Milw Over even with a high total--now 9, was 9.5 an hour ago.


Posted Tuesday, October 11, 2011 07:21 PM

Stats You Need to Know About Fister and Colby!

--Fister is 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA in six career outings against Texas
--But he
went 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA in 11 appearances -- 10 starts --for the Tigers. 
--And t
he right-hander went 4-0 with a 0.98 ERA in five home starts for the Tigers.
--Lewis was 0-1 with a 15.95 ERA in two starts against Detroit this season and gave up 20 hits, including five homers, in just 7 1/3 innings
--
But he's
4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in five postseason starts.

--Since League Championships went to 7 games in 1985, only 4 teams have come back from a 2 and 0 deficit.

All things considered, I think Fister (and the Detroit fans) will not let Tiges go down, 3 to 0.  As for Total, tough call.  If you go strictly by how pitchers did against other teams, you gotta go Overs--which I will. 
--Thus, Tigers/Over parlay.
--Good luck to all!


Posted Monday, October 10, 2011 06:21 PM

Major Reasons to Take a Team Tonight But Not Series

--Cards 10 and 1 last 11 during second game of a playoff series.  --Milw 2 and 8 Marcum's last 10 starts vs. team with  winning rec.  --Cards 6 and 2 last 8 meetings.
--Marcum 0 and 3 with a 5.84 ERA in last 6 starts in Milwaukee.
--Jackson 1 and 0 with a 2.08 ERA in last 2 starts vs. Milwaukee.
--BONUS: Over 6 and 1 last 7 meetings in Wisconsin
BUT
Winner of Game 1 has won 16 of last 19 NLCS







Posted Sunday, October 09, 2011 04:02 PM

Are These 2 Amazing Trends, Or What!

--Most know that Brewers are 16 and 0 last 16 times Greinke has gone to bump in Milwaukee.
--But a lot probably don't know, Milwaukee 14 and 0 last 14 Sunday
home games.


Posted Thursday, October 06, 2011 06:31 PM

Hard-to-Ignore Trends for Det/NY tonight

--Nova undefeated since June 3, racking up 13 wins from then on.
--Tigers haven't lost back-to-back games since Aug. 28-29.

--Team that won Game 3 of an LDS that was tied has won series 19 of 23 times (De-twa)
--Team that won Game 2 of Yankees' last 8 playoff series has won
series (Ditto)

--Detroit 6 and 24 in road games played after a day off for past 3 seasons.

Really like Nova York in this one, but some of trends UPSET me!


Posted Tuesday, October 04, 2011 07:04 AM

Under Seems Wunderful in Texas/TB Tilt

Consider the following:

--Over 0 and 7 last 7 TB home games
--Under 10 and 1 last 11 TB playoff home games
--Harrison 4 and 0 with a 2.64 ERA in September
--Hellickson, ironically, also with a 2.64 ERA since All-Star break
   and is 2nd-hardest-to-hit (.210) in AL, behind Verlander

Makes one "Wonder" why total is 8.5 runs.  Maybe because Longoria is 3 for 3 against Harrison, with a dinger and a double?


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