Posted Thursday, October 10, 2013 06:03 AM
- Tigers are 1-10 in Verlanders last 11 starts.
- Tigers are 1-10 in Verlanders last 11 starts on grass.
Taken from Covers. Not sure this game is going to be a replica of yesterday's new-kid-on-the-bump vs. a-king-of-the-hill.
Not gonna touch this one, and my condolences to those of you who had Bucs/Cards under 6.5--which is the current number of this one.
Posted Sunday, September 22, 2013 08:26 AM
Plus, he's won his last 9 (and with 17 wins, is only behind Scherzer),and the Angels are 6 and 0 in Wilson's last 6 starts. Plus, a textbook example of the offense supporting a pitcher is the Halos' scoring for CJ. They've scored 66 runs in last 10 games he's pitched.
Yes, King Felix is pitching for Seattle, but the Angels eat him alive. The only difference this time is that Felix hasn't pitched in 20 days; maybe he's come up with a strategy to stop the bleeding vs. the Angels.
The Over/Under is only 7, which is one of those very-fishy numbers. But I'm going Over since it been bery, bery good for me when CJ's on the bump.
Posted Thursday, September 19, 2013 04:57 AM
Tampa Bay's Matt Moore is 7-0 with a 1.90 ERA in last 10 starts.
Texas has lost Yu Darv's last 6 starts. But that's why they play
Posted Tuesday, September 03, 2013 08:20 AM
Might hink twice before taking moderate favorites in two AL West Coast games:
Tampa Bay (-131) vs. Angels--
--Angels starter Jason Vargas beat the Rays on Thursday with seven
innings of two-hit shutout ball. Los Angeles has won five consecutive
games and nine of its last 10, while Tampa Bay’s loss in the opener was
its eighth in nine games.... Moore hasn't pitched in over a month--always a dicey prop.
--Moore allowed four runs and eight hits in four innings in a rehab
start for Triple-A Durham on Thursday. He had won six consecutive
decisions before suffering the injury that led to a stint on the
disabled list. (Realize minor league prep games usually mean nothing.).... .Moore
will run into an Angels (64-72) offense that has finally clicked during
an underachieving season.They recorded 16 hits in Monday's win and have
scored 50 runs while winning nine of 10.
--Vargas has allowed one run in 13 1/3 innings while winning back-to-back
starts. He gave up one run and eight hits in 6 1/3 innings while beating
Seattle before handcuffing the Rays in his ensuing outing.
--Vargas is 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA in his last four starts against the Rays.
Rangers vs. the Oakland Colons (-140)
--Cold pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Bartolo Colon is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA over his last four starts.
--Rookie Perez is going for his sixth consecutive win overall and fifth
straight on the road. The 22-year-old... [More]
Posted Sunday, September 01, 2013 09:07 AM
1) Yankees--Pettitte owns O's, and he and Yanks are as hot as Baltimore is cold.
Pettitte has won eight straight
regular-season decisions against the Orioles and hasn't lost to them in
the Bronx in over 14 years as he tries to help the Yankees complete a
three-game sweep Sunday.... Pettitte is 8-0 with a 2.99 ERA in his last
11 starts against the Orioles (71-63), not including a loss in Game 2 of
last year's division series. He's 9-0 with a 2.44 ERA in his last 11
home starts against them since July 5, 1999.... Wei-Yin Chen (7-7, 3.76)
is hoping to bounce back in September after going 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA
in five August outings
left-hander Andy Pettitte has won three consecutive starts while
surrendering just one earned run over 19 2/3 innings in that span. The
Yankees are 10-1 in Pettitte's last 11 home starts against Baltimore,
and Yanks are 10 and 1 last 11 home games.
2) St. Louis Cardinals--
Joe Kelly is 6-0 with a 2.24 ERA in nine
starts since joining the rotation July 6, and he's allowed three runs on
two homers over 18 innings while winning three straight outings
overall.... Kris Johnson is slated to make his first career start for
the Pirates in the finale. (Tough team to make MLB starting pitcher
right-hander Joe Kelly has won six consecutive decisions and has allowed
two runs or fewer eight times over that stretch.
Posted Saturday, August 17, 2013 06:26 PM
Way earlier today, I posted that Clayton is best pitcher in beisbol, but the Phillies give him phits; 0 and 4 in 8 starts, with an ERA of 4.31. One of 2 NL teams he hasn't beaten....
I added that LA has best streak in decades, 41 of 49, and has won 19 of last 20 road games--so I'm taking runline. Got hammered by a couple Stevie Wonders who wondered why I could possibly go against CK. I wasn't!...
Why do Angels continue to be major faves at home against inferior teams!? They are disgraceful, and wiseguys must be making big bucks against them.
Angels are 6 and 15 last 21 versus teams below .400 win %. And they've lost their last 5 at home. Yet Vegas makes Halos -195???
Best bet, tho, is Over 8. When you've never heard of either pitcher--Keuchel/Richards--a good strategy is take Overs. This game may end up with a higher score than some NFL games tonight!
Good Luck and Stay Thirsty My Friends!
Posted Saturday, August 17, 2013 08:42 AM
Clayton could well be best pitcher in beisbol, but no thanks to Phils, who love to see him on the bump. 0 and 4 vs Phils in 8 starts with a 4.31 ERA. One of 2 NL teams CK has not beaten. Yeah, I know LA has won 19 out of last 20 road games and has the best MLB in several decades, winning 41 out of last 49--so maybe Phils might make a good runline bet at least.
I know Chris Sale has righted his ship, but his mound foe, Twins' Andy Albers has been fantastic. Only 6th pitcher in MLB history to throw 8+ shutout innings first two starts. Shut out Indians, then gave up 4 hits in 8.3 innings against much-improved Royals. Another good runline at very least.
Good luck--and Stay Thirsty My Friends. Personally, I'm on Reds ML, which is a very fair price considering Latos has been lights out since All-Star break--and their excruciating bottom of 9th come-from-ahead loss to Brewers.
Posted Thursday, August 15, 2013 09:48 AM
LAA/NY 8.5 Heck, Soriano and Trout may account for virtually all the runs needed in the first 5 innings!
Not a big fan of Overs/Unders; much prefer to pick sides--and, by the way, my upset of day is CWS over Twins, with Sox newcomer Rienzo on the bump. He's been lights out on his 2 road starts (2 runs to Detroit, and 3 to Cleveland--both Quality Starts, and Vegas is giving him no respect, tho line is falling as I type.
About 6 or 7 times a year, I get a feeling that I'm on a can't miss, and the Yankee game is one of these. I don't use O/U much on Streak Survivor, but did for this game.
Two guys on the bump today aren't ones you want to use in an Under situation. Phil Hughes has been a Home Run Derby pitcher most of year, and CJ Wilson has done all right lately, but he's good to give up 3 or 4 runs--against "normal" teams.
The Yankees' hitters, tho are hotter than ScarJo in a thong, and nothing wrong with Angels' hitters lately; the pitchers, even The Weave yesterday, put them way behind early--and they should
feast on Hughes. Any other Yanks' pitcher, and blazin' NY would be more than just -115.
Good luck my friends and Stay Thirsty!
Posted Tuesday, August 06, 2013 07:52 PM
Not only did Wade Miley shut-out TB last week in Fla, 7 to 0, but he's facing same pitcher, Jeremy Hellickson, at home tonight. And you guessed it--not only are Rays faves (-118), but 15 of 18 Covers Experts on Tampa Bay.
Oh, well, on further review, I can see why. "Miley improved to 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA in his last five
by allowing 2 hits over 6 1/3 innings in Wednesday's 7-0 win at Tampa
Bay. He struck out 8 and walked 5.The left-hander has held opponents to a .198 average in his last 5 outings." And Rays have scored 7 runs in last 4 starts.
Before betting trailer house on D-Backs, in the interests of full disclosure, Hellickson going for 5th straight road win and Rays best team in interleague play this season, 12 and 3.
Posted Tuesday, August 06, 2013 07:26 PM
Hiroki given up 2 runs in last 33 innings, and only given up runs in one game of last 5 on the bump. 4-1 over last 9 starts.
Opposing pitcher, Chris Sale, is no dog, but he's 1 and 9 last 10, and CWS won its first game in 11 starts last night.
Over/Under is 6.5. No argument with that, but hard to buy Sox as faves (-118) even if slight. Yes, the Alex Circus is in town, but I think it's about time for Grandy to light a fire under teammates.
Posted Sunday, August 04, 2013 07:41 AM
Buehrle is hotter than ScarJo in a thong! Consider: "Buehrle has yielded seven hits and struck out 11 over 16 innings of his
last two starts. He stifled Oakland last Tuesday, 5 to 0, giving up 5 hits in 7 innings.
Also, C.J. fell off the wagon last Tuesday in Halos' most-devastating loss of season, in which they blew a couple of big leads. "Wilson
(11-6, 3.48) allowed five earned runs over 36 innings to win four of
five starts before he gave up six runs and a season-high 11 hits while
throwing 109 pitches in four innings of a wild 14-11, 10-inning loss at
Texas on Tuesday."
Rooting for Angels, but never really know what to expect when two lefties toe the bump.
Posted Sunday, August 04, 2013 07:17 AM
Stephen Fife could be even nastier to Cubs than Cap was yesterday. (In my post yesterday, I wondered why Cubs were faves when Cap owned them--and all he did was add 7+ scoreless innings to 24 he already had in Wrigley.)
Some places are showing Greinke as LA's starter Sunday--but Donny Beisbol holding him back for Cards--thus LA "only" -126. But "Barney" ain't chopped liver--if he's ready to roll off DL. Consider following:
"Fife is making his first start since landing on the disabled list
July 9 with right shoulder bursitis. The Dodgers temporarily are going
with a six-man rotation to make room for the 26-year-old, who has
allowed two or fewer runs in 10 of his 13 major-league starts. Fife, who
is making his first career appearance against the Cubs, led the Dodgers
with a 2.21 ERA in six June starts." (Back when Dodgers were putrid.)
Plus, Cubs are going with their premium-gas can, Villanueva " 6.04 ERA in five starts since rejoining the rotation July 7 and an 8.22 ERA in his last three." If wind is blowing out, Overs can't be high enough, even if Puig can't play (questionable at present).
Finally, Dodgers going for 14th straight road win in a road; right now in top 5 of all-time with 13.
Yes, even a blind squirrel finds an acorn every now and then, and LA doesn't have Kemp and maybe Puig today--but gotta like their chances.
Good luck and Stay Thirsty My Friends! Remember, the Most Interesting Man in the World neve... [More]
Posted Saturday, August 03, 2013 03:43 PM
(taken verbatim from article)
Capuano is 7-0 with a 1.55 ERA and two complete games in his last nine starts against the Cubs. He
hasn't allowed a run over 24 innings in winning his last three starts
at Wrigley Field, and he's 5-1 with a 3.16 ERA in seven starts there.
left-hander, though, has been inconsistent since the end of June; he's
allowed zero, seven, six, zero, five and zero runs in his past six
Is Cap's recent inconsistency enough reason to make Cubs slight favorites (-108) even though they are his bitches AND Dodgers going for phenomenal 13th straight road victory?
All I can guess is Vegas considers 13 majorly unlucky for visiting Dodgers.
Posted Thursday, August 01, 2013 04:10 PM
Rangers opened at -190 and zoomed all the way to -250, largely, I'm sure, because Darvish is pitching (even tho Yu is 2 and 4 last 6), Rangers mo after 3 straight walk-off dingers (off pathetic Angels), and some dude name Zeke Spruill is on bump for D-Backs (replacing traded Ian Kennedy).
And probably also because of these trends:
- Diamondbacks are 3-29 in their last 32 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.
- Diamondbacks are 3-35 in their last 38 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.
However, for some unknown reason, 9 of 14 Covers' experts taking D-Backs. Maybe because Spruill (0-0, 2.08) pitched 4 1/3 innings of relief over four
appearances in a brief call-up in June. The right-hander, though, hasn't
allowed an earned run in 31 2/3 consecutive innings while going 3-0
over his last five starts for Triple-A Reno.
Seems too obv to me, which is my signal to watch but not wager.
Good luck--and Stay Thirsty My Friends! (In latest ad, it's revealed Most Interesting Man has NEVER had to say, "My bad"!
Posted Friday, July 12, 2013 07:01 PM
Sorry about Gallardo yesterday. Maybe one of following 2 items will make us BFFs again.
Jeremy Hefner has a major league-best 1.64 ERA since June 1. And Hefner
has given up one earned run in 6 of his last 7 turns and did so on just
2 hits over 7 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers in his last start
on July 7.
Meantime Salty Charlie Morton, on bump for Pirates,
is 0 and 2 with a 7.36 ERA last two home starts against Mets, who are
going for season-tying 5th consecutive win.
Still, Vegas like Pittsburgh to the tune of -143. Well, Pittsburgh is 10 and 1 after an off-day.
It Up has a most intriguing prop tonight: Basically, will Fister of
Detroit give up more or fewer than 7 hits in 5 innings. Says he must
start. Thing they don't make clear is what if he's pulled before 5
innings are up--he's been pulled after 6 innings in last two because of
Incredibly Non-Quality Starts. And Tigers are -173 over Rangers!? I
don't think so.....
Posted Thursday, July 11, 2013 08:23 PM
6-0 with a righteous 1.62 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Diamondbacks.
However, he's been mediocre last 3 starts vs. other teams.
--Does either fact trump the other? Apparently, Vegas is going with
recency, making Snakes -138.
Some things to consider:
--Rumors are Gallardo is auditioning for Arizona.
--D-Backs have to be exhausted after 14-inning loss to Dodgers last night. Az had it in top of 9th when Heath Bell gave up a tying hit with 2 outs.
--Gibson used every available pitcher, so Miley needs to go long, for sure. Collmenter pitched 5 great innings in relief, but obviously wore down, giving up back-to-backers to Hanley and A.J. Ellis. (Collmenter even too tired to throw at Greinke, who was batting 'cause Dodgers had no one else.)
Posted Thursday, July 11, 2013 07:45 PM
Kasnut1, who picked Brewers a couple days back for his 19th--also knocking out redrum42, who had 20 and had opposite side--going for 20 in a row.
(If you recall, Carlos Gomez robbed Joey Votto of a 2-run dinger, and redrum of $25,000--while giving Kas 19.)
Kas has picked Cardinals tonight and seems like a solid pick.
--Cards have best record in MLB and on road
--Cards going for a tie of longest winning streak this season--6
--Westbrook loves Cubs: 4 and 0, 2.35 ERA in last 6 vs. ChiCubs
--Jackson 0 and 2 with a 16.20 ERA last 2 starts vs. Cards--though he did have a 2.75 ERA, vs Redbirds for five starts before major meltdown.
Good luck,, Kas, My Man. You knocked other guy out of 25 thou; so it's your turn to deplete Covers' cash reserve!
Posted Monday, July 08, 2013 06:45 PM
Yep, Redrum42, who has 20 in a row in Streak Survivor--and needs one more for $25,000; and Kasnut1, who has 18 in a row, have incredibly picked different sides of the same game! Each has won a grand so far.
"Murder" spelled backward has Cincy and Homer B. coming off his no-no, and Kas has Milwaukee at home. I like Brewers and Lohse, who are +119. Never mind jinx after a no-hitter, Bailey sucks vs. Reds: 1-6, 6.00 ERA, in 12 starts and bombed last start.
Lohse is 3-3, 3.18 ERA in 12 starts vs. Reds and has been lights out for some time.
Still, best bet (and Streak won't let me make it) is Under 8. Bailey, Under 7-1 after Quality Start, and Lohse, 11 and 0 last 11 vs. teams vs. winning records. Hate to see both shrewd, beat-the-big-odds cappers going against each other!
Posted Thursday, July 04, 2013 04:48 AM
I know you guessed it. Wainwright improved to 8-0 with a 2.32 ERA in his last nine road starts
Saturday (Cards won game he didn't win) with a five-hitter in a 7-1 victory over Oakland for his major league-best fourth complete game.
Billy Bob Blanton (2-10, 5.07)
is 0-4 with a 5.04 ERA in eight home starts, with the Angels losing
each except a 12-9 win over the White Sox on May 18.
So why are Cards only -130? Must be because Blanton has actually pitched well in last 3 games: 1 and 0, 2.14 ERA, and 23 K's in 21 innings.
Posted Wednesday, July 03, 2013 06:16 PM
What I meant was I was looking to bet Lohse Under and noticed Detroit/Toronto had been removed from Streak Survivor.