Posted Wednesday, July 31, 2013 06:30 AM
Hey, I'm a Southern Californian (don't hold that agin me!) who does my fair share of wagering. And I'm as conversant as most on the types of bets. I know and love the runline and puckline--as well as playing the ponies. In fact, I hope to take down today some of the estimated $400,000 carryover Pick 6 just south of me at Del Mar.
But one bet escapes me. An example would help. A couple of online contests are offering this wager: Bayern Munich beats Sao Paulo by 3 goals or more. I go to a most-respected online service, William Hill, and I think I'm reading the odds right--but not sure. For one thing, William does not deal in halfs in this bet, and I zoom in on the following:
Bayern Munich -2 goals -105
Sao Paulo +4 goals -400
To me, I'm looking at the right odds because BM could win, say, 4 to 1, which would mean they could take away 2 goals and the bettor would win; while Sao Paulo could lose, say, 5 to 2, and bettors taking +4 goals would still win.
If this logic is not illogical, then taking Sao Paulo would seem to be a most prudent course of action even though BM is a rock-solid team. Am I reading the odds correctly, or do I need a check up from the neck up? Many thanks to the few of you who answer this question seriously rather than getting your jollies off flaming me....