Posted Wednesday, October 05, 2011 06:43 AM
Those who had Over in the last Dream/Lynx game probably cringe at seeing anything regarding the final total of that game. But the trends seem to strongly suggest an Under for that game--however slight the Under--and they are even more suggestive for Wednesday's game. Consider:
--Under is 7 and 2 last 9 Minnesota home games.
--Under 9 and 1 in Lynx home games this season when
playing a poor defensive team (i.e., one that gives up an
average of 77+ points-per game).
--Under 9 and 2 following last 11 Lynx ATS covers
--Under 4 and 1 last 5 between teams
Thus, I'm going down--so to speak. I hope!
(Fairness Disclosure: Over is 10-2-1 in Dream's last 13.)
Good luck!
P.S. 44 Dimes likes Atlanta +6, but I can find them only at 5.5. Maybe he's anticipating a slight "rise" by tip-off.