MYSTICRICH's Blog
Posted Friday, March 26, 2010 03:08 PM
SAINT MARYS + 5
The Gaels are playing at a high level right now , in their last three games , the teams they beat Gonzaga , Richmond ,and Villanova i think are all better than BAYLOR ,
Take BAYLOR off their home court , nothing special here ,
SAINT MARYS gets the SU win here, the points are a gift.
N IOWA + 1
The panthers under the radar , on how good this team really is , at 30 - 4 if you look at their few loses, it was a case of , losing to inferior teams, and not being focused , that wont happen tonight .
MICHIGAN STATE ......Tom Izzo great coach , but without the horses forget it , I wasn't too high on this team this year , now you take out their best player in LUCAS (always playing the most min on the team ) and a point guard to boot , big time loss .
N IOWA knocking off the ONE seed in KANSAS ,only to lose to MICHIGAN STATE ?....... IT WONT HAPPEN !
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Posted Monday, March 22, 2010 05:57 PM
MOREHEAD STATE +1.5
Considering how MURRY STATE performed in the big dance beating Vandy , losing to Butler by 2 , Morehead state beat Murry state in reg season by 5 and lost to them on the road in the conf champ by 11.
MORST are 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games overall.
BU..... with student pop ,of over 31,000 , could see them being a player or cinderella story in the future, but not yet , and tonight they wont be facing an opponent from the American East .
PRINCETON + 6.5
Think of how good CORNELL has looked on offense, with their great shooting guards and center play , now consider the last two games with Princeton , the Tigers held Cornell to 48 , and 50 points losing by only 3 points to Cornell in both games .
LAST 19 GAMES NO TEAM HAS SCORED MORE THAN 58 POINTS ON PRINCETON ,, 8 games were in the 40's and 2 games they held their opponent in the 30's
PRINC are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games.
PRINC are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Under is 23-9 in PRINC last 32 overall.
not really a totals player but at 117 , I think the under looks good also
Both plays tonight , are based on how these two teams played against teams that have excelled in the BIG DANCE ,
being on the road is the only negitive here ... [More]
Posted Sunday, March 21, 2010 12:32 PM
CORNELL + 4.5
Not having watched much ivy league games this year except for Harvard a few times, had no idea how good Cornell was .
Made the mistake of dismissing Cornell because they are from the ivy league , it was a BIG mistake
like to draw a paralel from my Greyhound Racing days , when they would have these stake races, for big money at the florida tracks, or up here in ma. at Wonderland , or Raynham
. Sometimes there were dogs coming in from the cheap tracks like in Mexico or Alabama , and they would have all wins in their resume , like say 25-0 , and have won all the races by 10 or more lenghts , But the betting public would discount these dogs cause of were they came from.., the purse money is peanuts at these tracks , so why would you waste a dog for low purses ? it was usually a case of logistics , the owner of the dog, lived close to the track , or had his own booking, at that track .
But despite running and competing against bad dogs , when going against the iron at the big tracks in these stake races , they still won
hope i didnt bore everyone to death with this, .....But from my life's betting experience , this parallel came to mind ,
The leason learned is , you can't always judge a team or dogs ability, on who they have been competing against .
had the sa... [More]
Posted Saturday, March 20, 2010 05:23 AM
BAYLOR - 4 5:45 EST
OD luck runs out today when a more consistant offense does them in .
Baylor last 5 gms 81 ppg... 51%fg.... 32%3s....78%ft
NIT PICK
NC STATE + 5.5 5PM EST
Clearly the best bet of the day, no way UAB out of Conf USA should be favored here.
NC STATE this season beat DUKE , beat Florida State twice , also beat twice Wake Forest , and Clemson once
Has anyone noticed that most of the offshore betting establishment ,have for some reason, stoped puting games in order according to start time .
How much effort does it take to put the games in order by start time ? NONE , so therefore it must be intentional .
.It has to be to screw with your head , and i bet they know through studies ,that it gives them a 5 or 10% edge ,
Am i too cynical ? or NUTS , but it does hidders me somewhat , at times when looking at possible parlays , i think there has to be a method to their madness ..........any thoughts ?
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Posted Friday, March 19, 2010 11:44 AM
TEMPLE -3.5
Considering how the Ivy league did ,when Harvard played applachian state out of the weak southern conference , Cornell being the class of the ivy league wont be enough as TEMPLE has won 10 in a row and covered this number every time against tougher..
UTAH STATE + 3
Winners of 15 in a row and 19 out of last 21 , although i do like Texas AM and how they have played of late , this Utah State team is too good not to play here , shooting 49% fg 43% 3s and 76@ ft
GONZAGA + 2
The more consistant offense will get it done here.
LOUISVILLE + 1
i know how the big east has fared so far , but i cant see this louisville and pitino going one and done, in the big east tourney, and then going out here.
Posted Thursday, March 18, 2010 07:29 AM
NOTRE DAME -1.5
Bet this game earlier , up to 2.5 presently
The Irish have done a 360 coming down the stretch , winning 6 in a row , then losing on the road by 2 to a very tough West Virginia team , i think they are really hot coming into this tournament , don't be suprised if they make a good run here .
As far as OLD DOMINION go's ,they were horrendous on the road , first lets give them a gold star for beating GT , that was an anomaly , because other than that one win, they absolutely sucked on the road ,and the colonial athletic conf just dosen't cut it for me sorry ,
Attending many Northeastern game , ive seen alot of these teams up close and personal , including OLD DOMINION , who lost to the HUSKIES by 10 in Boston .
GEORGE MASON lost to RADFORD by 27 , but got it back togeather 2 days later to beat OLD DOMINION by 16 , this illusrtates how bad OLD DOMINION is ,on the road .
Look at OD',s wins on the road , Georgia st , Liberty , Towson , Deleware , James Madison , all i can say is the whole George Town team must have been hungover when they lost to these guys ,
will be adding a few games later
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Posted Wednesday, March 17, 2010 07:21 AM
ST JOHN + 7
St John played very well down the stretch , i was really suprised that that Roberts might be fired
With 4 road wins in their last 10 games , , wins vs ND and louisville , and two close game with Marquette .
How would Memphis fare playing in the Big East ? i dont think very well, this is not the Memphis Calpari team of the past . they have been over valued all year , 10-17 ATS is reflective of that .
Hardy is a loss for St John , but i still think they are a better team than Memphis , and i think they will be playing hard for their coaches job.
Not really a ML player , but this could be a spot to cash on the ML at +270.00 I do expect St John to win this SU , but why be greedy ? take the 7 points to the bank ,
St John will make it a gr8 ST Patrick's day
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Posted Saturday, March 13, 2010 05:10 PM
GEORGETOWN + 2
GT playing real well beating and puting away, a very tough Marquette team , who kept challanging throughout the game, , but GT put them away .
GT playing too well now to lose this one , like the venue of MSG for the HOYAS also .
pushed earlier with ohio state -7 , sloppy play and missed FTs at the end prevented the ATS win . but could be considerd lucky to get push , the way the game went early on .
Posted Saturday, March 13, 2010 08:12 AM
OHIO STATE -7
after watching illinois somehow managed to only be up by 2 points with a minute left yesterday, in a game which Wisconsin couldn't have been any more horrible .
Wisconsin was 18-63 28% and if you take away the last couple of minutes , wisky was like 15%
, Hughes absolutly sucked, and took them out of the game early ,AT 0-11 the way they played they should have been down by 25 with 2 minutes left ,
illinois sucks , they got lucky yesterday going up against a Wisconsin team that was so horrible it was pathetic
and this tells me is Ohio state will have a 10 -20 point easy win here , like the last time, Ohio State won by 16
Posted Wednesday, March 10, 2010 04:46 AM
COLORADO -1
12:30 pm EST @ kansas city mo
Winners of last three , their last game 4 days ago , was an 11 point win against this same Texas Tech team .
but this is more of a fade Texas Tech play , this program seems to be in turmoil and desention , and much of it is focused around Pat Knight ,
TECH , losers of 7 in a row SU , and 2-11 last 13 SU
COL are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Big 12.
The buffalo's should put Texas tech miserable season to bed and hopefully start our day out right .
Posted Sunday, March 07, 2010 03:26 AM
NC STATE - 2
looking at the win patterns from the season of these two teams it seems to me a good spot for the wolfpack .
0-2 yesterday posts ,in retrospect there were better games to choose from , .......Florida St -2 was the right bet , being up 6-11 for the whole game then winning by 1, thats just bad gambling luck
the UCONN bet was a stiff , UCONN might be a better team overall than So Florida , But dont have anyone like Gilchrist and Jones , that can take over a game , Dyson and Walker ?not even close yesterday.
Posted Sunday, March 07, 2010 03:13 AM
NC STATE - 2
looking at the win patterns from the season of these two teams it seems to me a good spot for the wolfpack .
0-2 yesterday posts ,in retrospect there were better games to choose from , .......Florida St -2 was the right bet , being up 6-11 for the whole game then winning by 1, thats just bad gambling luck
the UCONN bet was a stiff , UCONN might be a better team overall than So Florida , But dont have anyone like Gilchrist and Jones , that can take over a game , Dyson and Walker not even close , yesterday
Posted Saturday, March 06, 2010 09:34 AM
UCONN + 1
UCONN will win this game , after the bad loss at home to cincinnati they came back and beat villionava on the road , i expect the same to happen here , against an easier foe in So Florida , who i think should be on the fade list .
FLORIDA STATE - 2
this seminoles team looks like they might be peaking , ive watched this team over the last month play very well , they have already beat Miami , expect the same to happen today,
.. Miami is on the fade, only managing to win once , in their last 5 ........ only win was against a Virginia team , who everyone else had been hammering.
Posted Friday, March 05, 2010 09:34 PM
St John -4.5
depaul has lost 11 in a row , had half time leads of DD and lost SU expect ST JOHN TO COVER THIS
Posted Monday, March 01, 2010 11:50 AM
GEORGIA SOUTHERN + 5.5
acouple of bad teams here , but NC greensboro is the worst ( 6 - 22 ) on the season , 3-11 at home losers of 8 of their last 9 games SU , yet they are favored by 5.5 ? (GIVE ME A BREAK ), line makers making the home team favorite in a game that probably does not has much betting interest .
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 9- 21 on the season, but have won 3 of last 4 games their one loss in last 4 , came in overtime with WOLFORD , , this team can score points.
So take the the generous points here, against a 6-22 team who cant win games , never mind about covering .