Posted Monday, November 11, 2013 02:15 AM
Up 28 - 6 9 minutes left 3 Quarter, San Diego not scoring , yet Manning is still throwing every down and getting hit , it don't make any sense , couldn't they just run and maybe punt why do they have to try to score on every possession ?
I know what you over players want, but if your the coach of Denver or Manning himself , what the hell are you thinking about ? no way he lasts the season or is healthy in the playoffs .
Forget the stupid Records if your up more than 3 TD'S , consider running the ball using the clock and punting , that could save your MVP QB , your season and any Super Bowl hopes .
But i see no evidence of this , and to me it's really stupid , I recall how Manning looked throwing the ball in that championship game in the 2nd half couldn't throw it more than 10 yd's if Manning keeps playing these games like he has been he's history , he will never hold up .
Anyone who has Denver in any Futures , sorry but i see no Value in it . cash in on the regular season , cause it won't last.
Posted Sunday, October 20, 2013 02:48 AM
ATLANTA - 6
ST LOUIS + 7
Now at 8-2 ATS so far playing against the teams that will be playing on Thursday Night , the 2 loses came in the same week when both Cleveland and Buffalo won.
I've been posting this very simple system yet i'm amazed that people that are involved in these games taking either Carolina or Tampa ,are completely unaware or don't care that teams they are wagering on will be playing in 4 days ,
But you can bet the players and the coaches of these teams are aware , and it does affect how they perform or coach on the Sunday before the Thursday Night game.
Right now at 80%, don't know if we can expect this % to stand up, but it will be a profitable , if you stick with it .
Thursday night Carolina at Tampa
Posted Sunday, October 13, 2013 07:12 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -10
Going into this week the system of going against the Teams playing on Thursday Night is 6-2 ATS , we will stick with it threw the year ,even if i have to hold my nose playing some of these teams . this is not my typical best bets post i have played other games but will stick with this system at the end of the year it will be a winning percentage.
This week i think there is value with both these plays I think the line makers have over adjusted the Seattle line , i know they have won SU and covered ATS at home for two years ,
But 13.5 vs a good team like the Titans when you add in the Thursday Night Trend, i like it . , Seattle's modus operandi will be win the game don't get hurt , and save something in the tank for Thursday , Seattle's not a great road team won't be a gimme in Arizona .
49ers are do for a breakout game ,this should be it , Arizona can't score Palmer has been brutal , makes a few plays but usually ends up throwing picks or getting sacked , not all his fault, horrible offensive line and no running game .
Arizona defense has played well , but with a Thursday night home game with Seattle looming , this will be a 49ers day .
Posted Sunday, October 06, 2013 12:45 AM
PHILADELPHIA + 2
NEW ORLEANS - 1
These two plays will be equal and larger plays then normal , I Like these two bets on their own merits because i think i have the better team in both games .
I also like these two bets cause the Giants and Bears will be playing each other on Thursday Night , To play a game on Sunday and have to play 4 days later is insane , and we are starting to hear bitching about it ,
Next year i'm sure the teams that are coming on the bye week will be playing these Thursday Night games, but until that time i think it something to pay attention to and take advantage of especially if you like the side that won't be playing on Thursday Night , it should make it a stronger play for you .
On these teams i'm not in love with the Eagles but until the Giants can show that they can be at least competitive in a game why not go against them getting points
When your getting beat and manhandled at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball , you can't run the Ball or protect the QB you have no chance . I'm surprised anyone would put money on this team .
New Orleans looks good to me , and I always like Brees as a competitor you never going a half a s s effort out of him , Like a Joe Flaco effort
Chicago is an 8-8 team at best , and the post game talk Sunday will be rebounding against the 0-5 Giants on Thursday night . A game they probably feel confident they ... [More]
Posted Thursday, September 19, 2013 04:35 AM
KANSAS CITY + 3.5
Don't be fooled by the media hype of the Eagles , This is the same team that was 4-12 last year
The lost to the Chargers should have told you that , because the Chargers are the same team with or without Norv Turner, its the same team that blows a 3 TD lead or fumbles at the 1 yd line in the end zone, time and time again , it's the same bumbling Chargers team that we all know very well ,
Yet the Chargers managed to fly a cross country to the East play early game on the road , coming off a Monday night game, and win , That should tell you all you need to know about the Eagles. they are the same 4-12 team as last year .
The Eagles won the first two games of the season last year by 1 point in each game, with one of those wins vs Cleveland in the season opener ,
Since then coming into this game with the Chiefs, the Eagles are 3 -13 S U with one of those wins vs Tampa with Foles starting .
Going back to last season, and including the Chargers game this season the Eagles are 0-6 ATS as a favorite
Going back further the Eagles are 6-20-1 ATS at home .
Some will say what about KC record last year ? forget about it, this is a completely different Team with Alex Smith who is a big upgrade and most the most important , with this KC will be a playoff team.
Then you have the coach an... [More]
Posted Sunday, September 08, 2013 04:06 AM
TENNESSEE + 7
Whenever you can get points going against Steelers ,and a touchdown to boot , your a fool not to take . This team has been Mediocre to poor for a few years now .
It was the first year in the Mike Tomlin era that they didn't win a preseason game , and it seemed like they were trying , but looked horrible .
The phony Tomlin intensity act is wearing thin ,with me anyway, the media still loves this guy , with many phrases of Mike Tomlin team this , and a Mike Tomlin team that , and a Mike Tomlin team never does this . but what they have done is absolutely Suck Tomlin is a lightweight as head coaches go , losing to a bad Denver team with Tebow as the QB , after getting his already hurt QB crippled in the last game of the regular season , when the game had no relevance on making the playoffs it only meant who they would play .
Big Ben yea he extends plays , hard to bring down , but he's been on a downward spiral for years now , ever since he got in that trouble , he seems like he's more interested in smiling for the camera talking about his baby, life is beautiful , and wanting to portray this nice guy image , he got his money , has his two Rings that's it with him , his best play is in his past .
Watched Locker in Preseason looked good , played hard made some nice throws , scrambled a few times , looked healthy , and that's someth... [More]
Posted Saturday, August 03, 2013 09:08 PM
Well we start another year with the Media's number one pet Tom Brady, or as i call him Regular season Tom , who only beats up on all the STINK in the league and there is plenty of that .
But this year will be different cause every INT Tommy throws this year will be the receivers fault , and the building blocks for all the excuses are already being constructed and formulated by the Big Cry Baby himself, Number 12 .
For the media, Brady says only good and very Vanilla things about his team.
But Brady's a phony and his body language and actions tell a different story , he plays to the camera's and to the media in games and practice , he threw two picks in practice yesterday and was observed pointing fingers and pouting , it's being reported like poor Tommy.
The truth is this guy is the biggest Fraud perpetrated by the media in the history of sports , they put him in the hall of fame 8 years ago, now they can't go back on that , they have to keep telling us how great he is .
Brady has benefited by playing on a very good team , a better coached and prepared team, in the Stinkiest Division in football, for years .
The fact that the playoff structure in the NFL( in the pats case) requires only 2 home wins to be in the super bowl , its just not that tough when you really think about it .
Its not a big deal when you play in the AFC east and you win the Division every ye... [More]
Posted Tuesday, January 15, 2013 03:30 PM
If you like the 49ers and will be betting them in the Super Bowl why wait , you'll never get this value.
Max some places is 500.00 if you have multiple books your all set .
The Future Super bowl line has the Patriot's +110 this is because they are at home as a 8-10 point favorite, and the 49ers are on the Road so the perception is the Pats have an easier road to the Super Bowl thus their +110, and the 49ers +190
The way i see this weekend going is the 49ers win convincingly , and i think the Pats Ravens game is up for grabs .
If its Pats 49ers , it will depend on how decisively each team is in their games on Sunday , I don't understand how the Pats could be favored here, but they are a public team and the projection is the Pats will open as a small favorite.
whoever ends up favorite here it will be -120 +115 either way , or in that ball park.
if its Ravens 49ers your looking at 49ers anywhere from -260 to -340 , once again depending on how these teams play on sunday .
This post is not for anyone who likes Atlanta , New England or Baltimore , so your comments are not needed . i'm sure will get them anyway
if you like Frisco the time to bet is now for the value .
Posted Saturday, January 12, 2013 11:04 AM
DENVER - 9
This will be easy picking's for Peyton going against an old slow defense in altitude unlike Indy he know's how to attack weaknesses ,
Don't be fooled by last week's score , Indy moved the up and down the field and stopped themselves with poor play calling and receivers with alligator arms .
ATLANTA - 1 -120 played early
To have any chance in this one Seattle should have stayed on the east coast this week, traveling cross country BB weeks playing a rested team equals a loss . especially when your facing a team with such a strong home field advantage as Atlanta .
Put that with how Seattle has played on the road this year , and how they looked last week against a QB with one leg . can't see Atlanta doing anything but winning here .
HOUSTON + 9.5
Patriots 1-8 ATS last 9 post season games, the one time they covered was against last years Denver team with Tim Tebow, really not a legit playoff team .
Houston has a chance here to win SU if this is a competitive game, being the front runner that Brady is look for him to Gag and choke as usual .
The Texans had all the pressure on them last week to win now they are expected to lose, maybe the Texan team that some people thought was the best in the NFL shows up tomorrow .
No action on Green Bay + 49ers lean 49ers ... [More]
Posted Sunday, January 06, 2013 02:41 AM
I think anytime you can get +7 points vs the Ravens it's great value
The way John Harbaugh coaches a game with a lead he plays it conservative not to lose the game rather than win, this guy blows more leads .
I think Harbaugh's a stiff as a coach . Last years championship game at New England , Ravens outplayed the Patriots Brady sucked , they had the Pats on the ropes, but Harbaugh choked , then his team choked , afraid to attempt to win , played for tie and ended up losing . this is how this guy coaches he's a loser
Joe Flaco will someone give this guy a boot in the ass
I never have see a QB look and play more Lethargic than this guy.
The only time he plays with any urgency is if their down points on a last drive , other than that , look at his body language, he's content to go three and out and punt.
This year has been Flacos worst, he has digressed as a QB.
Ray Lewis the only factor this guy will be in this game is a motivational speaker before the game , but once the game starts and he's on the field , i think he will be a non factor and most likely a liability .
I watched Lewis before his injury he could still hit hard but most of the time when teams ran right at him he would either get blocked out o... [More]
Posted Saturday, January 05, 2013 12:54 PM
HOUSTON - 4
Biggest Frauds in the playoffs are the Bengals all smoke and mirrors here watched all their recent games and they basically lucked out by playing either bad teams or catching teams at the right time .
Final Scores and results don't really always tell the story , take the Bengals 34-13 win vs philly in that game it was 13-10 philly going into the 4th quarter before the eagles just imploded with 6 turnovers basically all unforced in the span of 3 minutes .
Before those turnovers philly dominated on both sides of the ball at the line , Dalton was sacked 6 times and went 13-27 for 92 yd's he was horrible ,
The Eagles defense was bad this year , and if they can do what they did which was basically manhandle the Bengal's O line and get 6 sacks , What should Houston be able to do today with Watt ?
Now people are saying that the Bengals have a good defense , that's not true , their positive stats on defense are only because of the teams they faced ,
The Bengals Defense really stinks but when you face KC, Oakland Pitts and a Philly team who actually moved the ball very well except for the 6 turnovers would have won that game .
Also as bad as pitt was this year , if Charlie Batch played Pitts would have won and the Bengal would be out . Big Ben Sucked big time
Dalton has been horrible th... [More]
Posted Sunday, December 30, 2012 06:01 AM
EAGLES + 7
Saw video of the Giants practice this week in doors, they were nice and cozy and all smiles, even though the last two weeks they have been out scored 67-14 in their last two games.and blew any real chance for the playoffs but they could care less , they already checked out , their bags and minds are packed heading for a warm sunny climate .
Tom Coughlin is starting to look old and confused on the side lines completely clueless , time for him to call it a day .
Nicks didn't catch a ball last week , first time in his career he's running on one leg . Eli seems like he would rather throw to the other team anyway .
Andy Reed and his eagles have beaten the Giants 8 out of the last 10 , this will be Andy's last game as eagles coach .
his players seem to like him although they haven't been good this year, they will play hard today they almost came back and beat the Redskins last week . they would enjoy eliminating any playoff chances for the Giants just like they did a few years back .
I would rather Foles be going today , but as it turned out Vick gets to play , and he's excited to get the chance , he's been off now since Nov 11 , he was really beat up back then .
Now healthy , hopefully Vick will do what he does best which is RUN , there's not game after this , no reason to save himself or hold back .
Posted Sunday, December 16, 2012 12:25 AM
GREEN BAY - 2.5
I know this, cutler coming off that concussion a couple of games ago, has been beat up since, he took a vicious hit last week to the head and injured his neck
With that offensive line and the fact he's been getting killed don't be surprised if he don't finish this game, quits , or just plays like he Quit
Not to mention the bears defense without Urlacher has not been the same, and with the offense not moving the ball they spend most on the day on the field they are a beat up tired defense.
.Green Bay has dominated this series, why should it change today with all these factors .
The falcons who are on my fade list will have to wait , because today they play a stinky stupid Giant's team that just can't wait to lose .
,The difference between P Manning and Eli is, when Peyton throws a pick you can see him on the sideline fuming mad waiting to get back on the field to make up for it .
When Eli throws one it's like oh shucks these things happen he usually comes back in and throws another one or two or fumbles.
The Giants are a sloppy lazy bad team and will not be in the playoff picture this year .
PITTSBURGH - 1.5
Not a very good Steelers team here , but good enough to beat these stiffs , the only reason Dallas won last week, after being down to a horrible... [More]