MYSTICRICH's Blog

The Super Bowl wager now!

By MYSTICRICH | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, January 15, 2013 03:30 PM   17 comments
49ers  +190  

If you like the 49ers  and will be betting them in the Super Bowl why wait , you'll never get this value.

 Max some places is 500.00 if you have multiple books your all set .



The Future Super bowl line has the Patriot's +110  this is because they are at home as a 8-10 point favorite, and the 49ers are on the Road so the perception is the Pats have an easier road to the Super Bowl  thus their +110,  and the 49ers +190

The way i see this weekend going is the 49ers win convincingly , and  i think the Pats Ravens game is up for grabs . 

If its  Pats  49ers ,  it will depend on how decisively each team is in their games on Sunday  ,  I don't understand how the Pats could be favored here,  but they are a public team and the projection is the Pats will open as a small favorite. 

whoever ends up favorite here it will be -120 +115 either way , or in that ball park.

if its Ravens 49ers  your looking at  49ers anywhere from -260 to -340 , once again depending on how these teams play on sunday . 


This post is not for anyone who likes Atlanta , New England or Baltimore , so your comments are not needed . i'm sure will get them anyway

if you like Frisco the time to bet is now for the value .






17 comments
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vanzack says:
01/15/13 03:36PM

Well, the SB lines (as of now) are:

NE -2 SF -140
SF -3.5 Balt -185

Im not disagreeing with you liking the 49ers (or agreeing), Im just stating that your assumption of the SB ML's are off.

 

MYSTICRICH says:
01/15/13 03:49PM
I don't know where your getting this,  or what your  actually saying you have new england -2 and 49ers -140 ? 


of course my forecast  is based on the fact that i see the 49ers winning easy Sunday  and the other game could go either way ,  so any lines out their right now you can throw out.

  
 I'm not predicting ML  , +190 is out there now to take ,  you will never see anything close to 49ers +190 after Sunday  , so if you like them,  bet it now , that's the post 







vanzack says:
01/15/13 03:58PM

Well, Im getting it from the real bettable lines - which are widely available.  If you are American, you can see it on 5dimes.

GL with your 49ers bet.

_keyser_soze_ says:
01/15/13 03:59PM
Not a bad bet.  FYI it's +200 at one of my books, and +201 at the other.  (Intertops and Pinny).
Europa says:
01/15/13 04:00PM
i got SF to win SB XLVII at +205 which is roughly a -200/+105 parlay. Fair value if SF play NE as +105. And under value if SF should face BAL in SB at -200/-185 parlay.  
THEBEAST387 says:
01/15/13 04:18PM
Good luck Rich!
Metallica2467 says:
01/15/13 04:26PM
Best of luck Bro
garretdoherty says:
01/16/13 08:34AM
9ers were 7s last week on betfair
Keys44 says:
01/16/13 05:34PM
If you love them so much this weekend, why not just pound them against Atlanta?

You're making it more difficult than it should be. Why place a bet where you have to win twice just to get +190 when you've already made it clear that this weekends game will be easy. Take the easy money!

donk says:
01/16/13 11:54PM
line drop to +170......It is a GREAT bet to make......SF will be in the Superbowl...and don't be surprise the Ravins win on Sunday .....thanks....I am in!
Ice4Blood says:
01/17/13 03:43PM
i don't disagree with the bet, in principle... SF beating NE the way they did in NE was no fluke... SF is the better, more physical football team, and if the two meet in the SB, i would give the edge to SF... HOWEVER, if they do meet in the SB, regardless of what happens this weekend, NE is almost certainly going to be favored... public isn't going to favor a team with CK as a QB over a team with Brady and Bellicheck... NE will be favored... so that is one premise you need to clarify...

where the value lies in this bet is if Baltimore wins, largely... and also in the fact that SF probably has a more favorable matchup this week than the Pats... despite the fact that the Pats are favored by more points than SF...

personally, i just plan on waiting until the line comes out and betting on SF at whatever spread and ML... they're the best team remaining, and they seem very focused...

Guy_2U says:
01/17/13 09:47PM
NFL Super Bowl XLVII

Sun 1/20 3:00PM

Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, Louisiana

New England Patriots +100

San Francisco 49ers +185

Atlanta Falcons +610

Baltimore Ravens +880

forty9ersfan80 says:
01/19/13 11:36AM
got them at +1000 in august. i absolutely pounded them on the ml this week at -180
bulichm says:
01/19/13 02:39PM
SF beats NE +314@5d
Parlayed says:
01/20/13 12:39PM
Def. some nice hedge / middle possibilities here, whoever you like.
muchomojo says:
01/21/13 05:31AM
forty9ersfan80 says:
01/24/13 08:54PM
superbowl sf -3 450 for 321
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