MYSTICRICH's Blog

NFL important thing to consider for week 9

By MYSTICRICH | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, November 03, 2011 11:06 AM   26 comments
This will be the first Sunday that we have two teams that will play on Sunday and come back 4 days later on thursday night .

For years we have heard about how teams hate playing on monday night and coming back 6 days later  , so how can coming back 4 days later not be a big thing .

i think its a big thing physically to come back on 4 days , i think  being dinged up and sore   from sunday and having to play thursday night is hard .

but forget about thursday night for now .  im thinking of what happens the  Sunday before the thursday night  game with these teams ..

 i think its a big thing on their minds both players and coaches on how they approach the sunday game and how its played 

I don't think the players play as hard , i dont think they go all out ,  and i think their mind is looking ahead to thursday its  the only game everyone's watching , can't look bad on thursday  i think they hate it . i think it affects how they play on sunday .

the two teams that will play the first thursday will be sandiego who is coming off a monday night game hosting green bay and oakland hosting denver .

if the game don't start out too well for the chargers vs Greenbay .. will they think lets save ourselves for a sure win with  Oakland 

 How good will Carson Palmer be ? who i think is a stiff anyway . not playing no training then 2 games in 4 days .



i wish i had the stats ATS of the teams on the Sunday game before the thursday i don't have the time to look all these games up since they started this thurday night thing but it would be interesting 

i think last year there were 2 teams that played on sunday both over a TD fav and both  lost SU  . 

anyway its something to look at and think about when your capping these games . 










26 comments
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PrimeTimeBoys says:
11/03/11 04:38PM
Hmm....let me see if i can find any stats like you're talking about & will report back...........
PrimeTimeBoys says:
11/03/11 04:48PM
Here is a pre-Thursday system I found:

Play on a non-division home dog off a SU loss...............12-3 ATS since 1989, thats 80% & it means to take the Chargers & I already bet the Packers.................
PrimeTimeBoys says:
11/03/11 06:37PM
I was also thinking that both of these teams will have the same record going into Thursday nights game, hence they both lose SU or both win SU.
MYSTICRICH says:
11/03/11 08:12PM
im just focusing on this Sunday to Thursday thing its amazing with all the meaningless trends people look at no one thought to look at this or has this info .

me myself i would never bet a team on sunday that was playing on thursday  the only play would be to bet against  these teams 

now this week the teams to bet if your going with this trend would be green bay and denver 

with green bay it hasn't been a good trend betting teams off the bye week this would be  laying points on the road also . i would really like this play if green bay was not coming off the bye week ..the new contract agreement gave the players 4 days off in the bye week .i think we are seeing the results of this 

Denver is a horrible team... but thinking of Carson Palmer and what a stiff this guy is its tempting taking 9 points .lot of people dont realize how well Jason Campell actually was playing  the past 2 years for the Raiders. 




PackFan12 says:
11/03/11 08:26PM


Take a better look at this. Fav's off a bye have done just fine. 
MYSTICRICH says:
11/03/11 08:53PM
 i dont know pac fan... both giants and pats last week both fav  lost. .....
 so far this year NFL  teams coming off a bye 7-10-1 ATS 
PackFan12 says:
11/03/11 09:12PM
Both the Giants and the pats?? LOL

Two most over-rated teams off they bye last week. NE has Brady and Welker, thats about it. Pretty hard to go on the road and beat PIT when you have no D. 

The top two teams off the bye last week were PHI and BUF. Both got dominating wins. 


PackFan12 says:
11/03/11 09:18PM
And last week fav's off a bye were 4-2 ATS

You only mentioned the two losers; NE and NYG

PHI, BUF, CIN, SF all won and covered. 

I can see the GB game playing out more like the PHI v DAL game, rather than the NE v PIT game. 

Either way BOL 
MYSTICRICH says:
11/03/11 09:26PM
i love Aron Rogers but the green bay defense plays poor and sloppy careless and alot of times  down to the level of who ever they play .  
BigSquirrel_7 says:
11/03/11 09:33PM
Good point. I missed that... 4 days off is tough indeed.

Oakland needs this one against Denver cuz they may not be able to handle San Diego especially if McFadden stays out / Palmer still rusty.


Glad I have Green Bay (+1 to -3) & Oakland (-1).

Denver's a trainwreck.
MYSTICRICH says:
11/03/11 10:10PM
i agree denvers looks bad.... but they came on at the end in sandiego with tebow in that  29-24 loss .......

.maybe denver plays up tight at home and better on the road

 ....then there is the Carson Palmer factor i think he's going to suck big time ,

 as bad as they look im looking at taking the 9 with DENVER in this one .

GL    
SharpCheddar says:
11/03/11 10:42PM
Teams playing their next game on 3 days rest (Thursdays) are 83-79-3 ATS since 2007. Not a good trend.

But I like your Denver and San Diego picks.
popopants says:
11/03/11 11:11PM
Mystic - I eye-balled the last couple of year's results for Sunday teams that played that immediate Thursday - honestly didnt notice a trend here that stuck out--- 

It will still be one of many factors that I'll consider while putting together my card this week---

Thx
PackFan12 says:
11/03/11 11:52PM

Can you find the record of teams playing their next game on 3 days rest AND their previous game on Mon. night? 
MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 12:11AM


both teams are playing on three days rest   so there is no advantage or disadvantage they are playing each other   lol

its the sunday before the thursday  would like to know the ATS for those teams .
MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 12:23AM
i didnt say i like sandiego  

 i did say i would never bet a team that's playing on sunday that will be playing on thursday night .i will only bet agaginst these teams 


i dont like green bay in this spot cause i dont trust their defense . i wont play this game 
 
i do like denver with the points 

SharpCheddar says:
11/04/11 12:51AM
5-3 ATS and SU since 1990. 

Doesn't happen much obviously but the Pack are in this same situation in a couple weeks. Vikings Monday, Bucs Sunday, Thanksgiving.
SharpCheddar says:
11/04/11 12:56AM
Those numbers are for the Sunday before the Thursday. 83-79 ATS.
MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 01:25AM
really ok thanks
MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 01:33AM
 where did you find them sharp cheddar ?  if those are accurate  kinda suprised  shoots down my theory , thought there would be an edge here 

 still ill l only go against the teams that are playing on sunday 



thanks 
SharpCheddar says:
11/04/11 02:27AM
Home dogs in the Chargers situation are 22-11 ATS. I use sportsdatabase.com. It took me a while to figure out how to use it, but its a great site.

MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 04:36AM

 i watched a lot of green bay games the last three years Aron Rogers comes to play ever week,  but the green bay defense is something else.. anything more than a field goal on the road vs a decent team  is shaky , .didnt cover vs carolina or minnesota   and don;t know what to expect coming off a bye ......not playing the game 

with Denver i hear you but like i said before this team might be more uptight playing at home they wont be as bad as last week,   this is a good spot for them to be competitive in this game 

. oakland beat denver 23-20 2nd week of the season that was with jason campell who was a big key to the raiders being respectable the last 2 years now

 Now  this stiff Carson Palmer coming in the presure is on him and he's going to suck i know it take the 9  

Yea Denver did look bad but don't forget this team got shut out 28-0 at home to KC.... you feel comfortable laying 9 here ?

take the points!





MYSTICRICH says:
11/04/11 04:41AM
thks sharp chedar  ill check this data base out 
jhn_doan40 says:
11/06/11 01:18AM
mystic, what do u think about OVER/UNDER of GB game?
jhn_doan40 says:
11/06/11 01:21AM

even though u don't like GB, but i'm thinking if GB doesn't have a good defense then i'm sure both teams can score, what do u think?

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