Mack05's Blog

Posted Monday, November 22, 2010 04:07 PM

My Biggest Boxing Play of the year (Arthur Abraham v Carl Froch)

The fight I have been waiting for all year is nearly upon us. Indeed this Saturday nights boxing could be the best night of boxing this year with Katsidis v Marquez taking place in Vegas. Marquez is in a different league to Katsidis as a fighter BUT he is not the same fighter he was 4 or 5 years ago and Katsidis's pressure style could pose him problems. Still as tempted as I am to play the underdog, I think Marquez's class tells in the end and he wins either by late stoppage or UD. I will be playing the over 9.5 rounds in this fight.

Now onto business. Arthur Abraham @ near evens is one of the best bets I have seen in some time. The fight will take place in Finland, and Sauerland are promoting the fight. IF this fight goes to points and I sincerely doubt it will, then it will be extremely difficult for Froch to get a decision. For that reason alone I am amazed AA is not -200. If this goes to the cards, Froch aint winning (ala Kessler in Denmark).

Stylewise, I think Froch is perfect for Abraham. He leaves his head out there to be hit and that is a recipe for disaster against Abraham. Froch has a good chin, but realistically who has he fought that has a murderous punch? AA has sick power in both hands and while I don't think he will KO Froch early, I think eventually his power will wear Froch down and he will get a brutal late KO.

I know some people think Froch can box on the outside against Abraham. I am not buying that for a second. Andre Dir... [More]

Posted Friday, July 02, 2010 09:12 AM

Murray v Nadal: Thoughts and play

I wanted to start a thread on this match where only Tennis is discussed and not name calling. Both sides opinions appreciated and received welcomely. Let's give people information to help them back their picks, so that let them bet who they like.

It's no secret I am big on Nadal and I have bet BIG on the -160. I can't resist it. Just too much value for me. I live in the UK and I see the hysteria and hype that surrounds Murray every year when Wimbledon comes round. It was the same with Tim Henman. The difference is Henman never had the ability Andy Murray has. He outperformed himself at Wimbledon year after year, but he was never good enough to win it.

Grass is probably Murray's second favourite surface, after hard courts. He can play on grass as winning in Queens and making solid improvment year after year in Wimbledon has shown. Still, I have always felt and felt strongly that Andy Murray will never win Wimbledon. The reason's being.

1) It's clear Flushing meadows is his favourite to play and it's abundantly clear he hates the hype and hysteria he has to deal with every year at Wimbledon. He always looks uncomfortable and by the look of his body language he feels the weight of the world is on his shoulders when he plays at Wimbledon. Rafa on the other hand you know will absolutely relish the atmosphere and indeed thrive on it. Home court advantage in my opinion is a hinderance here to Murray.

2) I don't think his game... [More]

Posted Thursday, April 08, 2010 03:02 PM

Fight Camp 360 - Super Six

Guys I'm sure most of you have seen these but they really are a cracking watch. Episode 5 Just uploaded. Everybit as good as HBO 24/7. Great job by Showtime..This is living up to all the hype..

http://sports.sho.com/fight-camp-360.html 

 



Posted Friday, March 12, 2010 12:45 PM

Junior Welterweight - Super 6/8 An Impossible dream??

I hope and pray HBO can pull of a similiar super 6 tourney in this division. I think Pacquaio and Mayweather have one more fight after there respective bouts against Clottey and Mosley respectively. Hopefully that last fight is against each other.

The 140 division is choc full of talent but no fighter in the 140 division is a big enough name to get a super fight with Pacquaio or Mayweather. The best way to get thee name at 140 is to have a super 6 style tournament or even a possibly 8 man tournament. I was thinking 1) Khan 2) Bradley 3) Alexander 4) Ortiz/Campbell winner 5) Maidana 6) Valero 7) Kevin Mitchell/Kastidis winner 8) Mallinaggi (if his fight with Khan is close)...

I realise Mitchell and Valero would have to come up 5 pounds and that Locations are a problem with Valero but could you imagine..Group A maybe Khan, Valero, Ortiz, Alexander. Group B Bradley, Maidana, Mallinaggi, Mitchell...

One can dream..But if such a tourney was to take place the winner automatically goes into the P4P rankings



Posted Tuesday, March 09, 2010 11:39 AM

Manny Pacquaio v Joshua Clottley

Firstly I can't see how Manny can Lose this fight 99/100 times. I think Clottley is tailor made for him. Clottley will keep coming forward and Pacman will use his speed to pick the guy off at will. The Visa issue with his coach is a mess and his training camp has not looked impressive to me on what I have seen. He doesn't look like a guy who believes he can beat Pacquaio. The Odds makers agree and getting involved in the Manny SU win has absolutely no value.

I will be playing 2 plays. 1) The over 9.5 @ -175ish and 2) Manny on points @ + 175ish. While I expect Clottley to take a serious beating, I think Manny will have to be at his very best to KO this guy. The man is from one of the hardest parts in Africa and I don't think I have ever seen him in serious trouble. He had No problems handling Cotto's power (flash knockdown aside) and only Clottley and his team know how he lost that fight. He went to sleep (for reasons I still don't uderstand) in rounds 6, 11 and 12 and this cost him the fight.

I see a similiar outcome to the Pacman v Cotto fight. The over hits and maybe Manny gets the very late stoppage. I wouldn't discourage anyone from playing the Manny victory between rounds 10-12 at +400.

Am I confident in these picks? Not overly no. In truth if Clottley isn't phased by the whole occasion then the over will hit. He is teak tough. However considering the training camp problems, the fact he is fighting in a stadium ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 12, 2010 09:23 AM

Mayweather v Pacquaio My Take

Firstly, I would like to apologise to covers followers about my Diaz pick. Its the first time in a longtime I lost a big bet and I promise in future to tone down the arrogance. I guess I needed that loss to get my head back into normal shape..For people that lost tailing me I sincerely apologise. Just goes to show no bet is ever a certainity, no matter who much study you put into it or how much you believe in yourself.

Anyway to the matter at hand. I am quite frankly surprised and amazed how many negative comments are coming about Manny Pacquaio about the randon drug testing on every boxing forum. It seems Mayweather has achieved exactly what he wanted..He gets out of fighting Manny Pacquaio and has the boxing community split 50/50 in doing so.

Mayweather apparently balked at a compromise over the stringent drug-testing requirements his camp insisted upon. I completely agree with Bob Arum who said. "I've been saying this for years: He's a psychological coward who doesn't want to fight anybody who has a chance of beating him,"  -> http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=39&sub=100541078 

Now I got the reasons wrong I admit that, but I always felt floyd Mayweather never wanted this fight. I agree fully with this poster here on Eastboxing on the whole random drug testing issue -> http://www.eastsideboxing.com/news.php?p=22410&more=1 

I personally do not believe Manny Pacquaio has ever t... [More]

Posted Friday, December 11, 2009 12:20 PM

Christmas Present for Covers Followers

Guys Its xmas season time for parties and so forth so I won't be around much. Just like to wish everyone on this site and their families a Merry Christmas and a happy new year.

I would like yo give you all an early Christmas present. Bet Big on Diaz to beat Malinaggi. People are over thinking this fight. Paulie got robbed blah blah blah. I don't think Diaz was motivated for the last fight. He was the hometown fighter, BIG favourite with the bookies (-800). I actually liked Paulie in the first fight. Felt he was great value at +450 (I didn't play more on that below), for the reason there is not a huge amount of difference between the fighters in terms of ability. Diaz is a tough guy to get motivated at the best of times and in that first fight I saw some value in PM for that very reason.

When I saw the rematch and the price of -125 for Diaz, I said yes please MR Bookman. I have, never could, never will bet on Paulie Mallinaggi and people that do so must be insane. The guy is an idiot and the thoughts of a fool like that slapping my money down the drain, not a chance I ever bet him, no matter how great value I ever thought he was. People that back boxers like Jermain Taylor and Paulie Mallinggi really need their heads examined.

Diaz isnt a whole lot better proposition but he is a better proposition. I think Diaz knows he is in last chance saloon here. Lose this and its over. I expect to see the Diaz we saw in rounds 1-6 against Marquez. Beau... [More]

Posted Monday, July 06, 2009 01:29 PM

Vitali Klitschko v David Haye September 12.

Thank you God! This is a bettors dream. I like David Haye, I think he is better then people think and I thought he had a decent chance against Wlad Klitschko because Wlad is scared of his own shadow. Vitali Klitschko getting older and has not been active much. I should take David Haye right!?   Wrong..This is a peach of a fight and for the reasons above we should get decent odds to back Vitali..My advice to my followers is POUND HARD Vitali as soon as the line comes out. This is my favourite fight of the year so far. Vitali wins this never getting out of 3rd gear. I love my Khan pick but I prefer this so if you want to hold off please do so.. 5 star pick. Vitali to win. Buy me a beer after   "David Haye is close to signing for a fight against WBC heavyweight champion Vitali Klitschko on September 12.

Haye was forced to withdraw from his battle in Gelsenkirchen against IBF and WBO title holder Wladimir Klitschko after suffering a back injury two weeks before the June 20 bout.

However, he has declared himself fit and is ready to take on either of the brothers with a September date already being mooted.

But with Wladimir facing a mandatory defence of his IBF title against Alexander Povetkin and Vitali free to fight whoever he pleases after fulfilling his obligations with a victory over Juan Carlos Gomez earlier this year, the elder of the two is now firmly in the frame.

[More]

Posted Thursday, June 18, 2009 01:09 PM

Klitschko vs. Chagaev writeup

Being one of very few David Haye fans, I let out a sad groan when David Haye pulled out of his scheduled June 20 IBF and WBO heavyweight title bid against Wladimir Klitschko with a back problem the other week.

It was Haye's big chance to realise his boyhood dream and thousands of fans, me included, were set to invade Germany and cheer on 'The Hayemaker' as he bid to become a world superstar.

Haye's loss though is Ruslan Chagaev's gain however with the unbeaten Uzbek now taking on Klitschko at the Veltis Arena in Gelsenkirchen.

As replacements go Chagaev was just about the best out there. The 30-year-old was a two-time world amateur champion (who beat legendary Cuban Felix Savon in the vest) and as a pro he has racked up 25 straight wins.

He is also WBA world champion and has made two defences of that crown since winning it in 2007.

Chagaev has come in at late notice but should still be ready to roll after his own fight against Nikolay Valuev was pulled on medical grounds just a few weeks ago.

Chagaev is technically very correct as you might expect from such a seasoned amateur and he also looks to have a decent chin at this level.

He's been in with big men such as Valuev, Vladimir Virches, and John Ruiz and none of those men could make an impression on his whiskers.

And having not lost as a pro (he turned over in 1997) he should be full of ambition and see this as his big chance to make a name ... [More]

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