Maddiesdad's Blog

Posted Wednesday, July 11, 2012 10:06 AM

In-depth Basketball/Footbal recruit profiles (free)

Looking for your Basketball/Football recruiting fix? I've worked with and profiled many of the top recruits on the West coast and have recently branched out to include recruits from across the country.

The site is 100% free.

SoCal Recruit Spot

Posted Wednesday, March 07, 2012 11:26 AM

Excel picks

Rice vs. East Carolina

DefFloor% : Rice (.459)  E Carolina (.476)

OffFloor% : Rice (.471)  E Carolina (.460)

OffTO% : Rice (.187)  E Carolina (.198)

Rice -1

Posted Tuesday, March 06, 2012 05:04 PM

Excel picks (Tuesday)

Detroit vs Valpo

.175 .217 .951

I expect Detroit's D to carry this one and lead to the mild upset.

Detroit +2

Posted Friday, February 24, 2012 06:19 PM

Excel pick (Friday)

Marquette @ West Virginia (Over/Under 142.5)

These two could top out a regulation game in the (73-75) Possession range. WVU carries in (1.05+) PPP and Marquette holds an efficient (1.05). I will be very surprised to see this one not cross the (150) threshold.

OVER 142.5

Posted record (9-7)

Posted Wednesday, February 22, 2012 04:08 PM

Excel picks

Picks are generated from an Excel spreadsheet which tracks/compares stats across 30+ categories and projects match-up results.

Dayton @ Duquesne (Over/Under 148.5)

This should should be an up and down the court Offensive slug-fest. Duquesne comes in averaging (73.9) Poss Per Game and (1.05) PPP. Dayton enters the game at (68.8) Poss Per Game and (1.03) PPP. Expect to see each team end with (72-74) Poss and at that pace will only need to average (1.01) PPP to cover the (148.5).

OVER 148.5

Posted Monday, February 20, 2012 05:21 PM

NBA Capping Spreadsheet

I've put together an Excel spreadsheet geared towards tracking NBA stats and projecting match-up results. Here' the first round of posted picks:

New Jersey @ New York (NY -7.5)

New York (100)  New Jersey (90)

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City (OKC -11)

Oklahoma City (102)  New Orleans (87)

Posted Wednesday, February 08, 2012 05:57 PM

Wednesday's Excel data (corrected)

Issue has been corrected. Click on the link (below), click on "Maddie's Excel Picks", and then hit the "Download" button (top right). The file can then be Opened via Internet Explorer.

The (3) highlighted games are:

Buffalo @ Central Michigan
Missouri St. @ Southern Illinois
Drexel @ James Madison

Posted Wednesday, February 08, 2012 04:26 PM

Wednesday's Excel data

Trying out a new process. I'm going to publish (via the link listed below) 3 full game breakdowns as processed by my Excel worksheet. Should be a simple process. Click the link, download the file, and open with Internet Explorer. Let me know if you run into issues.

Posted Tuesday, February 07, 2012 10:40 AM

Tuesday Excel picks

Creighton (-5.5) at Evansville

Creighton (89) Evansville (78)

Key stats:

Creighton carries the higher PPP (1.16 vs 1.04), allows fewer PPP (.973 vs 1.07), and has played a slightly tougher schedule (.529 vs .520). The Bluejays also hold a significant Total Rebounding advantage (.547 vs .463).

Posted Tuesday, January 31, 2012 04:16 PM

Excel picks

Someone decided to cry to Covers regarding thread content, so I'll make sure this is strictly pick-based....

Tuesday projection:

Michigan St (72) Illinois (62)

Michigan St (-2)

Keys stats :

MSU True Shooting % Off/Def (.566/.474)
ILL True Shooting % Off/Def (.537/.504)

Posted Thursday, January 26, 2012 05:46 PM

College Basketball Excel workbook

I've followed Sports Betting for 7-10 years and worked with Excel for 10-12. Finally smartened up, and decided to combine the two and create a spreadsheet designed to organize, calculate, and display stats for college basketball teams. To take it a step further I added a predictive element aimed towards projecting points for each side and the total overall. Stats tracked include:

True Shooting - Off/Def

Effective Shooting - Off/Def

Possessions per Game w/expected Possessions for match-up

Rebound % - Off/Def/Total

Extra Scoring Chances (per game)

Four Factors

Strength of Schedule, and many more

If you're interested in securing the spreadsheet, please send me a message and I'll send you the details. Even if you choose not to make sure of the predictive feature, this is a valuable tool for anyone looking to display multiple match-ups in a single, easy to read, screen.


User: Maddiesdad
Joined: December 2011
Location: California
Team: San Diego St. Aztecs

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