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Predicting spreads pre-season is never easy, and I will admit to be surprised by several.
SU +6.5 
UTEP -6
UAB -5
Illinois - 6.5
I don't see anything as preposterously easy as "Nevada -17 vs. Grambling" or "Houston -19 vs. Southern" was last year in Week One (5Dimes should simply have credited my account the instant I placed those wagers  ) , but perhaps we'll get a goofy game or two like that yet. Mississippi State/Jackson, USM/Alcorn, Southern/UL-L, and MVSU/Arky State are possibilities, though none of them are guaranteed to score 38+ like Nevada and UH were last year. Anyway, on to the spreads that actually exist at the moment:
Baylor +1 at Wake - I think we'll look back at this on in October and laugh that the Bears were catching points here. (Like Ok. State only laying 7.5 at Wazzou last year  ). Robert Griffin is basically "Tyrelle Pryor," except with better numbers and a worse press agent.
North Texas State +19.5 at Ball State - two teams that should be heading in decidedly different directions this year. Might take a glance at the ML.
Tulsa -14 at Tulane - was planning on taking the Wave in this one, but then the line came out a TD light, and I took another look at Tulane's returning team. No way the Wave slows down that video game offense in the Dome, and no way they score enough to keep up.
Eastern Michigan -5 vs. Army - Eastern should be way better than it was last year (um, decade). Army shouldn't.
San Diego State +18 at UCLA - First, UCLA has to score 19 points.... Not sure you'll even need a "Second,..."
Kentucky -13.5 vs. Mother Miami (at Cincy) - Looks about a TD light to me, and I probably would have played it at 20 too.
UTEP -5.5 vs. Buffalo - was thinking this would be more like 1, but since there should be about 75 points scored, I'm hoping it won't matter.
Miami +5 at Free Shoes U. - not sold on either of these two, but I think the Canes defense should have its way here.
Maybes:
Toledo +13 (hook) at Purdue - not sure how the Boilers would fare in the MAC this year.
TAMU -14 vs. New Mexico - I think the Aggies will be much better than they were, but they won't get many chance to show it. Lobos are always better than I think they'll be, but I think they've got a chance to be seriously bad this year.
Also looking for NMSU/Idaho to go over 4,361. |