MaineRoad's Blog

Weeek Ten - The Feast of St. Dominator

By MaineRoad | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, November 05, 2009 02:09 PM   49 comments

November 5 actually is the Feast of St. Dominator.  I'm not making that up. http://www.catholic.org/saints/saint.php?saint_id=2921 Now, you would think with a name like St. Dominator, he'd be a pretty famous saint.  St. Boneventure got a whole A-10 school named for him.  St. Dominator didn't get squat.  Life is fickle.

This year has been fickle too.  Lots of unlikely late covers, and lots of public plays hitting. 

5-5 last week brings it to 43-37-2 for the year.  I'm probably lucky to be there.  This year has been a slog.   Slogging along:

Northwestern +16.5 at Iowa - should be an emotional day in Iowa City, as the Hawks retire the numbers of the officiating crew who worked last week's Indiana game.

Southern California -10 at Arizona State - Oregon exposed some of the weaknesses in the Trojan defense; Devils' "offense" should do a nice job of covering them up again.

Houston +1.5 at Tulsa - hats of to the Hurricane for becoming the first team ever to lose to UTEP and SMU in successive weeks; the latter came with some guy the Ponies found in a Chemistry lab playing QB, and throwing for damn near 350; ridiculous reverse line movement public plays usually spell death; this year they spell cash. 

Duke +10 at North Carolina - nutty line of the week; I'm not even sure Duke isn't the better team; lord knows it has the better QB; Devils play these guys tough even when they're terrible, and UNC is one of the worst home favorites of recent vintage.

Oregon State +7.5 at California - when all you have to do is take the better team catching more than a touchdown, this "handicapping" stuff gets really easy.

Alabama-Birmingham -6.5 vs. Florida Atlantic - Rusty Smith, FAU's QB since the late 1970's, is out for the year; his back-up has completed 24 passes, none for touchdowns in an annonymous three-year stint on the bench/beach; the worse news for the Owls is that their starting defense is healthy and expected to play.

Pennsylvania State -3 (hook) vs. The Ohio State University - Bucks don't exactly light it up against average defenses; uh oh. 

Connecticut +17 at Cincinnati - another crazy line; UConn is about four plays away from being undefeated; tough to give away 17 to a team that only allows 20; yeah, UConn might have nothing left in the tank after blowing two games in the final minutes and burrying a team-mate in between, but I'll  take my chances. 

Kent -3 at Arkon - the Battle for the Wheel; I have absolutely no idea who coaches Kent, but he's doing a hell of a job; I do know who coaches Akron, and he's about to be looking for one.

Oregon -6 at Stanford - what, was nobody watching television last Saturday night? Ducks nipped a fair USC team by four touchodwns, eking out 613 yards against a defense that allows about half of that; nobody has been anywhere near Oregon since September; The Farm is pretty good, but have shown a tendency to wear down as games have gone on; not a good recipe against this buzzsaw.

49 comments
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PINNACLE says:
11/05/09 02:18PM

Uconn either wins that game outright or gets completely boat-raced. There will be no in-between. I opt for the latter......just think that team is out of gas.

Cincy probably isn't the team you want to be palying under those circumstances either. Tough spot for the Huskies IMO.

snowjocky says:
11/05/09 02:19PM
Good luck Main
MaineRoad says:
11/05/09 02:24PM

Like I said, I'll take my chances.  I recognize that this might be unpleasant, but with WVU looming on the short week, I'm hoping that the Dogs can hang around.

MaineRoad says:
11/05/09 02:30PM

Thank you Mr. Jockey.  With Wahoos having retired the Smoking Cat, I believe your "Say Hello to My Little Friend" Cat is the current reining feline avatar.

GAM says:
11/05/09 02:38PM


Some of your finer work here Maine
topperchris says:
11/05/09 02:39PM
I like your write ups...good points on those teams..How long have you been doing this????You seem in the month or so I have seriously been on here to be one of the best handicappers.....
MaineRoad says:
11/05/09 02:48PM

I was going to take a pass this week, as it's really too much work for the small number of people who read it.  But then I thought about GAM, and and the other four people who get a kick out of it, and decided to give it a shot.  It's basically nothing more than taking Wahoos' picks and writing snide comments. 

GAM says:
11/05/09 02:52PM



We appreciate it


What happened to OU?
GWarner27 says:
11/05/09 02:55PM
Can't agree with ya on UConn as i think they're really gonna miss Jazz against the heavy passing attack that the 'Cats should bring.

Love the comedy in the reasonings although i'm sure there's a lot more behind what you're saying. Don't get the Akron line, but i'd be tailing and i'm not a huge fan of that sorta stuff because it often loses.

good luck maine
captjohn67 says:
11/05/09 03:18PM
HansMoleman says:
11/05/09 03:19PM
Nice looking card...I'm still pissed I missed out on Nwestern +17...somehow completely forgot to cap that game and I see the value and might tail you

HOU I just don't trust...it's not the "fishy" line...I just don't trust those guys, esp. NOT on the road. FWIW: both played at UTEP, both lost, Tulsa was more competitive....this is either an easy win or a quick loss, Tulsa is 4-4, back home and motivated to save their season, don't like the spot....my definition of a stay away game

on USC, Oregon and Duke myself...and pretty much lean on any other of your plays

Have played UConn as 7p same game teaser +24 and U58.5...LOVE it, don't see a blowout coming here

GL
BustinPiles says:
11/05/09 03:37PM

Good luck Maine

I see a lot in common  Oregon St., UConn and Duke.

I must confess never heard of St.  Dominator, but then again I am not necessarily a model Catholic.

 

 

amd says:
11/05/09 03:49PM

I always enjoy reading your info.....I think you're going to have a really nice bankroll heading into Sunday

THEMUGG says:
11/05/09 04:11PM

 Good stuff as always MR..........I like a few of those especially the Oregon play. I kind of chuckled when I saw the -5 & immediately made the phone call. Might be close for the 1st hf (like their past couple games) but i can see them pulling away again. Stop Gerhardt & Tree is done........easier said than done.

 Can't believe Gerhardt is still upright & feeding himself they way work him..........one tough SOB.

 GL this weekend........

drudatt108 says:
11/05/09 04:36PM
shrimp1958 says:
11/05/09 04:43PM
Nice writeups....I have Houston...threw out the Ducks,had them last week...Stanford should get 24+..but will give up 40+..GL...
DoubleUp4Life says:
11/05/09 04:47PM

Everytime I open your Threads I Laugh for about 10 Minutes ...

BOL this week Brother and I may have to jump on a few more ... already on Oregon st and Houston ... .....

 

BBallday10 says:
11/05/09 04:54PM
Too funny.. on OSU, Houston leaning SC and Duke..

Looks like a winning card to me 
jp1lsu says:
11/05/09 04:55PM

Good work Maine Road as usual. I'm on the same side as you in all the games that dont involve Pac 10 or SBC teams. 

No UTEP for you either???   Bustin didnt bite on it either.

Dont have a great feeling going into this week, but I do like Kent -3 a lot due to Gar digging into his lock of the year bag which in itself is unusual. 

BOL

Skipster says:
11/05/09 05:00PM
solid card.  good luck.
nostradamus12 says:
11/05/09 05:14PM

 the worse news for the Owls is that their starting defense is healthy and expected to play.

nice card, BOL buddy

paintguy says:
11/05/09 11:21PM

 looking good maine. Really liking your oregon,usc,penn st, houston picks. Loving kent st in this spot they should crush lowly akron.

lets get that green Maine

mmac66 says:
11/06/09 12:17AM

 

Count me among the five people who thoroughly enjoy your snide comments   Just a really great read every week.

occy777 says:
11/06/09 12:35AM
Maine--I really like your card, BOL.
MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 12:28PM

Thanks to all of you nice enough to respond, particularly those who said nice things.    I've been doing this in various forums for the better part of 20 years, and it is a struggle to come up with new things to say each week.  Indeed, I ran out of beaver and trojan jokes in the late 90's,

As for those of you who asked where certain plays were (plays you had, no doubt seen my tout in other threads), I don't write up every game I like.  Heck, Navy might have been my favorite game of last week, and I just forgot to include it.  I do like OU, though I have cooled on it somewhat.  The Sooners look great at times, and average at times.  I'm not inpressed by the Huskers much, though.

As for Tulane, I've damn near bet UTEP about three times this week, and probably will yet, but there is something awfully tough about playing on a road team that has been so awful away from home thus far. Tulane has serviceable front-line talent, at least on the offensive side of the ball, and isn't as banged up as it was last year by this time.  The Wave damn near beat the Miners last year, and it's Senior Day in the Dome for 16 Wave players.  Something keeps telling me to leave this alone. I'll probably hate myself come Sunday.

MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 12:36PM

I hear what you're saying, but I do think sometimes game set up this way.  Occussionally you get a game that has a "big question"  (like will Air Force's line get dominated by BYU or ND (in year's past), or is UConn just spent (this Saturday)?, where if the answer is "yes," you're in big trouble if you have the Falcons or the Huskies.  If "no," you might be in for a dog-fight. I hope that made sense.

Scorsese says:
11/06/09 01:01PM
 Love reading your posts. BOL
PINNACLE says:
11/06/09 01:19PM

Maine --

You know me, there was no ill intent with my opinion on  UConn/Cincy.......it was just that, My opinion. Got nothing but respect when it comes to you.

As for Mr. Willis, what you perceive to not make any sense, still unfortunately makes complete sense to me...sorry.

I surely wasn't implying that every game has no "in-between". But to think that some do not, is naive.

GoBlue1029 says:
11/06/09 03:39PM
good stuff Maine. GL
MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 03:19PM
You've never looked better, BP. 
MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 02:25PM

Oh no; I never took it as anything other than your opinion, which I'm always happy to hear.

I think your take on the "in between" aspect is virttually identical to what I wrote. 

GL, this weeknd (except, of course, at Cincy, where I wish you nothing but misery ). 

I got a good feeling about this week.  I hope that good feeling turns into cash for a change this year.

MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 02:29PM

It's funny you mention Letterman.  About 15 years ago a television reporter in Indanapolis was quoting from my weekly pick sheet for a couple of weeks (I did one entirely devoted to Prinicess Di after she died, and he apparently thought it was very funny).  I guess he got tired of Trojan and Beaver jokes, though.    That was as close a I ever came to hitting the big-time.    I'm way funnier than Norm Chad ever dreamed of being, but I'll bet he's got a way nicer house. 

MaineRoad says:
11/06/09 02:33PM

I'm not as sold on the let-down thing as most people seem to be.  UO was a three-point dog, and basically had the game won in the 3rd quarter. It's not like they pulled some monster upset in an epic battle. Yes, it was USC, on national TV, and probably for the Rose Bowl, but they've been bitch-slapping the Trojans around Eugene for a decade.  The last time they did that, they went on the road and destroyed Washington.  I don't love being against Stanford.  I think they're solid and well-coached.  They are well suited to play keep-away from the Ducks, which is a really good idea.  Still, the freaking line isn't even a td!  It would take a restraining order to keep me off the Ducks at -5. 

syracuseLJ says:
11/06/09 08:04PM
"I ran out of beaver and trojan jokes in the late 90's,"

That new vibrating touch thing must've opened up a new comedic door somewhere.
AllIn2005 says:
11/06/09 03:52PM

BOL this week Maine!

BustinPiles says:
11/06/09 03:08PM

< Maine you have got to get one of these snuggies. Look how comfortable and relaxed I am.

 to a great week. 

 

CalBear says:
11/06/09 03:50PM
For a second I thought I was looking at my card.  We agree on many...even the ones I have not noted I lean on.  BOL Maine.
Whodeysb09 says:
11/06/09 09:30PM
Good luck this weekend Maine...Write-ups are always one of my favorite things to read on this site..Keep it up
banans says:
11/06/09 08:45PM
Maine, you freaking rock man. GL dude
steve103061 says:
11/06/09 02:00PM
i like your picks but oregon - if there was ever a let down game this will be it - also stanford had a bye - i think oregon wins but this game will be close
kittsd says:
11/06/09 03:31PM
Like NW, Houston and Duke this week - GL
Bucks10 says:
11/06/09 01:42PM
You should go write for Letterman. Lord knows he needs the help.
Bucks10 says:
11/06/09 09:23PM
Norm has more ex- wives than you I bet.
tblackk24 says:
11/06/09 02:57PM
MR, Love the picks this week.  Always enjoy reading your thread! This is my 2nd year following. BOL this week

BayBridgeTunnel says:
11/06/09 02:14PM
Love the Iowa writeup...good luck Maine. Go Hoos
DtotheP says:
11/06/09 09:39PM

Maine like em all except Penn State but thats a homer play for me (atleast you got it before the line moved to 5.)  I've got a feeling Pryor will use his legs effectively this weekend.  He owes Buckeye fans a win for blowing it last year with the big fumble. 

 Best of Luck on all except one

RustyTrombone says:
11/06/09 08:08PM

What do you think about Oklahoma State this week? 

I'm with you on Houston, USC and Oregon St.

Trooper64 says:
11/06/09 08:37PM

Can't miss stuff, Maine! Look forward to it every week.....the best news is you will have more money after Saturday.....

 

       

MidMajorMartyr says:
11/06/09 08:18PM

I like your Duke plus the points play!

The Blue Devils are in a nice spot here! They get the Tarheels coming off a hard fought victory in Blacksburg sandwiched between an upcoming visit from the Hurricanes so the caught looking ahead theory is definitely in play here. Factor in the fact that this is not your Father's Blue Devils football program and yo have a recipe for an underdog cover with an outside opportunity for an outright win.

Cutcliffe has thee kids believing in themselves, and with the aforementioned, that is a dangerous combination. The only concern for Duke would be a rash of nagging injuries. A win for Duke and they're Bowl Eligible which at the begining of the season would have been unphathomable! Nice Call on the Blue Devils!

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