MaxMillion's Blog

HAVE A TEN TEAM PARLAY PENDING. HEDGE ?

By MaxMillion | View all Posts
Posted Monday, November 28, 2011 11:56 AM

23 comments

Should I Take the under for a small play on total for the Saints Giants Game?

Ticket Number:: 12084728 - 1
Accepted Date:: 11/26/2011 - EST
Graded Date:: N/A
Wager Type:: Parlay(10 team)
Wager Status:: Pending
Risk:: $50.00 (USD)
To Win Amount:: $1,920.24 (USD)
Description:: Football - 218 New York Jets -475 for Game Football - 220 Cincinnati Bengals -320 for Game Football - 233 New England Patriots -175 for Game Football - 233 New England Patriots/Philadelphia Eagles over 50½ -110 for Game Football - 237 Pittsburgh Steelers -600 for Game Football - 239 New York Giants/New Orleans Saints over 51 -110 for Game Football - 179 Texas Tech Red Raiders/Baylor Bears over 81½ -110 for Game Football - 180 Baylor Bears -450 for Game Football - 196 Stanford Cardinal -270 for Game Football - 204 USC Trojans -650 for Game

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MaxMillion says:

11/28/11 11:57AM

My last Play for the parlay to win is The over on the Saints Game

billsneedhelp says:

11/28/11 12:02PM

Nice job man

I'm kind of in the same boat having the Giants +16.5 as the last leg of 11 team teaser $100 to hIt $1650

Trying to figure out best way to hedge that. Probably going to have to dump some on the Saints -7

Maybe I'll even hit a middle but I would just want to at least make some $ guaranteed.

The majority advice is to hedge you don't want to win nothing.

Good Luck.

vinny999 says:

11/28/11 12:03PM

Yes, You should backup on the under. $500.00. You still winner 1,420.

DRE-DAY says:

11/28/11 12:07PM

nuggins says:

11/28/11 12:08PM

Def.

billsneedhelp says:

11/28/11 12:10PM

Or winner of $500....

Maybe hedge half like $900 to guarantee a higher payout? At least win $960?

But $1920 is much better..

Tough call man I have to make the same decision!!!

I will prob go closer to half on mine.

MaxMillion says:

11/28/11 12:19PM

Just want to make sure that I win something. Don't want to shoot myself in the Foot (Stevie Johnson) on this last play on 10 team parlay since Saturday.

HawaiianWarrior says:

11/28/11 12:31PM

My bruddah i could see you hitting that without hedging, but as they say anything can happen. If either QB gets hurt your over would be shot....I'd hedge. By the way good job.....

SportsFan9698 says:

11/28/11 12:35PM

I would only hedge about $150 if I were you.

You have earned the chance to win the big cash, don't be a putz - take it. That being said... if you hedge $150 you cover your cost of the parlay, plus $100 to win. either way it turns out, you are a winner.

Don't be a douche and sulk about it if you lose either, its gambling.

best of luck

aileuy says:

11/28/11 12:44PM

Bet opposite half of the amount to make the money for sure.

Not like me, waiting for the pitt game of -10.5 for 1300 and i only bet 200 for KC, and thats what I won. freaky 200..Now i wish i should of took half regardless and be happy with 650 on KC.

My lesson learn.

CatsofNova says:

11/28/11 12:49PM

Agree

Cubs07 says:

11/28/11 12:49PM

Take half MNF gets crazy. Remember when people had Balt pending on MNF and Jax beat them?

Riceboi says:

11/28/11 01:25PM

Honestly I would hedge right down the middle, so about $960 on the under. Don't ever pass up guaranteed money. Good luck with your decision.

MaxMillion says:

11/28/11 01:49PM

sabia says:

11/28/11 02:24PM

cover and play under

here2contribute says:

11/28/11 02:29PM

Nice bet. This is always a great situation to be in, and a definite time to hedge in my opinion.

Fwiw, I kind of agree with some of the other comments. I personally never like to hedge a large parlay 50%. Think of all the effort to get the first 9 games in and then you lose 1/2 of your potential winnings on one bet. Not to mention, you must have liked the over to begin with in order to add it to the parlay. I would make a $300 (still gives you 5-1) to $550 (maximum) bet on the under.

If it was a 3 or 4-teamer then I would definitely consider hedging it for 50%.

GL

MaxMillion says:

11/28/11 05:04PM

So General Consensus is I should Hedge.

Ice4Blood says:

11/28/11 05:11PM

my question would be... why would you even consider not hedging for 1 second? unless you are already wealthy, in which case i wouldn't understand why you would make the thread...

i think if you want to understand why i say that... don't hedge your bet... end up winning NOTHING from a WINNING 9-TEAM PARLAY... and they see how pissed off you are at yourself when the 10th team loses...

this is obvious, man! of course you fucking hedge it!

Ice4Blood says:

11/28/11 05:12PM

your approach should be this... you no longer have a 10 team parlay with 1 game remaining... you have a 9-team winning parlay... you were outrageously lucky to hit 9 out of 9... don't let that money go down the toilet... going 9-1 and winning nothing could haunt you for a long long time...

SammyX says:

11/28/11 05:18PM

I would consider buying a point or two and play under 52' or 53 and have action on winning both ways

DiscoD69 says:

11/28/11 05:22PM

Where's Vanzack

416bet says:

11/28/11 05:24PM

great job man! I would hedge a bit but still leave yourself a shot to win some big money as per the suggestion above.

well done!

HawaiianWarrior says:

11/28/11 05:30PM

You know what would hurt even more.....if u lose that total going going under by a point...GL on your decision

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User:	MaxMillion
Joined:	March 2008
Location:	Arizona
Team:	Phoenix Suns
Occupation:	Media

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HAVE A TEN TEAM PARLAY PENDING. HEDGE ?

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