AFC East: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Miami Dolphins: 7

An extensive over hall to both the roster and coaching staffs after a 1-15 season in 2007 was supposed to lay the ground work for improvements in 2008 and beyond. A quick 0-2 start to the 2008 season, and a 2-4 record by the end of Week Seven, had doubled the previous year’s win total already, yet none the less was hardly an inspiring start. The Dolphins had found something though in Week Three, when they unveiled the “Wildcat” on the Patriots in a 38-13 thumping of New England. Miami would go on to win nine of their remaining 10 games, including a five game winning streak to end the season, and stun NFL pundits everywhere by claiming supremacy in the AFC East.

 

For as impressive as M... [More]

AFC West: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Kansas City: 6

 

2008 turned out to be a complete disaster all around for the Chiefs as they bottomed out with a 2-14 record. They tied with the Rams for the league’s second worst record and allowed the fourth most points league wide with 440. It’s hard to find a single positive stat line on KC from last season, as their offense was average at best, they were 30th defending the run, 28th defending the pass and set an NFL record for fewest sacks in a season with only 10, not surprisingly finishing a rock bottom 32nd in that category.

 

Results like that can only mean changes need to be made, and they certainly were. A new GM, coach and defensive coordinator highlighted the management changes. Offensive Co... [More]

AFC North: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Over the next few weeks I will preview each NFL division from an Over/Under season win total perspective.  All totals and odds to win division courtesy of Bowmans.com as current as the date the article is published.

 

Pittsburgh: 10.5

The Steelers opponents in 2008 combined to win 133 games, good enough for Pittsburgh to end up playing the seventh toughest schedule. This obviously was no hurdle for them as they were consistently strong all year, never losing back-to-back games, ended the regular season at 12-4, and marched their way to a come-from-behind Super Bowl victory.

 

The Steel Curtain defence Pittsburgh is famous for, was again... [More]

AFC South: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Over the next few weeks I will preview each NFL division from an Over/Under season win total perspective.  All totals and odds to win division courtesy of Bowmans.com as current as the date the article is published. 

 

Indianapolis: 10

With Peyton Manning getting virtually no practice time last offseason due to his bursa sac injury, Manning entered Week One rusty and the Colts lost easily to the Bears 29-13.  The rocky start continued through Week Eight when Indy sat at an unimpressive 3-4.  However the Colts flipped the switch starting the next week with a home win over New England, and then proceeded to follow up with eight more straight wins, to finish the season with a nine ... [More]

NFC South: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

New Orleans: 9

2008 saw another year go by where the Saint’s potent aerial attack lead by Drew Brees went unrewarded.  New Orleans owned the most productive offense in the league as they racked up 463 points for, mostly coming through the air from a near record-breaking year by Brees.

 

Their Achilles heel though was again their play on the defensive side of the ball.  All their offensive production was not enough to keep the ball out of their own end zone as only six teams in the league managed to allow more than the 393 points the Saints defence allowed.  A defence ranked seventeenth vs. the rush, twenty-third vs. the pass and twenty-second in sacks proved to be New Orleans undoing as the... [More]

NFC East: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Dallas Cowboys: 9

The Cowboys were a team with high expectations in 2008 and a 1-3 finish to their season saw them finish with a 9-7 record and out of playoff contention.  In the season finale, with the playoffs on the line, the Cowboys turned in a stinker as they got blown away in Philadelphia 44-6 in large part due to five turnovers.

 

Instead of bringing in more big names in the offseason, Dallas opted for a potential addition by subtraction.  In one of the biggest moves in the NFL during this offseason WR Terrell Owens was cut loose, only to quickly sign with the Buffalo Bills.  Clearly management believed Owens many off-field distractions outweighed his on-field production.  Say ... [More]

NFC West: Betting NFL Season Win totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Arizona Cardinals: 8.5

The defending NFC champs will look to avoid the fate that befalls most Super Bowl losers their following season.  History suggests many teams that come up short in the big game have a hard time getting back the next season, and often miss the playoffs entirely.  The Cards were a great story in the 08/09 season, finally rising from years of troubling play to give Cards fan everywhere a reason to believe their team has turned a corner.  However how much of their success hinged on the play of their division rivals?  The combined win total of their three divisional rivals only totalled 13, a number the Titans managed to reach all on their own last year.  Arizona went 6-0 against their division which amounted to more than... [More]

NFC North: Betting NFL Season Win Totals

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Over the next few weeks I will preview each NFL division from an Over/Under season win total perspective.  All totals and odds to win division courtesy of Bowmans.com as current as the date the article is published. 

 

Detroit:  5

By now the Lion’s 2008 season needs very little introduction. 0-16 was good enough for the NFL’s worst-ever record and almost by default this team can only get better.  Not only did the Lions lose, and lose often last year, they quite often did it in ugly fashion as they gave up 517 points against, had a negative 249 point differential and ranked almost rock-bottom in most major statistical categories.  One thing in Detroit’s favour was that when thin... [More]

NHL Picks Apr. 12

As of now there are no lines up for 3/4 games on sunday.  I'm hoping this line isn't ridiculous when it comes out, but it very well could be and may end up not being worth the play.

That being said, for the time being I looking to get down on the Blues.

St Louis will go into Colorado as the hottest team in the league right now at 8-1-1.  They made a miraculous move from last in the west all the way to the playoffs and may not be done yet.  Right now they sit in 8th spot with a first round matchup looming with the Sharks.  however with a win over the Avs who have only won 1 of their past 12 and been outscored 42-16 in that span,  the Blues can move into 6th spot.  Colorado also will be playing back-to-back and 3/4 on sunday.  A win would tie the Blues with Columbus however they will finish 6th due to winning that season series.  so not only are the blues hot right now,  but also have an opportunity to avoid first round matchups with either san jose or detroit.  I'd say thats a pretty big incentive to show up big time sunday in the rockies.  Vancouver would then be St louis's destination in the playoffs, and the nucks are no slouches themselves, especially at home.  St. Louis split their season series with San Jose however lost both time in the Shark tank 5-4, so avoiding this match up will be a priority come sunday.

Blues ML or possibly puck line if ML lacks the value.



O... [More]

NHL: Apr 3

had a great night last night going 4-0, nothing seemed to go wrong... doesnt happen often so will enjoy it for now.

not as many appealing games on the board tonight in my opinion..   ive made it a habit to avoid betting leaf games but at +240 they might be worth a look.  Devils should come out of losing streak tonight but at -300 theres no point.

i have a slight lean to  the sabres tonight and cgy/minn looks like an under as every one of their past games have totalled 5 or less goals. unfortunately oddsmakers have caught on and the o/u is only 5 tonight.

leaves me with taking the FLAMES ML at -105.

thought flames playing back to back and just clinched playoffs last night they still need to hold off canucks for div and hawks for home ice in first round.  wild have lost to calgary in all 5 meetings so far and have played awful this past month.  in their last 12 games they have only won 4 and those wins came vs the bottom feeding avs and isles and 2 against the struggling oilers.

NHL: Apr 2

put a unit on each of these nhl games tonight

carolina -145 (sorry i know its started, didnt make it to this spot in time)

both canes and NYR coming off wins over devils but canes have been solid at home lately and smoking hot overall having won 6 straight. theyve also only allowed 11 goals during that stretch.

st louis +255

upset i didnt take this last night at +255.. although the blues havent beat the wings yet this year, in this price range they are just too tempting. this is their last chance not to be swept in this series and they were surging towards the playoffs wininng 5 in a row until last nights hiccup in chicago. wings have lost 3/4 and could be vulnerable again tonight.

anahiem +135

too hot teams collide in the ducks and nucks tonight. ducks have won 7-8 and outscored their opponents 34-19 in that stretch. vancouver is just as hot winning 8-10 and being unconscious at home. nucks have been travelling a lot though lately and finally return home and ducks at this price area good pay


phoenix -125

although elimenated from post season play. the yotes are still trying as evidenced by their 3-0 win last night. further they have a chance to elimenate their division rivals in the kings tonight. if you look at phx last 8 games they are 5-3 and their losses came to the west leading sharks and 2 vs the suddenly hot ducks. LA has only won 2 of their last 10. took phoenix last night and cashed so im... [More]

NHL MAR 15 Plays

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Going to try and take a look at a few NHL games for Sunday.  Found it a little hard as almost all the teams are playing some combo of back to backs or ¾ nights, which are things I try to avoid. 

An obvious choice would seem to be the Hawks at home to the Isles who are playing back to back, ¾ , 6/9 nights, and are on the road.  But at -300 there is no point.  A similar situation would be the Canucks at home to the Avs.  The Avs are in a similar back to back and ¾ scenario but also only won 3 of their last 10.  Two of those were in their last 2 games but vs 2 teams who are tanking eq... [More]

Opposites Attract: T.O. to the Bills

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) }  

In a move that will most certainly highlight the Bills to rest of the league and fans in 2009, the Buffalo Bills made a bold splash into the free agent market by landing Terrell Owens.  The traditionally small market team with limited star power, will have to get used to the increased media attention and possible distractions a player like T.O. brings with him.  Owens playing at The Ralph is a very exciting proposition, however will this new relationship work for both team and player?

 

            For the Bills, adding a potential future hall of famer to their rather pedestrian passing attack can only be a positive.  So far, James Hardy has been a disappointment and defenders have been able to double team Lee Evans and stack the line to stop the run against Buffalo.  With T.O. playing opposite Evans, QB Trent Edwards should be able to open up the playbook more often.  Reports are that season ticket holders are re-upping and fans are going crazy T.O. crazy in Buffalo already, so from a marketing stand point this move looks to be already paying dividends.

        &... [More]

NHL PLAY-ONS & FADES: Feb. 12th

NHL PLAY-ON OF THE WEEK

 

 

NEW YORK RANGERS

 

The Rangers have been hot and cold all year and since the All-Star break they’ve been exceptionally abysmal.  After a home win to the Canes, the Blueshirts have reeled off five straight losses until last night's win, while being outscored 22-5  during those five losses.  Granted 10 of those goals came in a 10-2 meltdown to the Stars this past Friday, however they’ve also been shut out twice and lost to two other struggling teams in the Pens and Thrashers.

            However, as bad as a 10-2 thumping must feel, anybody with some semblance of self-respect is going to want to respond and get things back on the right track after an embarrassment like that.  While they followed that game up with a 3-0 loss to the Devils, New York was certainly in the game and seemed to have some energy.  Last night they finally got off the snide, giving Washington all they could handle and came out on top 5-4 in a shoot-out. 

Originally I was looking shorter term for the Rangers to be a play-on team for the next week of so, however looking over their schedule for th... [More]

NHL Play Ons and Fades

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

 

This section will take a brief look at a few NHL teams I feel there will be decent wagering options on for the coming week.  Some teams may be beneficial to avoid while others could be catching fire.  I’m by no means saying these teams will lose or win every game they play in the coming week or so, however in my opinion if you bet against or on each of these teams every game over their next few games you should be able to turn a profit.

 

PLAY ON

 

Tampa Bay Lightning

 

While this rece... [More]

Shredding the Spread One NFL Game at a Time

In depth breakdown of the conference championship games....

Philadelphia @ Arizona – 3pm EST

Two teams that looked to have the least chance of advancing deep into this year’s playoffs now find themselves one win away from the Super Bowl as the Eagles and Cardinals face off this Sunday afternoon.  The obvious choice here seems to be Philadelphia as they are the more experienced team and are coming off an impressive win against the defending champs last week.

The line opened at Philly -3, which was the highest line for a road favourite in the Conference Finals since the 1979 LA Rams were -3.5 @ Tampa.  The -3.5s didn’t stay up for long as it quickly jumped to -4 and has stayed there all week. Recently there’s a few   -3.5s popping back up.  The Eagles are the popular choice as I’ve found them taking public action anywhere from 51-71% at several sites which record such info.  It should be noted that overall the Eagles may have had an easier schedule throughout the season despite playing in the tough NFC East as their opponents had a .492 winning %, while the Cards faced opponents with a .536 winning mark.

The Cards got waxed by the Eagles back in week 13 to the tune of 48-20.  However that game was in Philly and long before the Cards decided to start running the ball like they have in the playoffs.  Ju... [More]

Shreding the Spread One NFL Game at a Time: Wildcard Edition

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;} Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;} table.MsoTableGrid {mso-style-name:"Table Grid"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-... [More]

NFL WEEK 17 picks and thoughts

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

Coming off a 2-1 week, as the Hawks and Bengals connected but I fell short with the Chiefs play.

 

This week, I’ve tried to navigate a tough schedule with many teams resting players, playing for nothing or playing for something.  In addition to using some strategies I should’ve been using all year, I’ve eliminated completely many plays I will refuse to bet this week at all.  They are:

 

Double digit favs = Tampa, Atlanta, Baltimore, PittTeams making long travels= Oakland, WashingtonTop 5 Consensus plays= (last week WAGERLINE.com’s top 5 consensus public plays not only did not cover but lost outright. They were Houston, Philly, Jets, Tampa and Pitt.  This week in descending order they are New E... [More]

NFL Ties

This has got the Eagles ignorance written all over it.

Just a quick thought...  

As im listening to the Panthers/Giants game right now...they just started OT and the ref clearly states "we will play 15 mins, first team to score first wins. If no one scores the game will end in a tie"

Now I've watched lots of football and I assume this is the standard announcement before OT.   If it is, this makes Donovan McNabb's ignorance towards ties even more laughable that neither he nor anyone on his team was aware of it or brought it to the attention of him.

If this is a new announcement since this latest confusion..  it should be dubbed the Donovan OT Announcement..

just a thought

NFL WEEK 16 TOP 3 PLAYS

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;}

BENGALS

 

Neither team (Cin or Cle) have much to boast about this season and especially this past month.  Cincy has posted a mere 36pts in last 4 games, however Cleveland has scored an equally unimpressive 31 pts.  Cincy is at least coming off an ok win last week while Cleveland is off a short week and another embarrassing loss.  Seeing the line hover around browns -3 at home obviously means these two line up pretty equally.  However Bengals have more decent players on the field in this one and any effort at all should be enough to come out victorious.

 

CHIEFS

 

As long as they aren’t too down about blowing last weeks huge ... [More]

Week 8 NFL

looking to rebound off the fins ruining my ticket last week,

going with them again today  (dolphins) at home in divisional matchup vs bills

also taking the bucs, bengals who hung in with pittsburgh for most of the game last week and the titans.   titans/colts games are usually close and that was when the titans had a weak team, now they're stronger and do all the things well that indy struggles with

-made a small play on saints who could exploit chargers poor pass defense

-carolina,  (arizona plays poor travelling and more so when its on east coast)

-skins , giants and browns as  jacksonville is poor ATS when favoured