Long time lurker here. I am not really going to start posting plays but betting angles instead. Here's one I found for tomorrow night.
When majority of the betting public cap games they usually go about like this: If Team A beats Team B, and Team B beats Team C, therefore Team A will beat Team C.
A prime example is the Boston @ Philadelphia game. Minnesota came to Philadelphia 3 days ago and floored the home team 105 to 88. The next day we saw a 104-94 win by Boston over the Timberwolves that isn't really as close as the final score would be. Now, Philadelphia hosts Boston as a one point home dog and people would think that Boston is the right play here. 60% of the consensus are on them as I type this.With a looming home-and-home series, I think the both home team will win in their respective games.
Anyway, like I said, public perception of a current team's strenght is usually based on their most recent outing. When a lot of people cap games, they try to find a commonality on both sides; ones they do, they try and use that. Perception should be the Celtics will beat the 76ers and the almost pick em of a line is a gift. I think otherwise. If there's anything, the play is against the Celtics.
Thoughts?